WP 18 URD Synthesis — Climate and Weather

WP 18 URD Synthesis - Climate and Weather Forecasting MY OCEAN Marine Core Service

URD Main Elements/Agenda Marine Core Service n n Area of Benefit (Capt. 3) – Definition Users (Capt. 1, 4, 5) – User description – Missions and improvements of capabilities – Policy driving needs – Tasks description and users short term needs – Evolution and Future of User needs Products and Services (Capt. 6) – Overview – Product and Service Requirements – Critical issues Comments/Conclusions My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Area of Benefit (Chapt. 3) Marine Core Service n Two Sub-areas (TBD) – Weather and Seasonal Forecasting • Short-term for tomorrow and up to the next few days • Medium-range (weekly, monthly, seasonal) – Climate analysis • long-term analysis • environmental impact assessment (downscaling products) My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

User Description (Chapt. 1, 4) Marine Core Service Number of Users: 13 EU: 1 IG: 3 SP: 9 My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

User Description (Chapt. 1, 4) Marine Core Service Climate and Weather Forecasting User Category No European Agencies (EU) Intergovernmental Body (IG) Service Provider (SP) Name of Organizations Marine Area of benefit 1 • European Environment Agency (EEA); 32 MS • All • Climate, Weather 3 • Helsinki Commission (HELCOM); 9 Member States (MS) • Black Sea Commission (BSC); 6 MS • European Centre for Medium. Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF); 31 MS • Baltic Sea • Climate • Black Sea • Climate, Weather • All • Weather • Atlantic, Mediterranean Sea • Baltic sea • Climate, Weather 9 Examples • French Research Institut for Exploitation of the Sea (Ifremer) • University of Latvia (UL) • Climate, Weather [j 1]Nach Areas sortieren, 1. Weather and seasonal, 2. climate, 3. both My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Users missions (Chapt. 4. 1) Marine Core Service General n Environmental assessment, monitoring and forecast in terms of climate issues n Answering to social expectations on climate change effects n Policy driving needs My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Users Improvement of capabilities (Chapt. 4. 2) Marine Core Service General n Improvement of existent services n Development of new data services for public/ and private use n Improvement of Web Server services and data centres n Include metadata in existing information systems n Assessment and evaluation of MFC products My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Users Improvement of capabilities (Chapt. 4. 2) Marine Core Service EEA n Increase in-house relevant resources and capabilities to integrate MCS products in information systems (e. g. Shared environmental information system (SEIS)) Intergovernmental Bodies n Strengthening of regional and international networks in cooperation and data exchange n Include validated data sets n Improvement of advisory working groups, e. g. in fields of – Monitoring programmes – Development of Environmental Quality Objectives – Technical implementations for internal and external information and data exchange My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Users Improvement of capabilities (Chapt. 4. 2) Marine Core Service Providers n Improvement of data assimilation systems and services, to provide coastal operational services from regional up to global scale. – Implementation of SST and Sea-ice concentration products to improve the medium range forecast of ocean waves and weather n Obtain scientific knowledge and build up technological Innovations (exploration and observation) for ocean circulation forecasting My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Users policy driving needs (Chapt. 5. 1) Marine Core Service Global/EU n Kyoto Protocol, n United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) n World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Regional n Baltic: HELCOM Convention n Atlantic/North Sea: OSPAR Convention n Mediterranean: Barcelona Convention n Black Sea: Black Sea Environmental Programme (BSEP) My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Users tasks description and users short term needs (Chapt. 5. 2) Marine Core Service Policy Sector or Area of benefit: Climate Policy Activity Tasks Climate change Kyoto Protocol Estimation of influence on other environmental issues Impact assessment of Climate change to environmental goals set by HELCOM and its member states. Climate analysis Atmospheric and Ocean re-analysis Historical reconstructions of SST and sea-ice with consistent quality are required to improve the quality of atmospheric reanalysis. Seasonal Forecast Regional Convention Ecosystem modelling Coastal activity Ecosystem modelling to forecast eutrophication or harmful algae blooms. Seasonal Forecast Global Improvement of Medium-range weather forecasting High temporal and horizontal resolution/good quality SST and ocean currents have the potential to improve the skill of the medium range weather and wave forecasts. My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Evolution and Future of User needs (Chapt. 5. 3) Marine Core Service General/EEA needs: n Development of downstream services and implementation of new services and products n Implementation of general agreements and policies for service and product distribution n Evolution of modelling systems Intergovernmental Bodies n Implementation and improvement of state-of-the-art techniques for service delivery, like web applications Service Provider n New thematic fields, like ice extension/thickness, ocean currents and mean dynamic topography My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Requirements overview (Chapt. 6. 1) Marine Core Service General n Availability of My. Ocean, MCS products is expected to improve state-of-art and operationality of services at all time scales My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Product and Service requirements (Chapt. 6. 2) Marine Core Service Use Case Requested Products Coverage Depth Level Mediterran -ean surface to bottom Baltic Sea surface to bottom Spatial & Temp. Res. Temp. Extent Update Frequency Avail. & Timeliness Format Delivery Mechanisms - Net. CD F FTP connection - GRID, Net. CD F, ASCII FTP connection Climate Calibration and Validation of hydrodyna mic and ecosystem models O-S-1, 1. a, 1. b, 1 c, 1 f, O-S-2, 2 b, O-S 3 a, 3 b, O-S 4 a, 4 b, OS 5 a, 5 b, O-S-10, 10 a, 10 b O-S- 15. a, 15. b Max. availabl e Daily Max. available Weather Forecast Local Forecast Temperature , Salinity, Currents, Sea Level variable 5 days Daily My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Criticality of requirements and services (Chapt. 6. 3) Marine Core Service Data delivery n Availability without gaps and delay n Best available products is mandatory Service sustainability n Long-term sustainability of provided services, web service in particular, is strongly required Data quality and validation n SST, Sea level, Sea ice variables, and Ocean colour (chl-a trends) are named as critical products n Forecast of sea level, as well as near-real time and historical analysis are named as critical services n Quality assessment before delivery n High data resolution for modelling at regional and coastal scale n Historical records of sea ice should be consistent with the SST re-analysis. My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Questions and Comments Marine Core Service n n n n Different input from users Interests balanced? Definitions of User categories, new groups needed? – National Agencies – Universities – Combine? Definition of the key area Climate and weather forecast Extend FTSS List of products and services? Use FTSS table as template for user requirements? Extension of catalogue possible? User requirements vs. My. Ocean Services What can/will be offered? My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Questions and Comments Marine Core Service My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Conclusions Marine Core Service n Valuable Base for Iteration n Synthesis of heterogeneous User group and represent all their relevant interests n Agreement on understanding – My. Ocean Services – Template for documents – Definitions in common language n A lot of input for V 1 My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Conclusions Marine Core Service My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens

Marine Core Service Thank you for your attention and contributions! jasmin. geissler@brockmann-consult. de My. Ocean WP 18 & User Meeting/ 29 -30 September Athens