WP 000 KICK-OFF MEETING May 10 -11 2010

WP 000 KICK-OFF MEETING May 10 -11, 2010 1 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 000 – Project Coordination p Deliverables 4 4 4 D 0. 1 : Project presentation (M 0) D 0. 2 : First year report to commission (M 14) D 0. 3 : Second year report to commission (M 26) D 0. 4 : Final report to commission (M 36) D 0. 5 : Summary for policy makers (M 36) 2 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 100 KICK-OFF MEETING May 10 -11, 2010 oral presentation NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France 3

WP 200 KICK-OFF MEETING May 10 -11, 2010 4 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

5 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Deliverables List 6 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Milestones 7 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 200 Objectives Main Objectives p To assimilate Data and products for products delivery p To interact with other existing systems (MACC, My. Ocean, Geoland 2) p To offer coherency with existing and on-going GMES standards (INSPIRE, OGC) Key Drivers p The portal has to be Ergonomic, Open, Perennial, Evolutive, adapted to users’ need and further development. p It has to take into account existing portals (Carbon. Tracker, Carboscope, …) How p Conception has to be modular (processing, viewing modules) p It includes tools for easily implementing new functions such as analysing, viewing, comparing, validating, processing functions : SDK, API. p It includes list of baseline elementary functions for data viewing and analysing p 2 successives versions will be implemented : p V 1 after one year including core system implementation (SDK, Viewer, Data ingestion) p V 2 implementing also processing NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France 8

CARBONES Baseline Functions 9 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

CARBONES in GMES 10 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

CARBONES Development Plan p The first version of the portal shall be available at T 0+1 year. The portal development strategy shall take into account the full v 1/v 2 cycle: v 1 re-use for the v 2. 4 Rapid prototyping techniques, based on existing as far as possible, shall be proposed to have easy and quick updates following feed-back from users. Several sessions with users to be organised ? 4 The portal shall be build with the contributions from all the partners (text, figures) easing of the updates from remote partners. p Products and Data assimilation : Interaction with My. Ocean, Geoland, MACC. 11 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Next Steps and preliminary schedule p CERC to analyse existing portal solutions in comparison (CARBOSCOPE, CARBONTRACKER, …) p CERC to analyse engineering solutions (ESRI, ENVI, IDL, GOOGLEMAP, ARCGIS, …) p Internal Meeting with CERC, AEA within 1 month in order to fix the technology for the framework p Interaction with users and experts (LSCE), to better understand how to transfer existing post-processing p Within 1, 5 month, first DRAFT specifications of the V 1 including the CCDAS interface, the viewing, the API, the SDK and related documentation p Within 8 months, following users need feedback, specification of the V 2, including the final set of services, post-processing and other, … 12 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 300 KICK-OFF MEETING May 10 -11, 2010 13 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 300: Data preparation The aim of this work package is to provide three independent classes of data that will be used in the CARBONES system and advice on methodologies to use these data: (a) anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, land cover type and meteorological data as model forcing (b) Satellite and in-situ data for assimilation into the system using the Core Services Products (c) independent validation data (d) Definition of a future downstream carbon service 14 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Deliverables 15 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Milestones p Annual review 1: CARBONES input data description V 0 p Annual review 2: CARBONES input data description V 1 16 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Next steps p Negotiation of sites/selecetion of sites p schedule for exchange of data p arrage visits between LSCE and groups contributing data 17 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 400 KICK-OFF MEETING May 10 -11, 2010 18 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP description (LSCE) 19 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 400: System development Consolidate and further improve an existing Carbon Cycle Data Assimilation System (CCDAS) p Task 410: Consolidate the existing components p Task 420: Improve the different components of the CCDAS p Task 430: Validate the successive versions of the CCDAS using the large dataset collected in WP 300 and estimate the uncertainties associated to the different products of the system Main contributors: LSCE, PKU, CLIMMOD NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France 20

Task 420: Improve the different components of the CCDAS p Improve Managed Ecosystems in ORCHIDEE 4 Optimize specific parameters of Crop module & Forest MM 4 Improve tropical cropland representation (soybean, rice, . . ) p Add a radiative transfert scheme in ORCHIDEE 4 Model LAI Radiances (to be compared with Satel. Obs. ) p Improve Biomass Burning prior fluxes p Ocean fluxes : toward a “mechanistic” model p Transport model (LMDZ) : increase resolution (1°x 1°) p Preparation to assess the potential of new satellite data 4 Typically BIOMASS data & Atm. CO 2 data (GOSAT) 21 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Timeline of « CARBONES » CCDAS development p VO T + 12 - Land: ~ 20 parameters controling soil carbon stocks and vegetation fluxes - Ocean: Scale fluxes - Fossil fuel & BBurning : imposed - Period : use IERA Meteo. Reanalysis (1989 – 2009) - Assimilated DATA : - AVHRR f. APAR time series (Test with MODIS) - Atmospheric data (around 80 -100 sites) - Flux. Net site : NEE / LE - Validation Data - Soil Carbon data - Ocean p. CO 2 data, optimized ocean flux model - Biomass burning data - Independant Atmospheric CO 2 data NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France 22

Timeline of « CARBONES » CCDAS development p V 1 T+20 - Assimilated DATA : - Soil carbon stocks data for Initial conditions - ORCHIDEE improvements - Observation operator for satellite data - Managed ecosystems - Increase number of Parameters (up to 100) - Ocean Component - Statistical model p V 2 T+30 - land: ~200 - 300 parameters - ocean: Simplified Mechanistic model (based on PISCES) - Several sensitivity tests 23 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 400: Deliverables p D 410. 1: Description document of the Carbon Cycle Data Assimilation System (CCDAS), V 0 (M 8) & V 1 (M 28). p D 420. 1: CCDAS system evolution report, V 0 (M 18) & V 1 (M 36) p D 430. 1: System validation: report on the comparison between system products and independent data; (M 12) and then tied to system evolution. p D 430. 2: Report on error estimations: - Parameter errors on base configuration (M 12) - Update errors for significant system updates (tied to Sys Ev. ) - Errors on output fields (M 12 & then tied to Sys Ev. ) 24 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 500 Kick-Off Meeting May 10 -11, 2010 25 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 500 – Dataset production and visualisation p Objectives 4 The objective of this task is to develop the CARBONES information package and the CARBONES portal giving access interface and information to the Climate Users at the appropriate level. q Based on the CCDAS system developed and validated in WP 400, the generation of 30 year reanalyses will be performed at the different steps of the project, and verification tests will be implemented. q A tailored, user-friendly interface will be developed, allowing climate modellers, other science communities, local or regional communities and the general public to understand easily visualize the living carbon cycle over the past 20 -30 years. The users of the CARBONES system will use the system via a web site in which spatial data will be displayed on a Googlemaps display or similar. q Finally, all the necessary material will be prepared for the dissemination of the CARBONES product and services to the Climate modellers during the project for their use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. This task will also prepare the dissemination of CARBONES product and services to other identified communities of users, during and beyond the project. 26 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 500 – Dataset production and visualisation p Objectives 4 The objective of this task is to develop the CARBONES information package and the CARBONES portal giving access interface and information to the Climate Users at the appropriate level. q Based on the CCDAS system developed and validated in WP 400, the generation of 30 year reanalyses will be performed at the different steps of the project, and verification tests will be implemented. q A tailored, user-friendly interface will be developed, allowing climate modellers, other science communities, local or regional communities and the general public to understand easily visualize the living carbon cycle over the past 20 -30 years. The users of the CARBONES system will use the system via a web site in which spatial data will be displayed on a Googlemaps display or similar. q Finally, all the necessary material will be prepared for the dissemination of the CARBONES product and services to the Climate modellers during the project for their use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. This task will also prepare the dissemination of CARBONES product and services to other identified communities of users, during and beyond the project. 27 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 500 – Dataset production and visualisation p Description of work 4 Task 510: dataset generation (NOV, LSCE, METO, MPI-BCG, ETH, DLO, USTUTT, PKU, ABDN, CLIMMOD) q Inputs: pre-existing assimilation system and first System & Products design specification (T 0 + 6 months), CARBONES system V 0 (T 0 + 10 months), updated System & Products design specification (T 0 + 20 months), CARBONES system V 1 (T 0 + 30 months) q Based on the pre-existing assimilation system available at the beginning of the project, and on the System and product design first iteration from WP 200, generation of a first (non scientific) template of the CARBONES system output dataset, at T 0 + 6 months Development of verification tests of the dataset numerical consistency Generation of the CARBONES V 0 dataset at T 0 + 12 months Generation of the CARBONES V 1 dataset at T 0 + 30 months 28 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 500 – Dataset production and visualisation p Description of work 4 Task 520: CARBONES portal development and implementation (CERC, NOV, TAS, LSCE, METO) 4 This task covers the development of a tailored, user-friendly interface, allowing climate modellers, other science communities, local or regional communities and the general public to understand easily visualize the living carbon cycle over the past years. 4 Inputs : Users Requirement Analysis, first System & Products design specification, updated System & Products design specification (T 0 + 20 months), q → Development of a test plan (V 0 at T 0 + 12 months and V 1 at T 0 + 24 months). q → Completion of the web portal graphical user interface (V 0 at T 0 + 18 months and V 1 at T 0 + 30 months). q → Completion of the web portal testing with delivery of a test report (Simplified version V 0 at T 0 + 12 months and V 1 at T 0 + 30 months). 29 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 500 – Dataset production and visualisation p Description of work 4 Task 530 (NOV) : preparation of the necessary material for the dissemination of the CARBONES product and services (NOV) 4 It will aim at preparing all the necessary material for the dissemination of the CARBONES products and services to the Climate modellers during the project for their use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. It also prepares the dissemination of CARBONES products and services to other identified communities of users, during and beyond the project. 4 This task will then interact with the WP 100 and the WP 700, which will define in detail the user needs in terms of dissemination material. This will include: q CARBONES products and services presentation documents adapted to different levels of dissemination (RE, RR, PU) (version V 0 at T 0+12 and updated version V 1 at T 0+30) q Preparation, in coordination with the WP 100 and the WP 700, of Users workshops, (T 0+18 and T 0+32), q Preparation of a CARBONES demonstration portfolio based on analyses and results of WP 600, for final delivery. q The preparation of an executive summary for policy makers. 30 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 500 – Dataset production and visualisation p Deliverables q D 510. 1 : CARBONES dataset V 0 (M 12) q D 510. 2 : CARBONES dataset V 1 (M 30) q D 520. 1 : CARBONES portal simplified version for minimal dataset access : V 0 (M 12) q D 520. 2 : CARBONES portal V 1 (M 30) q D 530. 1 : CARBONES dissemination material V 0 (M 18) q D 530. 2 : CARBONES dissemination material V 1 (M 30) 31 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 600 KICK-OFF MEETING May 10 -11, 2010 32 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 600: Added-value demonstration demonstrate the relevance of the CARBONES 30 -yr re-analysis of the carbon cycle at global and at regional scales p Task 610: attribution and case analysis (LSCE ) p Task 620: benchmarking of GMES Core Service products (LSCE) p Task 630: Demonstration of effective use by climate modellers (METO) p Task 640: Improvement in climate prediction available from the constraint on the carbon-cycle/climate feedback (LSCE) 33 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France Main contributors: LSCE, METO

Task 610: attribution and case analysis p Study the regional carbon cycle for key regions 4 N. America, Europe, N. Asia, Tropics 4 N. Atlantic, Southern Ocean p Attribution of the flux variability to specific processes (NPP, ecosystem, respiration, biomass burning) p Hot spot analysis 4 Region that play a major role or that are most uncertain p Link to extreme events 4 ENSO events, volcanic eruptions, like the 1991 Pinatubo one, droughts and heat waves, like the 2003 anomaly in Europe NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France 34

Task 620: Benchmarking of GMES Core Service products p What is the benefit of combining observations of Slow and Fast changes of C pools ? p Compare CARBONES products to 4 Geoland 2 : LAI, Fluxes, biomass, Carbon storage 4 MACC : gridded fluxes 35 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Task 630: Demonstration of effective use by climate modellers p Evaluation of Climate model simulations (AR 5 ones) against typical metrics p Identify the weaknesses / strength of the models 4 depending on the regions 4 As a function of the spatial scale considered Identify missing processes p Define which region controls : 4 Seasonal cycle, Interannual Variations, Long term mean 36 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Define Metrics of the Carbon Cycle p Quantify model performances using “score” p Quantitative model evaluation. . 37 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Task 640: Improvement in climate prediction available from the constraint on the carbon-cycle/climate feedback p Perform calculation of futur C fluxes 2050 using climate scenarios from IPCC and ORCHIDEE p Use ORCHIDEE with different sets of parameters (prior and optimized parameters) p Impact on the fluxes and their uncertainty p Contribution to the conflicting debate on the potential climate feedback on the carbon fluxes! 38 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 600: Deliverables p D 610. 1: Report on the information brought by CARBONES about the carbon cycle. M 24 p D 620. 1: Report on the benchmarking of the GMES Core Services. M 30 p D 630. 1: Report on the use of CARBONES to evaluate ESMs. M 30 p D 630. 2: Report on the use of CARBONES to improve ESMs. M 36. p D 640. 1: Report on the impact of CARBONES on climate prediction. M 36. 39 NOV-3733 -SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 700 Market Analysis Dr Iarla Kilbane-Dawe Director of Innovation, AEA Rachel Yardley CARBONES Project Manager, AEA 40 WP 700 Market Intelligence Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Climate Change Index – commercialisation of CO 2 e data TITLE p Current client list 4 Sky News, Guardian Media, EEA and in discussion with carbon traders. p Phase 1 – NRT UK aggregate 4 4 4 Data calculated at 20 min – 7 day intervals; Based on UK gas and electricity consumption; Entirely automated using data feeds; Annual integrated figures accurate to 3% of UNFCCC data. Validated for period 2006 -2009 p Phase 2 – NRT UK regional / local 4 Include activity data from road, rail and aircraft in NRT (20 min); 4 Include energy data at local spatial scale; p Phase 3 – NRT EU 27 National aggregates & US State aggregates 4 Looking for partners to develop this. p Phase 1 supported by ESA market development funding. 41 WP 700 Market Intelligence Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

Typical product or service development process TITLE Product prototype Warm client review Revise prototype Client review & market intelligence Draft product & marketing collateral Market pilot Final revisions to product and collateral Product launch 42 WP 700 Market Intelligence Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

WP 700 market intelligence TITLE CARBONES Month 6 Warm client review Carbon flux data services CUAG MI Report CARBONES Circa Month 18 Client review with CUAG Amended services (e. g. algorithms, resolutions, formats) Business Dev Plan M 12 CARBONES Amended services (e. g. algorithms, resolutions, formats) & New collateral Business Dev Plan M 24 Test with WCRP modellers & MI Targets MI Report Circa Month 30 Client review with CUAG Test with WCRP modellers & MI Targets MI Report CARBONES Services archive and final user oriented collateral Business Dev Plan M 34 43 WP 700 Market Intelligence Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

D 720. 1 Market TITLE Intelligence Reports p Market analysis – M 6, 18 , 30 4 Potential customers & market segments 4 Size of the market (e. g. WCRP modellers, UNFCCC, Media) 4 Competitors – or is this relevant, or is it a science review? 4 Only relevant for non-scientific customers q Identify blockages for market penetration q Routes to entry p Challenges 4 We don’t yet know what the final products will be 4 Time schedule – inputs to the Month 6 report will be User requirements report (M 5) and Services/Product definition (M 6) 4 Collaborate closely with Noveltis, Met Office and TASF WP 700 Market Intelligence Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France 44

D 720. 2 User and service TITLE provider workshops & surveys p Purpose 4 Initially CUAG, later WCRP and other communities 4 Explore new markets 4 Develop relationships between users and service providers 4 Assess needs and expectations 4 Assess whether they are willing to pay for the services p Month 6 & circa 18, 30 4 First workshop to be combined with CUAG meeting 4 Schedule subsequent workshops with other meetings 45 WP 700 Market Intelligence Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

D 720. 3 Business Development Plans TITLE p The services must be financially sustainable after the initial development 4 AEA will provide a template business plan 4 Use information from user surveys to identify potential revenues. 4 Service providers provide costs data. 4 Plans will help identify additional investment required after the end of CARBONES to continue to evolve the products on a commercial or noncommercial basis. 4 Identify any marketing requirements. 4 DRM required on the website? p What is the meaning of financial sustainability for a scientific product? p If we find in M 12 that the products are not “financially sustainable” what does that mean? 46 WP 700 Market Intelligence Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

D 710. 1 Future Space Missions TITLE p Delivered by TASF p Month 30 p Assess requirements for future work 47 WP 700 Market Intelligence Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

What is the most important outcome for you, the users of WP 700? TITLE p Considering the project creates scientific data services which WP 700 product is most important: 4 Market Intelligence reports, 4 Business development plans, or 4 User needs assessment? p AEA can revise the WP 700 objectives based on what you consider to be the most important needs. 48 WP 700 Market Intelligence Carbones KOM - May 10 -11, 2010 – Toulouse, France