World Meteorological Organization WMO OMM Working together in

World Meteorological Organization WMO OMM Working together in weather, climate and water Seasonal Forecasting and Weather/Climate information at WMO Robert Stefanski/José Camacho Agricultural Meteorology Division Climate Prediction and Adaptation Branch Climate and Water Department WMO www. wmo. int

WMO OMM Outline • Seasonal Forecasts and Agriculture • WIS and WIGOS • Global Framework for Climate Services • Summary GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 2

WMO OMM Climate Prediction and Agriculture GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 3

WMO OMM Regional Climate Outlook Forums (RCOFs) • First established in 1996 at a Meeting in Victoria Falls, Zimbabwe. • Gained momentum as a regional response to the major 1997– 1998 El Niño event. • RCOF Concept was pioneered in Africa and spread worldwide. • WMO and a number of national, regional and international organizations (e. g. , NOAA, IRI, Meteo France, World Bank, etc. ) have supported their growth and expansion. GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 4

WMO OMM Existing RCOFs worldwide GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 5 http: //www. wmo. int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/clips/outlooks/climate_forecasts. html

WMO OMM RCOF Concept • Climate information including predictions/outlooks substantial benefit in adapting to and mitigating the impacts of climate variability and change. • RCOFs have the responsibility to produce and disseminate a regional assessment (using a consensusbased approach) of regional climate for the upcoming season. • Built into the RCOF process is a regional networking of the climate service providers and user-sector representatives. GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 6

GHACOF Products & Applications WMO OMM GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 7

WMO OMM www. dmcsee. org GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 8

User Community for Climate Forecasts WMO OMM • Producers use climate information to assist with many decisions: • • • Crop choice Choice of cultivar (early or late) Mixture of crops Fertiliser use Pest and disease control Timing of the harvest Irrigation scheduling Area planted to a given crop (and/or rotation of fields); Timing and amount of tillage Stocking rates. Source: Huda 2006 GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 9

WMO OMM W • CAg. M Expert Team Meeting on Climate Change/Variability and Medium- to Long-Range Predictions for Agriculture, Brisbane, Australia February 2005 2007 Australian Journal of Agricultural Research, Vol 58, No. 10 GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 10

WMO OMM Preparedness information on which to make a decision: DSS ‘Whopper Cropper’ – integrates climate forecasting, crop simulation modelling, and agronomic information. Source: Stone & Meinke 2006 GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 11

WMO OMM WIS and WIGOS GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 12

Current situation: GTS WWW GTS WMO OMM Regional/Specialized Meteorological Centres interconnects National Meteorological Centres Meteorological and R&D Satellite Operator Centres World Meteorological Centres GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 13

WMO OMM Goals of WMO Information System (WIS) • GTS needs to be open to all WMO activities to provide time critical information exchange • Internet should be a part of WIS to allow support of less critical requirements • The continuous improvement and adaptation of new technologies in the GTS should be maintained. • The WIS should be open to more than just WMO programs allowing partners to participate • Need seamless discovery, access and retrieval (DAR) across all WMO systems, including collaborators and partners. GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 14

WMO Information System (WIS) World Radiation Centre WMO OMM Regional Instrument Centres International Organizations (IAEA, CTBTO, UNEP, FAO. . ) 5 GAW World Data Centres GCOS Data Centres Global Run-off Data Centre IRI and other climate research institutes NC Universities DCPC NC Commercial Service Providers NC/ DCPC Regional Climate Centres NC/ DCPC NC NC GISC I nt e r ne t GISC NC DCPC NC GISC DCPC GISC Satellite Dissemination NC NC WMO World Data Centres Satellite Two-Way System NC NC National Centres (NC) Global Information System Centres (GISC) Data Collection and Production Centres (DCPC) Data communication network GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva Real-time “push” On-demand “pull” 15

WMO OMM WMO Integrated Global Observing System (WIGOS) • Different diverse WMO observing systems; • Need for integration of these diverse obs. systems in a holistic approach; • WIGOS – the organizational response of WMO to this need. • Comprehensive, coordinated and sustainable system of observing systems based on the RQs of all WMO Programmes; • Together with WIS it aims to deliver an WMO end-to-end system of systems designed: Ø to improve the Members’ capability to provide wide range of services, Ø to better serve. GEO GLAM Meeting, of research Geneva the needs 22 -23 September 2011, programmes. 16

WMO OMM WMO Congress (Resolution 30) • Towards Enhanced Integration between the WMO Observing Systems • Strategic objective of WMO; • Parallel planning and implementation with WIS (end-to-end system of systems) GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 17

WMO OMM WIGOS - framework • WIGOS will be an organizational framework facilitating standardization and interoperability and ensuring: § availability of, and real-, near-real- and non-realtime access to, required good-quality data/products and associated metadata; § data quality standards are documented, met and sustained. GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 18

WMO OMM WIGOS - purpose • The organizational, programmatic, procedural and governance framework will provide: • a single focus for the operational and management functions of all WMO obs. systems and • a mechanism for interactions with WMO cosponsored observing systems. GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 19

WMO OMM WIGOS - relationship • WIGOS will respect: üPartnership, üOwnership and üData-sharing policy of all obs. components and partner organizations. GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 20

WMO OMM Global Framework for Climate Services GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 21

Global Framework for Climate Services WMO OMM • Goal: – Enable better management of the risks of climate variability and change and adaptation to climate change at all levels, through development and incorporation of science-based climate information and prediction into planning, policy and practice. WORLD CLIMATE CONFERENCE - 3 Geneva, Switzerland GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, 31 August– 4 September 2009 Geneva 22

WMO OMM GFCS: Objectives • Provide a cooperative framework in which all nations, International organizations, scientists and sectors will work together to meet the needs of users; • Enable users to benefit from improved climate information and prediction; • Mobilize climate science globally to advance the skills of seasonal-to-interannual and multi-decadal climate predictions to generate and provide future climate information on an operational basis; • Cooperative global infrastructure to foster sharing new advances in science and information. GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 23

Climate Services Cycle WMO OMM Climate Services Information Systems Development of information and products Delivery of Products Climate User Interface Programme Capacity Building Application of Products Research, Modelling and Prediction Monitoring and Analysis Observations GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 24

Status of GFCS WMO OMM • Approved by WMO Congress in June 2011; • Inter-Agency Consultation Meeting on User Interface Platform for GFCS (FAO HQ – 26 -28 Sep 2011) • Extraordinary Session of the WMO Congress in 2012 to address the development of the draft GFCS implementation plan and establishment of Rules of Procedure for the Intergovernmental GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 25 Board

WMO OMM Summary • RCOFs structure supporting agricultural decision making • WIS as a open concept to provide weather and climate information to a wider community than the NMHS. • WIGOS provide common ground for better technical management of observations in a world scale GEO GLAM Meeting, 22 -23 September 2011, Geneva 26

World Meteorological Organization WMO OMM Working together in weather, climate and water Thank You World Meteorological Organization Geneva Switzerland WMO www. wmo. int