World Handbook of Political Indicators IV Objective: Computer coding of 51 contentious politics events Method: Frame parsing using Virtual Research Associates Knowledge. Manager™ applied to lead lines of Reuters international newswire (1990 -2004) Products: 1. Global event data set covering all countries and major territories 2. Summary indicators of contentious politics: contentiousness, contentious violence, conflict carrying capacity Major Event Forms Civil Protest: Protest, protest demonstration, protest obstruction, protest procession, protest defacement, protest altruism, support rally Civil Violence: Riot, strikes & boycotts, abductions, hijacking, hostage seizures & kidnapping, physical assaults, beatings, sexual assault, assassinations, coups & mutinies, suicide bombing, mine explosion, vehicle bombing State Sanction: Covert monitoring, impose restriction, censorship, armed force mobilization, armed force activation, armed force blockade State Violence: Exile, seize possession, military occupation, political arrest, corporal punishment, armed action, torture, small arms attack, missile attack, crowd control Political Relaxation: Ease sanctions, observe truce, relax censorship, relax administrative sanction, demobilize armed force, relax curfew, release/return persons, release/return property J. Craig Jenkins Ohio State University Charles Lewis Taylor Virginia Polytechnic & State University Additional Parsing Issues • Why lead lines? Main event focus • Identify & remove duplicates • Passive voice Marianne Abbott • Temporality (present, past, future) Ohio State University • Compound actors, targets & verbs • Inter-state vs. intra-state events • Metaphorical language (e. g. “The stock market exploded today”) • Imputation of actor/target country identity • Imputation of location • Exclude dependent clauses (e. g. “after a U. S. military plane was fired on as it landed at a Pakistan airfield used as a logistics base for the war in neighbouring Afghanistan. ”) Contentious Politics in Turkey, 1990 -2004 Basics of Frame Parsing Noun = Actor or Event Source Verb + verb complements = Event Form Direct Object = Target Indirect Object = Location Contentious Politics in Israel/Palestine, 1990 -2004 Examples: ”Scores of Japanese anti-nuclear campaigners staged a sit-in on Friday near Hiroshima's atom-bomb memorial to protest France's decision to resume testing nuclear weapons. “ ”Russian nationalists desecrated a Jewish cemetery in St Petersburg on the eve of the Orthodox Easter, a duty police officer in Russia's second city said on Sunday. “ ” Police said they have arrested eight people after a U. S. military plane was fired on as it landed at a Pakistan airfield used as a logistics base for the war in neighbouring Afghanistan. ” Conflict Carrying Capacity Objective: Dynamic Early Warning Index for Civil War & State Failure Formula: CCC = 100 - (CC * SR * CV) CCC = Conflict Carrying Capacity CC = % Civil Contentious Actions SR = % State Contentious Actions CV = % Contentious Violence
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