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What! Planes Carry More Than Passengers and Their Luggage? Jock O’Connell Caltrans Planning Horizons What! Planes Carry More Than Passengers and Their Luggage? Jock O’Connell Caltrans Planning Horizons March 14, 2006

The Topic of Today’s Sermon: § Avarice § Gluttony § Pride § Anger § The Topic of Today’s Sermon: § Avarice § Gluttony § Pride § Anger § Lust § Envy § Sloth

The Conventional Wisdom: Foreign Trade Happens Down By the Waterfront The Conventional Wisdom: Foreign Trade Happens Down By the Waterfront

U. S. Foreign Trade (2004) Modal Share by Weight Source: U. S. Bureau of U. S. Foreign Trade (2004) Modal Share by Weight Source: U. S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics

Ergo…Goods movement planning should focus predominantly on major maritime gateways: Port of Los Angeles Ergo…Goods movement planning should focus predominantly on major maritime gateways: Port of Los Angeles Port of Long Beach Port of Oakland

Forget anything? Forget anything?

U. S. Foreign Trade (2004) Modal Share by Dollar Value Source: U. S. Bureau U. S. Foreign Trade (2004) Modal Share by Dollar Value Source: U. S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics

U. S. Export Trade (2004) Modal Share by Dollar Value Source: U. S. Bureau U. S. Export Trade (2004) Modal Share by Dollar Value Source: U. S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics

What Flies? n High value-to-weight ratio – Electronics components n Perishables – Fresh cherries, What Flies? n High value-to-weight ratio – Electronics components n Perishables – Fresh cherries, medicines, documents n Early Market Moves – Seasonal fruits and vegetables n Emergency Shipments – Relief supplies, supply-chain snafus

California’s Export Trade (2005) Modal Share by Dollar Value Source: U. S. Census Bureau California’s Export Trade (2005) Modal Share by Dollar Value Source: U. S. Census Bureau Foreign Trade Division

San Francisco Customs District Merchandise Exports by Value San Francisco Customs District Merchandise Exports by Value

California’s Billion Dollar Airborne Export Markets: 200511. Mexico n 1. Japan n n 2. California’s Billion Dollar Airborne Export Markets: 200511. Mexico n 1. Japan n n 2. Korea 3. Hong Kong 4. Taiwan 5. U. K. 6. China 7. Germany 8. Canada 9. Singapore 10. Netherlands n n n n 12. France 13. Malaysia 14. Australia 15. Israel 16. Thailand 17. Belgium 18. Brazil 19. Italy

Top U. S. Cargo Airports 2004 Source: Air Cargo World n 1. Memphis n Top U. S. Cargo Airports 2004 Source: Air Cargo World n 1. Memphis n 2. Anchorage n 3. LAX n 4. Miami n 5. Louisville n 6. JFK n 7. O’Hare n 8. Indianapolis n 9. Newark n 10. Atlanta n 11. Dallas-Fort Worth n 12. Oakland n 13. Philadelphia n 14. SFO n 15. Ontario

California Merchandise Exports: Value by Mode of Transport California Merchandise Exports: Value by Mode of Transport

Domestic Air Cargo Shipments By Billions of Dollars Source: 2002 Commodity Flow Survey Domestic Air Cargo Shipments By Billions of Dollars Source: 2002 Commodity Flow Survey

Leading Ports of Departure for CA Exports: 2005 (Billions of Dollars) Leading Ports of Departure for CA Exports: 2005 (Billions of Dollars)

2004 Air Cargo Tonnages Source: Caltrans, Division of Aeronautics 2004 Air Cargo Tonnages Source: Caltrans, Division of Aeronautics

2004 Air Cargo Tonnages Source: Caltrans, Division of Aeronautics 2004 Air Cargo Tonnages Source: Caltrans, Division of Aeronautics

CA Exports by CA Airports: 2005 By Value CA Exports by CA Airports: 2005 By Value

US Exports by CA Airports: 2005 By Value US Exports by CA Airports: 2005 By Value

Factors in The Future n Economic Evolution in CA – Less Manufacturing n Terrorism; Factors in The Future n Economic Evolution in CA – Less Manufacturing n Terrorism; Anti-Terrorism n Rising Fuel Prices n Changing Business Plans n “Open Skies” Pacts n New Technology

The Challenge: Defining a New Role for the State The Challenge: Defining a New Role for the State

Jock O’Connell www. jockoconnell. co m Copyright © 2006 by Jock O’Connell Jock O’Connell www. jockoconnell. co m Copyright © 2006 by Jock O’Connell