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Using Semi-Automated Decision Algorithms in Military Operations PHOENIX CHALLENGE 2002 February 20 -22, 2002 Using Semi-Automated Decision Algorithms in Military Operations PHOENIX CHALLENGE 2002 February 20 -22, 2002 New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM

Our focus has been in this area Message passing Collaborative Agents Joint Exercises Operational Our focus has been in this area Message passing Collaborative Agents Joint Exercises Operational Cells Co-dependent Missions Common Decisions Tight System of Systems Loose Operator Dialog Passive Observance Single System Non-Interacting Systems

Joint Operations Planning & Execution System Typical Mission Joint Operations Planning & Execution System Typical Mission

Legend: known Plan Transition unknown Legend: known Plan Transition unknown

C&C Deliberate Planning Problem Recognition Fog-of-War Mission Simulator Mission Planning Element Management Decision Tools C&C Deliberate Planning Problem Recognition Fog-of-War Mission Simulator Mission Planning Element Management Decision Tools Controller Execution Monitoring Assessment

Legend: Planning Thread: Determine Course of Action Assess Mission Readiness Optimize Plan Preview Mission Legend: Planning Thread: Determine Course of Action Assess Mission Readiness Optimize Plan Preview Mission Case-Based Reasoning Data Mining Genetic Algorithm Map-Based Visualizer Execution Thread: Assess Mission Effectiveness Perturb Environment Monitor Timeline Update Plan Belief Network Fog-of-War Module Timeline Visualizer Optimal Policy

Rules that determine if a threat Surface-to-Air site is operational or not Rules that determine if a threat Surface-to-Air site is operational or not

Plan Optimization Target Assessment JCS Order COA Planner Target Selection Process COA Case Base Plan Optimization Target Assessment JCS Order COA Planner Target Selection Process COA Case Base

This screen displays the “goodness-of-match” of the input Planning Order against previously stored cases This screen displays the “goodness-of-match” of the input Planning Order against previously stored cases to aid the analyst in generating a new Course-of-Action.

This screen allows the analyst to evaluate the effectiveness of additional plans and instantly This screen allows the analyst to evaluate the effectiveness of additional plans and instantly see the diversity and details of each plan.