UNEP Country Project on Trade Liberalisation in the

UNEP Country Project on Trade Liberalisation in the Agriculture sector and the Environment The rice sector in Côte d’Ivoire 19 February 2003 Geneva Project Leader: Aliou Diagne Impact Assessment Economist WARDA, The Africa Rice Center

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Background Relevance of the rice sector to the national economy • 5% of GDP • ½ million farms (60% of working age population) • ½ million hectares (7. 5% of cultivated land) • 600, 000 tones production (70% of Cereal production) • 440, 000 tones imported ($120 millions forex) • 80 kg/year per capita consumption

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Background Relevance of the rice sector to the national economy: Increasing trends in consumption and imports

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Project Approach and Process Implementing Research Institutions • WARDA/ADRAO – The Africa Rice Center – Responsibility for overall project implementation & outputs – Research – Technical and Methodological support to the national research team • Réseau d’Etudes d’Impacts de la Côte d’Ivoire (REI) – – – Assembling the national research team Collection and processing of primary and secondary data Establishment and management of the Steering Committee Organization of national stakeholder meetings and consultations Organization and management of the continuous national peer review process – Follow up on policy recommendations

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Project Approach and Process The Research Team WARDA/ADRAO The Africa Rice Center CIRES Centre Ivoirien de Recherches Economiques et Sociales ANADER Agence Nationale d’Appui au Développement Rural • Dr. Aliou Diagne, Impact Assessment Economist • Dr. Frédéric Lançon, Policy Economist • Dr. Kalilou Sylla, Deputy Head, Macroeconomics and Modeling Unit • Dr. Aïssata Sobia, Deputy Head, International Economic Relations Unit • Dr. Namizata Binaté, Socio economist • Dr. Miaman Koné, Permanent Sécretary of Impact Assessment Network of Cote d’Ivoire Assisted by: • Mr. Arsène Kouame (R. A. ) • Mr. Ali Touré (R. A. ) Assisted by: • Geoffoy Dibakala (R. A. ) • Yaya Ouattara (G. S. ) • Souleymane Diallo (G. S. ) • Michel Droubly (G. S. ) Assisted by: • Clément Kpan • Oulaï (Statiscian Economist) • Luc Adou (Economist) • Martin Kokora (Statistician)

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Project Approach and Process Project Steering Committee 1. Ministère du Plan (Steering committee chaired by the Director General of Plan) 2. Ministère de l’Agriculture 3. Ministère du Commerce Extérieur 4. Ministère du Commerce Intérieur 5. Ministère de environnement 6. INADES-Formation (a local NGO) 7. ANOPACI (l’Association Nationale des Organisations Professionnelles Agricoles de Cote d’Ivoire) 8. ANARIZ (National Association of Rice Producers) 9. PNR (Projet National Riz – a government development agency) 10. Association Marché Gouro – (an association of women traders) 11. BNETD (Bureau national d’études techniques de développement -- a think-tank attached to the Prime Minister cabinet) 12. INS (Institut National de la Statistique) 13. CNRA (Centre National de Recherche Agronomique) 14. PNGTR (Programme National de Gestion des Terroirs)

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Project objectives • Develop in-country methodologies for integrated assessment of trade liberalization for the rice sector • Carry out integrated assessments of trade liberalization for the rice sector • Develop policy packages to mitigate the negative environmental and economic impacts of trade liberalization

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Specific Project objectives 1. To take stock of the current state of the rice economy in Côte d’Ivoire, including an inventory of the initiated national, regional and international policies that affect the rice sector. 2. To assess the environmental impact of the WTO Ao. A induced trade liberalization measures, focusing on deforestation and rice biodiversity. 3. To analyze the impact of the WTO Ao. A induced trade liberalization measures on the competitiveness and income of local rice growers and on the supplies and demands of local and imported rice.

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Specific Project objectives 4. To simulate impact of the establishment of a unified Agricultural market within the UEMOA countries on the same indicators (deforestation, genetic erosion, competitiveness and income of local rice growers, and rice supply and demand) 5. To formulate recommendations to decision-makers based on the results of the study.

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Development of In-country Methodology An integrated framework that includes: • Use of modeling tools to obtain quantitative environmental and economic impact indicators • A process-oriented qualitative approach that ensures the meaningful participation of stakeholders in the assessment process.

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Methodology Two complementary models: • A disaggregated Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM or EDRC) for three rice-based systems (upland, lowland irrigated) to assess impact on their comparative advantage, economic profitability, and environmental costs. • A micro-economic model encompassing: – a model of determinants of choice for the varieties and surfaces cropped by rice growers to estimate impact on deforestation and rice biodiversity – a model of choice between imported and local rice by urban consumers to estimate the demand supply of local and imported rice

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Integrated Assessment of Impacts of Trade Liberalization and WTO Ao. A Relevant Ao. A trade liberalization measures: • Market access measures: – conversion of non-tariff barriers into their tariff equivalent – 24% tariff reduction. • Domestic support measures: – 13. 3% reduction in total Aggregate Measurement Support (AMS).

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Integrated Assessment of Impacts of Trade Liberalization and WTO Ao. A Rice trade liberalization policies enacted since 1995 in Cote D’Ivoire: – Privatization and liberalization of cargo rice import (July 1995) – Dissolution of the Price equalization fund (March 1996) – Reduction of tariffs on imported rice to 10 to 15% (Mars 1996) – Liberalization of the consumer price of imported rice (March 1996)

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Environmental Indicators: Chemical input usage

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Environmental Indicators: Level of deforestation

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Environmental Indicators: Deforestation rate

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Environmental Indicators: Differential deforestation rates among crops

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Environmental Indicators: Rice Biodiversity

Trade liberalization in the Côte d’Ivoire rice sector Environmental Impacts: Impact of Modern varieties on Rice Biodiversity