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TRANSFORMING PATHOLOGY: Emerging technology driving practice innovation TRANSFORMING PATHOLOGY: Emerging technology driving practice innovation

Personalized Medicine & Pathology Friend or Foe? Mara G. Aspinall CAP Foundation Chicago, Illinois Personalized Medicine & Pathology Friend or Foe? Mara G. Aspinall CAP Foundation Chicago, Illinois June 7, 2008

Personalized Medicine - Friend or Foe? o What is it? o Why now? o Personalized Medicine - Friend or Foe? o What is it? o Why now? o When will it be real? o Call to Action for Pathologists

Personalized Medicine Old Paradigm: Trial and Error Medicine Successful When it Leads to Innovation Personalized Medicine Old Paradigm: Trial and Error Medicine Successful When it Leads to Innovation and Improves Standard of Care. Fails When We Settle for “Trial and Error” Medicine AS the Standard of Care.

Personalized Medicine New Paradigm: Personalized Medicine Linking Tests to Action and Therapy Observation Test Personalized Medicine New Paradigm: Personalized Medicine Linking Tests to Action and Therapy Observation Test Action Predictable Response Breaking The Cycle of Trial and Error Medicine

Personalized Medicine Why is it Important? Diagnosis Save Lives Diagnosis Save Money Personalized Medicine Why is it Important? Diagnosis Save Lives Diagnosis Save Money

Personalized Medicine Test Categories Drug Selection Breast Cancer Herceptin® HER 2 Drug Dosage Colorectal Personalized Medicine Test Categories Drug Selection Breast Cancer Herceptin® HER 2 Drug Dosage Colorectal Cancer Camptosar® UGT 1 A 1 Drug Efficacy Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia Gleevec® Quant BCR-ABL Disease Status Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia Campath® Minimal Residual Disease Recurrence Risk Breast Cancer Oncotype DX® Multivariate Analysis Predisposition Breast Cancer BRACAnalysis® Gene sequencing, risk analysis

Personalized Medicine Saves Lives 100 Years Ago 80 Years Ago 60 Years Ago 5 Personalized Medicine Saves Lives 100 Years Ago 80 Years Ago 60 Years Ago 5 Year Survival “Disease of the Blood” Leukemia or Lymphoma Chronic Leukemia Acute Leukemia Preleukemia Today ~ 0% Indolent Lymphoma Aggressive Lymphoma 38 Leukemia types identified: 51 Lymphomas identified: Acute myeloid leukemia ( 12 types) Mature B-cell lymphomas ( 14 types) Acute lymphoblastic leukemia (2 types) Mature T-cell lymphomas (15 types) Acute promyelocytic leukemia (2 types) Plasma cell neoplasm (3 types) Acute monocytic leukemia (2 types) Immature (precursor) lymphomas (2 types) Acute erythroid leukemia (2 types) Hodgkin’s lymphoma (5 types) Acute megakaryoblastic leukemia Immunodeficiency associated lymphomas Acute myelomonocytic leukemia (2 types) ( 5 types) Chronic myeloid leukemia Other hematolymphoid neoplasms ( 7 types) Chronic myeloproliferative disorders (5 types) Myelodysplastic syndromes (6 types) Mixed myeloproliferative/myelodysplastic syndromes (3 types) 70% Ries LAG, Eisner MP, Kosary CL, Hankey BF, Miller BA, Clegg L, Mariotto A, Feuer EJ, Edwards BK (eds). SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1975 -2002, National Cancer Institute. Bethesda, MD, http: //seer. cancer. gov/csr/1975_2002/, based on Nov 2004 SEER data submission, posted to the SEER web site 2005.

Molecular Characterization Standard Practice In Hematologic Oncology Morphology Evaluation + Fluorescence-Activated Cell Sorting + Molecular Characterization Standard Practice In Hematologic Oncology Morphology Evaluation + Fluorescence-Activated Cell Sorting + Cytogenetic Analysis + Molecular Analysis Expanded Characterization and Response Prediction Identification of t(15; 17) translocation in AML patients leads to specific treatment (ATRA) which changed the overall survival from 0% 40 years ago to 80% now

Personalized Medicine Reduces Ineffective Treatment in Colon Cancer Do Not Treat kras Testing Treat Personalized Medicine Reduces Ineffective Treatment in Colon Cancer Do Not Treat kras Testing Treat with Erbitux Langreth, R. (2008), ‘Imclone’s Gene Test Battle’, Forbes. com, 16 May Treat with Erbitux Treatment Success

Personalized Medicine is Cost Effective in Treatment of Colon Cancer o 60% reduction in Personalized Medicine is Cost Effective in Treatment of Colon Cancer o 60% reduction in cost per success o 40% of patients spared side effects from ineffective treatment o Overall success rate is unchanged at 25% Langreth, R. (2008), ‘Imclone’s Gene Test Battle’, Forbes. com, 16 May

Personalized Medicine is Beneficial in Treatment of Pancreatic Cancer Suspected Pancreatic Cancer Watch And Personalized Medicine is Beneficial in Treatment of Pancreatic Cancer Suspected Pancreatic Cancer Watch And Wait Increased Risk Pancreatectomy Insulin Insufficiency Two Bad Choices 30% Pancreatic Cancer Suspected Pancreatic Cancer Treat Aggressively Path. Finder. TG Diagnostic Informed Choices 70% Benign Condition Do Nothing Rina Wolf Testimony before House Committee on Small Business, Subcommittee on Regulations, Healthcare and Trade, May 14, 2008

Patients Don’t Have Time for Trial & Error Disease 1 Year Survival Lung cancer Patients Don’t Have Time for Trial & Error Disease 1 Year Survival Lung cancer 42% Colorectal cancer 76% Chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) 63% 93% Heart failure 74% End stage renal disease 78% 2007 USRDS Annual Data Report Levy, et. al. , Long-term trends in the incidence and survival from heart failure, NEJM, 2002; 347(18): 1397 -402 Cancer. Mpact, Mattson. Jack; NCI SEER data, average across all stages at Dx

Personalized Medicine - Friend or Foe? o What is it? o Why now? o Personalized Medicine - Friend or Foe? o What is it? o Why now? o When will it be real? o Call to Action

Why Now? The Human Genome Project Why Now? The Human Genome Project

Why Now? Explosion of the “Omics” o o o o Proteomics Allergenomics Bibliomics Biomics Why Now? Explosion of the “Omics” o o o o Proteomics Allergenomics Bibliomics Biomics Cardiogenomics Cellomics Chemogenomics Chemoproteomics Chromatinomics Chromosomics Combinatorial Peptidomics Computational RNomics Cryobionomics http: //www. genomicglossaries. com o o o o Crystallomics Cytochromics Cytomics Degradomics Ecotoxicogenomics Eicosanomics Embryogenomics Enviromics Epigenomics Epitomics Expressomics Fluxomics Fragmentomics Fragonomics Etc…

Why Now? Diagnostic Technology Has Improved Past – Macro Level Testing Tests differentiated disease Why Now? Diagnostic Technology Has Improved Past – Macro Level Testing Tests differentiated disease from non-disease Disease defined by location and size Today – Molecular Level Testing Disease defined by individual biology and /or DNA of tumor or virus Tests to subcategorize disease: predict outcomes of specific therapeutic screen for adverse events monitor disease

Why Now? Diagnostic Technology Has Improved Tomorrow – Predictive Testing Multiple technology platforms needed Why Now? Diagnostic Technology Has Improved Tomorrow – Predictive Testing Multiple technology platforms needed for higher analytic validity Multi-factorial testing for common, complex diseases Multi-gene signatures as standard for cancer New Sample Types – Urine, Saliva, Breath, others? Increased Use of Diagnostic Imaging

Why Now: Increased Government Interest o FDA n In-vitro Diagnostic Multivariate Index Assay (IVD Why Now: Increased Government Interest o FDA n In-vitro Diagnostic Multivariate Index Assay (IVD MIA) Draft Guidance n Pharmacogenomics voluntary data submission o HHS Secretary’s Committee on Genetics, Health and Society (SACGHS) n Report recommending filling gaps in oversight of genetic tests o President’s Council on Science and Technology n Upcoming Report of Personalized Medicine

Personalized Medicine - Friend or Foe? o What is it? o Why now? o Personalized Medicine - Friend or Foe? o What is it? o Why now? o When will it be real? o Call to Action for Pathologists

The Personalized Medicine Timeline Fear Value Acceptance The Personalized Medicine Timeline Fear Value Acceptance

The Personalized Medicine Timeline Fear Payers: Adds to My Cost Without Return Treating Physicians: The Personalized Medicine Timeline Fear Payers: Adds to My Cost Without Return Treating Physicians: Too Prescriptive for Me Patients: Will I Be Denied Access to New Drugs? Regulators: How Do We Handle New Complexities? Diagnostics: More Tests With Poor Reimbursement Pharma: Reduces My Market Pathologists: Reduces My Market

Pharma Fear Spending Up but New Drug Approvals Not Pharmaceutical Research and Manufactures of Pharma Fear Spending Up but New Drug Approvals Not Pharmaceutical Research and Manufactures of America: Pharmaceutical Industry Profile 2006 www. fda. gof/oc/initiatives/criticalpath/whitepaper. html

Pharma Fear Blockbusters Going Off Patent • 105 blockbuster drugs with $237 billion in Pharma Fear Blockbusters Going Off Patent • 105 blockbuster drugs with $237 billion in sales • 37 % of all prescription pharmaceutical sales • 7 of the top 10 drug launches in 2006 were generics Big Pharma Faces Grim Prognosis, Wall Street Journal, 12/06/2007 Cowen and Company

Pharma Fear (and Opportunity) Drug Efficacy is Too Low Therapeutic Area Effective Rate (%) Pharma Fear (and Opportunity) Drug Efficacy is Too Low Therapeutic Area Effective Rate (%) 25% Spears et al. TRENDS in Molecular Medicine Vol. 7 No. 5 May 2001

Pharma Fear (and Opportunity) Adverse Events are Too High n n n 2. 2 Pharma Fear (and Opportunity) Adverse Events are Too High n n n 2. 2 Million People Impacted Annually $177 billion annual cost Single largest cause of drug market withdrawals Cause Of Death Number Of Deaths Heart Disease 652, 091 Malignant Neoplasms 559, 312 Cerebrovascular Disease 143, 579 Lower Respitory Disease 130, 933 Accidents 117, 809 Adverse Drug Reactions 106, 000 National Vital Statistics Reports, Vol. 56, No. 10, March 7, 2008, 2001 United States Data

Pharma Fear (and Opportunity) Prescription Compliance is Too Low Source: American Heart Association Pharma Fear (and Opportunity) Prescription Compliance is Too Low Source: American Heart Association

Pharma Fear (and Opportunity) Drug Reimbursement System Changing? • Reimbursement ONLY if patient benefits Pharma Fear (and Opportunity) Drug Reimbursement System Changing? • Reimbursement ONLY if patient benefits from drug • REFUND if patient does not benefit after treatment • Current Examples: • Velcade for multiple myeloma • • • Johnson & Johnson and Government Payors in UK and France Full refund to payor if patient does not achieve 50% biomarker reduction Oncotype DX • • Genomic Health and United Healthcare Price adjusted if tests do not show change in clinical practice Pricing Pills by the Results, New York Times, July 14, 2007

Velcade For Multiple Myeloma • Protocol • Patient is treated with a maximum of Velcade For Multiple Myeloma • Protocol • Patient is treated with a maximum of 4 cycles of treatment ($24, 800 US) • Serum M protein, a biomarker for tumor load, is monitored with blood or urine test Electrophoresis: Normal plasma Serum M protein www. nytimes. com/2007/07/14/business/14 drugprice. html? _r=1&oref=slogin Nature Reviews, Drug Discover: December 2007, v 6, p 945 www. nice. org. uk/nicemedia/pdf/Myeloma. Dof. HSummary. Responder. Scheme. pdf

Velcade For Multiple Myeloma • • Biomarker is linked to drug efficacy Biomarker results Velcade For Multiple Myeloma • • Biomarker is linked to drug efficacy Biomarker results are then linked to payment • Complete response (CR): minimal / no serum M protein - PAID • Partial response (PR): > 50 % reduction of serum M protein – PAID • Minor or Minimal response (MR): < 50 % reduction of serum M protein - REFUND www. nytimes. com/2007/07/14/business/14 drugprice. html? _r=1&oref=slogin Nature Reviews, Drug Discover: December 2007, v 6, p 945 www. nice. org. uk/nicemedia/pdf/Myeloma. Dof. HSummary. Responder. Scheme. pdf

Pathologist Fear? New Sample Types Beyond Tissue • Molecular Blood Tests • Breath Tests Pathologist Fear? New Sample Types Beyond Tissue • Molecular Blood Tests • Breath Tests • Urine Tests

Pathologist Fear? New Technology Trumps Morphology Currently, 17 % of Burkitt Lymphoma are incorrectly Pathologist Fear? New Technology Trumps Morphology Currently, 17 % of Burkitt Lymphoma are incorrectly diagnosed as Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma Classic Burkitt Lymphoma Atypical Burkitt Lymphoma Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma Source: Louis Staudt, MD, Ph. D. National Cancer Institute

Pathologist Fear? New Technology Beyond Morphology Louis Staudt, MD, Ph. D, National Cancer Institute Pathologist Fear? New Technology Beyond Morphology Louis Staudt, MD, Ph. D, National Cancer Institute ca yp i At Cl as sic l Diffuse Large Burkitt Gene Expression Differentiates Burkitt Lymphoma from B-cell Lymphoma Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma, Improving Patient Care

Pathologist Fear? Molecular Tests are Exploding Source: In Development – Coalition for 21 st Pathologist Fear? Molecular Tests are Exploding Source: In Development – Coalition for 21 st Century Medicine Survey 2007

Venture Capital is focused on DX Increased Venture Capital Spending Nature Biotechnology Volume 24 Venture Capital is focused on DX Increased Venture Capital Spending Nature Biotechnology Volume 24 Number 8 August 2006, Bio. Century's BCIQ, Genzyme Analysis

Pharma and Pathologist Fear and Opportunity FDA Stance On Valid Genomic Biomarkers In The Pharma and Pathologist Fear and Opportunity FDA Stance On Valid Genomic Biomarkers In The Context of Approved Drug Labels o Drugs with Labels Containing Pharmacogenomic Information – 121 n n Drugs with Tests Required - 2 Drugs with Tests Recommended - 3 Drugs with Tests for Information Only – 16 Drugs with No Test Mentioned – 100 Clinical Ligand Assay Society 32 nd International Meeting Louisville, KY May 22, 2006 Felix W. Frueh, Ph. D Associate Director for Genomics, Office of Clinical Pharmacology CDER/FDA

Personalized Medicine - Friend or Foe? o What is it? o Why now? o Personalized Medicine - Friend or Foe? o What is it? o Why now? o When will it be real? o Call to Action

Call to Action Need to Capture the Future Present Future Morphology Tests Molecular Tests Call to Action Need to Capture the Future Present Future Morphology Tests Molecular Tests Stable Base of Technology Many New Emerging Technologies – including Microarrays Single Gene Tests Multi Gene / Multi Technology Tests Tissue Samples Multiple Sample Types Timeframe Varies and Controlled by Pathologist Point of Care Diagnosis Desired (IVD kits more available) Pathologist Initiates& Interprets Diagnosis Molecular Lab Provides Diagnosis directly to Treating Physician

Call to Action Friend or Foe? Personalized Medicine Needs to be a Friend Pathologists Call to Action Friend or Foe? Personalized Medicine Needs to be a Friend Pathologists Need to : - Own Personalized Medicine - Source of expertise on all tests available - Interpreter and consolidator of all test results - Educator of all other physicians on diagnosis Move Industry from Fear to Acceptance

Moving From Fear To Acceptance o Physician Education o Data – Integration into the Moving From Fear To Acceptance o Physician Education o Data – Integration into the EHR / EMR o Policy – Reimbursement and Regulatory Aspinall and Hamermesh, Harvard Business Review, Oct 2007

Move From Fear to Acceptance o Physician Education n Build commitment through education for Move From Fear to Acceptance o Physician Education n Build commitment through education for community physicians n Publish new PM practice guidelines – tests and technologies o Data & Integration into EHR n Create Convincing Data on the positive outcomes and health economics of appropriate use of PM diagnostics n Leadership in the build of the EHR / EMR o Policies Needed n Reimbursement based on value rather than activity n Regulatory options that encourage diagnostic and drug combinations o Embrace “Era of Diagnostics” For Improved Outcomes

Move From Fear to Acceptance o Physician Education – PATHOLOGIST LEAD n Build commitment Move From Fear to Acceptance o Physician Education – PATHOLOGIST LEAD n Build commitment through education for community physicians n Publish new PM practice guidelines – tests and technologies o Data & Integration into EHR – PATHOLOGIST LEAD n Create Convincing Data on the positive outcomes and health economics of appropriate use of PM diagnostics n Leadership in the build of the EHR / EMR o Policies Needed – PATHOLOGIST LEAD n Reimbursement based on value rather than activity n Regulatory options that encourage diagnostic and drug combinations o Embrace “Era of Diagnostics” For Improved Outcomes

Call to Action Opportunities… • • Expand scope of practice Increase impact on patient Call to Action Opportunities… • • Expand scope of practice Increase impact on patient treatment Institutional Knowledge Coordinator Cutting edge expertise • Leadership in Personalized Medicine – it is here to stay

Future Health Care Spending Individual Health Care Spending Curve Current Practice Improved Quality of Future Health Care Spending Individual Health Care Spending Curve Current Practice Improved Quality of Life & Financial Savings Health Care $ stics iagno In D tment vention Inves d Pre An Potential of Personalized Medicine Years Source: Deloitte Development LLC 2006

Acknowledgements o David Turnquist, Boston College o Deloitte Center for Health Solutions o Personalized Acknowledgements o David Turnquist, Boston College o Deloitte Center for Health Solutions o Personalized Medicine Coalition

TRANSFORMING PATHOLOGY: Emerging technology driving practice innovation TRANSFORMING PATHOLOGY: Emerging technology driving practice innovation