The Television Will Be Revolutionized The i. Pad, Internet TV, and Web 3. 0 (The Metaverse) TEDx Del Mar, CA Jun 2010 John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation johnsmart@accelerating. org Slides: accelerating. org/slides. html
Acceleration Studies Foundation: What We Do Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit ▪ We practice evolutionary developmental (“evo devo”) foresight, a model of change that proposes the universe contains both: 1. 2. Contingent and unpredictable evolutionary choices that we use to create unique, informationally valuable, and creative paths (most of which will fail) and a small set of Convergent and predictable developmental constraints (initial conditions, constancies) which direct certain aspects of our long-range future. ▪ Some developmental trends that may be intrinsic to the future of complex systems on Earth include: – – – Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Accelerating intelligence, interdependence and immunity in our global sociotechnological systems Increasing technological autonomy, and Increasing intimacy of the human-machine and physicaldigital interface. © 2010 Accelerating. org
Great Intro Book on “The Post-Network Era” (250 pp) Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit Los Angeles New York Palo Alto The Television Will Be Revolutionized, Amanda Lotz, 2007 Prof. of Comm. Studies, U. Michigan © 2009 Accelerating. org
My White Paper on The Future of Internet TV (47 pp) Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit How the Television Will Be Revolutionized, J. Smart, 2010 Prof. of Emerging Tech, U. Advancing Tech Los Angeles New York http: //accelerating. org/downloads/Smart. J-2010 -How. TVwillbe. Revolutionized. pdf Palo Alto © 2010 Accelerating. org
Web 3. 0 (The 3 D/Video Web) is On the Horizon Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit Los Angeles New York Palo Alto © 2010 Accelerating. org
Five Generic Steps in Web Development Metaverseroadmap. org Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit Web 1. 0 Web 2. 0 Web 3. 0 Web 4. 0 Web 5. 0 Read Mainly - Graphical UI Read/Write/Participatory - Social UI 3 D/Video (i. TV, VW, MW, AR, ) - Metaverse UI Semantic (Valuecosm) - Conversational UI Intelligent (Planetization, Global Brain, Tech and Social ‘Singularity’) - Cognitive UI Web Metaverse Metahumanity We are climbing the hierarchies of the web, via design, use, feedback. Edge platforms include search (Google, Bing, Wolfram Alpha), telephony (i. Phone, Android, Google Voice), static and mobile social networking (Facebook, Foursquare), microblogging (Twitter), conferencing and collaboration environments (Skype, Wave, Web. Ex, Wikis), video (You. Tube, Boxee, P 2 PTV), games and virtual worlds (XBox Live, Second Life), mirror worlds (Google Earth), avatars (Miis, My. Cyber. Twin), lifelogging (My. Life. Bits), augmented reality (QR codes, Wikitude, Layar). Collectively, these are today more a story of intelligence amplification (IA, ‘Sociotech’) than of artificial intelligence (AI, ‘Infotech’). This is, by far, the largest and most meaningful complexity construction process society has ever engaged in. Los Angeles New York Smart, John et. al. 2007. Metaverse Roadmap (to 2025). Metaverseroadmap. org Palo Alto © 2010 Accelerating. org
Fifty Years of Vast Wasteland Acceleration Studies Foundation FCC chairman Newton N. Minow , 1961: A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit "When television is good, nothing — not theater, not the magazines or newspapers — nothing is better. But when television is bad, nothing is worse. I invite each of you to sit down in front of your own television set when your station goes on the air and stay there, for a day, without a book, without a magazine, without a newspaper, without a profit and loss sheet or a rating book to distract you. Keep your eyes glued to that set until the station signs off. I can assure you that what you will observe is a vast wasteland. You will see a procession of game shows, formula comedies about totally unbelievable families, blood and thunder, mayhem, violence, sadism, murder, western bad men, western good men, private eyes, gangsters, more violence, and cartoons. And endless commercials — many screaming, cajoling, and offending. And most of all, boredom. True, you'll see a few things you will enjoy. But they will be very, very few. And if you think I exaggerate, Los Angeles I only ask you to try it. " New York Palo Alto © 2009 Accelerating. org
The Tablet Remote – Web 3. 0’s Killer App Acceleration Studies Foundation What are the most exciting developmental uses for a tablet? #1 i. TV & Video, #2 Social, #3 e. Reading, #4 Games, #5 Clipboard, #6 Apps A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit Apple i. Pad: No Apple TV. Too little, too closed. Lenovo Ideapad U 1: Best multiuse design. June 2010 Will Google get this done? A perfect You. Tube front end. There about 2. 3 billion TVs in the world. 20, 000+ streamable TV channels. Thousands more sit on the web, waiting for bandwidth. May be hundreds of thousands by 2015. § 25% of US TVs sold in Jan 2010 were connected by consumers to the internet (internally or via a set top box, game console, DVD player), 40% of these were internally-enabled. Los Angeles New York § Tablet TV Remote: Voice enabled, collaborative filtering of thousands of channels, 2 ndary screen, social viewing (chat, teamspeak), P 2 PTV, true internet television. Palo Alto © 2010 Accelerating. org §
Web 3. 0 Needs Open Video Standards and Technology Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit Los Angeles New York Palo Alto © 2009 Accelerating. org
Web 3. 0 (Internet) TV and OVML – The Vision Acceleration Studies Foundation l A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit l l l Los Angeles New York Palo Alto l Media center and touch tablet navigation. Control 20, 000+ channels from your lap. Quickly. Voice searches on our tablet, laptop, and smartphone remotes Collaborative rating and filtering systems, like Netflix’s recommendation engine. Social viewing, social networks, and realtime chat. What are my friends watching? Realtime captions. Secondary info streams. Micropayments, Controllable Commercials, and Per-Click Ads. New ways to monetize our video. An open video markup language (OVML). Bringing video into the hypertext world. User annotation. Simple DRM. Sharing, editing, remixing fees. © 2009 Accelerating. org
Web 3. 0 TV Ads – Personalized and Unobtrusive Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit l l Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Automuting (full or half mute, with our without captions) of all commercial breaks. Can “like” and “dislike” both video and ads with a tap on the tablet or a voice command. Can block or unblock video and ads for a preset period (month, a year) a user set period, or forever. Can email the video or ad maker (via contact tag in OVML) your opinion on video or ad. Anonymously published to the cloud unless you opt out. © 2009 Accelerating. org
Web 3. 0 – A More Democratized Media, A Stronger Democracy Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit Los Angeles New York Palo Alto
A Democratic Challenge: America’s Income Inequality Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit l l Los Angeles New York Palo Alto l In the U. S. the top 0. 1% (300, 000 people) made as much in 2008 as the bottom 50% (150 million people) Income and wealth differentials of 50 -100 X are healthy, fair, and incentivize innnovation. (Germany) Differentials of 300 X or more cause corruption, anticompetitiveness, and middle class decay. (US) © 2009 Accelerating. org
Inequality Dynamics: Kuznets Curves and Great U-Turns Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit Los Angeles New York Palo Alto © 2009 Accelerating. org
We’re Not Going to Take It Anymore Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit Howard Beale, Network, 1976 Los Angeles New York Palo Alto The Gadsden Flag, 1775. Symbol of American Patriotism and Disagreement with the Govt. © 2009 Accelerating. org
A Few Things You Can Do Acceleration Studies Foundation 1. Use Netflix Watch Instantly and Red. Box (reserve online) instead of DVD rental places. 2. Buy a TV (HD or standard) with an HDMI video input. Perhaps a Sony Internet TV. 3. Watch the 2 minute Google TV video. Buy a Google TV box or a D-Link Boxee Box this Fall. 4. Cancel your cable and satellite TV. Use the web. Hulu, Blip. tv, TED, You. Tube, Docu. Wiki… Explore! 5. Install Bit. Torrent, and download and seed rare or interesting creative commons licensed video. 6. Install the free Kaltura Open Source Video Los Angeles New York Platform on your website, if you use video. Palo Alto A 501(c)(3) Nonprofit © 2009 Accelerating. org
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