The Review and A New Agenda for Homebuilding John Callcutt Chair Review of Housebuilding Delivery
The Review and A New Agenda for Homebuilding Terms of the Review: • How the supply of new homes is influenced by § § § The nature and structure of the house building industry The supply chain Skills • How these factors influence the delivery of new homes to achieve the Governments target § § 200, 000 new homes p. a. Meeting requirements and aspirations High standards of energy efficiency Progressing to zero carbon
The Review and A New Agenda for Homebuilding • The review will cover but is not limited to § § § § § Full descriptive of the industry The extent to which the industry meets market need Identifying failures and means by which they can be addressed Opportunities and constraints for new entrants Full analysis of the prevailing business model Ability of the industry to increase supply The acquisition, holding and disposal of land Whether the supply chain is a constraint on future production Future need for skills Zero carbon
The Review and A New Agenda for Homebuilding • Increasing competition § § § § Commercial developers Contractors Strategic land developers Housing Associations Land owners Institutions Overseas entrants
The Review and A New Agenda for Homebuilding A new look at some areas of competitive strategy • Bridging the affordability gap with § § • • • Intermediate tenure Open market rental Long term asset growth – investing in recovery Cost effective quality Creating viabilities in marginal or low value areas Risk, return and growth criteria in share valuation Cost effective delivery of energy efficiency Integration with the refurbishment of the existing stock
The Review and Zero Carbon Unique approach by Govt • Agreed timetable • Clear statement of requirements § § § CSH Level 3 2010 CSH Level 4 2013 CSH Level 6 2016 Zero Carbon • Willingness to work with industry – Task Group • Demarcation between Planning and Bldg Regs • Fiscal incentives § § Stamp Duty exemption on zero carbon Budget rumours!
The Review and Zero Carbon On the industry side those affected will be • House builders and other producers • Supply chain and professionals • Land owners • Central generators and providers of renewable generation capability • Other utilities Some key questions • Is it possible or feasible • What happens on small projects • Are current technologies and products adequate • Are on site renewables really effective • Where will the Biomass come from and will it burn “zero carbon” • Can prospective technologies meet the CSH 4 -6 gap in 10 years • What is the role of central generation and its business strategy • How does this key in with strategic objectives eg gas imports / nuclear
The Review and Zero Carbon Impacts will be huge • Most cost effective solutions will determine land competitiveness • Developers have to assess cost benefits of alternative solutions • Supply chain will compete to deliver most cost effective products • Incentives to cheat v. high, effective regulation will be critical Some potential challenges • Unrealistic or unproven claims to shorten timescales creates a free for all • Industry don’t believe Govt is serious • Failure to regulate either performance standards or products • Planning refuses renewable generation plant / infrastructure • Govt delivers consistent message as landowner eg Carbon Challenge • Consumer resistance or • Global warming from emissions disproved / Earth cools down
The Review and Zero Carbon Timetable and announcement • Allows industry to develop out of current fixed price stock • Prevents a free for all on standards • Gives LA’s that deliver on supply the right to raise the bar • Gives time to change business processes • Assured levels of demand will create economies of scale Role of review to help • Understand the key commercial drivers for all stakeholders • Confirm the targets are do-able in commercial terms • Help remove or mitigate some barriers to delivery eg skills • Achieve on other objectives ie Quality / Social / Economic • Maintain a strong domestic development and supply chain • Help reconcile new build with wider objectives eg § § Retrofit on existing stock Wider environmental objectives
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