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The 6 th Meeting of the INTOSAI Working Group The role of KNIs in The 6 th Meeting of the INTOSAI Working Group The role of KNIs in formation of the integrated management system of social and economic progress Dr. Alexander A. Piskunov, Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation Krakow, April 22 -24, 2013

Socio-economic development area The system of SED management USA T Tech s of nes Socio-economic development area The system of SED management USA T Tech s of nes ce ive ten ent ct pe ess om ernm effe ven C ov e iti tur G pet itec om h c arc ues ent niq h gem em ec ana nag nt t Ma me of M e cts) nag Ma bje (o Target state of the Country s ines Bus Government Target state of Business itect ure Government es ess c pro The Arch The dimension of the RF Development Targeting A Target state of Authorities s ines Bus G B B Society S S T Short-term planning China Long-term planning Medium-term planning d bjects) of Au es (o The process it it udit Financial a A Tech Target state of Society dit Performance au it Strategic aud ED m S of e Th s te ys d au Technologies

The coordination of the global development by supranational structures UN OECD IMF Finance Economy The coordination of the global development by supranational structures UN OECD IMF Finance Economy Social Sphere Environment WTO INTOSAI World Bank

Global risks 2013, WEF, “Global Risks Report 2013” Global risks 2013, WEF, “Global Risks Report 2013”

A comparison of the level of income and level of happiness «Very happy» 100 A comparison of the level of income and level of happiness «Very happy» 100 or «happy enough» , % 90 Netherlands Sweden Finland Columbia Mexico Indonesia Salvador Nigeria 80 70 60 50 40 Ireland Vietnam Venezuela Czech Republic Portugal Сингапур Great Britain France Slovenia Spain Argentine Greece Philippines Croatia Hungary Israel China Republic of Dominicans South Korea SA Egypt Algeria Poland Uganda Morocco Peru Slovakia Iran India Estonia Lithuania Bangladesh Jordan Turkey Azerbaijan Tanzania Macedonia Pakistan Latvia Belarus Georgia Albany Bulgaria Romania Zimbabwe Brazil Uruguay Moldova Japan NDP Ukraine Per capita income 0 USA Belgium Germany Italy Russia Switzerland Denmarkя Austria Norway Australia New Zeeland Chili Canada 5 10 U. S. $ thousands per yeat 15 20 25 30 Leyrad, R. Happiness: Lessons from a New Science. M. : . Gaidar Institute, 2012. - p. 146 35

The problem of the sustainable growth of national wealth insurance Competitiveness Safety Viability Social The problem of the sustainable growth of national wealth insurance Competitiveness Safety Viability Social cohesion Quality of life Quality of control Russia 2020 Development potentials imbalance The target vector of development Quality of life satisfaction Development potentials harmonization Discrepancy of vectors of development Russia 2012 GR P 2013 The actual gradient of the development vector g pendin care s Health 2020

Indicators, factors and spheres of social development spending per pupil time for rest expenditure Indicators, factors and spheres of social development spending per pupil time for rest expenditure (% GDP) Work/life balance level of crime Indicators Regulating factors quality of services average pension Social spheres Social development relevance of the knowledge Security Social services Education Social security Payments, facilities l nt cia me Solop ve de poverty quality of knowledge Quality Democracy, voter turnout governance Gini index Costs Labor market Coverage expenditure (% GDP) Costs expenditure Per Capita Health Distribution of income of households Coverage Социальные сферы % of population with different levels of education level of vaccination Employment unemployment the economically active population Quality availability of first aid life expectancy death rate healthy environment 7

Problems in selecting of development scenarios Architecture SEI der n izat ion Targeting Mo Problems in selecting of development scenarios Architecture SEI der n izat ion Targeting Mo The selection of the development vector h wt ro SEI – Social and economic indicators ion lizat abi St SEI G SEI SEI Degr adat ion Time Technologies

The problem of balancing the interests of government, business and society Channels of influence The problem of balancing the interests of government, business and society Channels of influence Sphere of Government interests s Busines Re Re so ou rce s Products and Services S s s ce s iice s erv iice erv ce d S Serv d S erv an d S an n ts ts uc s a uc s od od d ct Pr rodu P o P B y ety cie So So cm cm et et Ar ch ch a a it rk rke t ec et tu t r t e e E E xte er rn Do na D al lm m m ma es ark rk ti i Products and Services The balance of KNIs al ma et External market Ex Domestic market G Architecture Arc Sphere of Business interests Pow er s rce ou es R Resources TNK A Cen ters of f Pro orc duc e ts a Pro nd duc Ser ts a vic nd es Ser Pow vic er es Technologies of development es urc o res et d ark orl W lm t na rke r te ma Ex tic s re ctu me ite Do rch nt e pm elo y v De wa ath p Sphere of Social interests

The problem of synchronization of SED processes % GDP in previous year World China The problem of synchronization of SED processes % GDP in previous year World China Эф USA фек EU Russia т B B Business Consumer confidence index WORLD 10 0 ISM SED S S Political cycles G Government ye ar s 6 years KNI Society Demographic cycles s G 1 m ISM SED – Institute for Systems Management of Social-economic development ISM S ED

How is life, Russia? Индекс качества Индекс How is life, Russia? Индекс качества Индекс

Management of targeted effects of development «Where are you going, Russia? » The concept Management of targeted effects of development «Where are you going, Russia? » The concept of long-term development 2020 Vector of the Authorities’ Public obligations Vector of the public expectations Sa fe ty Competitiveness θ φ Discrepancy of the development vectors ω Russia 2013 The actual gradient of the development vector ty o Quali f life

The problem of the balance of the key development potentials Sphere of progress Sovereignty The problem of the balance of the key development potentials Sphere of progress Sovereignty Competitiveness Safety Viability Identity Quality of life Balance of Cpb Disorientation Inequality Depopulation Threats and Risks Degradation Dependence Sphere of regress

Reference model of management and audit of socioeconomic development Liabilities of Business Strategic planning Reference model of management and audit of socioeconomic development Liabilities of Business Strategic planning Standards of social responsibility Liabilities of Authority Doctrines Concepts Programming Reports on corporate social responsibility Budgeting and management of realization Programs Projects Budgets Plans Public-private partnership Liabilities of non-governmental organizations Reports of governors Synchronization of goals, architecture and technology transformation Reports on the results and main areas of activity of the Government Results of public hearings Coordination of goals, resources and measures of the Authority, Society and Business 14

The problem of imbalances in costs and benefits of the progress GDP Income level The problem of imbalances in costs and benefits of the progress GDP Income level h owt gr Level of happiness tj tk Inc rea Costs se i nc ost s tm Time

Knowledge Base on KNI (http: //nfbr. prognoz. ru/kni) 16 Knowledge Base on KNI (http: //nfbr. prognoz. ru/kni) 16

Visualization and comparison of the positions of countries and of the development targets 17 Visualization and comparison of the positions of countries and of the development targets 17

Comparison of the strategic levels of SED ∆ CPB ? ∆ KNI СЭР Goal Comparison of the strategic levels of SED ∆ CPB ? ∆ KNI СЭР Goal s ? Resources ∆ KPI Activities NWF ∆ $ Time ?

Targeting Architecture Technology {T, Arch, Т} Business ТН А lo no ch y Te Targeting Architecture Technology {T, Arch, Т} Business ТН А lo no ch y Te g ГА ЧА Architectur e М И Projects Contracts Assets {P, C, As} tra {S, Op, Tr} ОИ Society International law State law Private law Short-term (tactical) Strateging Contracting Budgeting Contracts Objects ∆ KNI Tools Targets Ф А МА НМ А Targets effects Life cycles Products and services H 4 Directions Standards Agreemen ts Bans ТКТ ∆ KPI H 2 Technologie s H 2 ЭПП Sanctio ns Operations Transactions Target s X 3 R 34 X 4 Architecture Operations ОПР Architectur e X 2 R 23 X 3 Industrial СТР Assets Projects Long-term (strategic) Medium-term (operational) Regional ac ns s a Tr n H 1 Trance national n Co tio ∆ CPB H 3 СЭЭ X 1 R 12 X 2 Subjects Assets Sanctions Operations Transactions ГИ s ct ЧК Budgeting Government o To Subjects {С, И, О} Objects ls Target s Subjects Tools Objects Projects Contracting Programming Strategy development Decomposition of levels of SED management Trance national State Private ∆ KCI Technologie s H 3 Assets Projects Contracts БЭО

Equilibrium of capabilities as a condition of harmonized development Safety Sovereignty Identity Cpb Competitiveness Equilibrium of capabilities as a condition of harmonized development Safety Sovereignty Identity Cpb Competitiveness Quality of life Viability Harmonious development index National wealth

The problem of the balance of the key development potentials Sphere of progress Sovereignty The problem of the balance of the key development potentials Sphere of progress Sovereignty Competitiveness Safety Viability Identity Quality of life Balance of Cpb Disorientation Inequality Depopulation Threats and Risks Degradation Dependence Sphere of regress

The new Federal Law on the Accounts Chamber was adopted in Russia in April The new Federal Law on the Accounts Chamber was adopted in Russia in April 2013 • Article 14 «… 7. Strategic Audit is used to assess the feasibility, risks and consequences of the results of the strategic goals in the field of security and socio-economic development of the Russian Federation realization. Assessment should cover final (target) and achieved (current) values of key national indicators, which reflect the degree and quality of the implementation of socioeconomic effects and cumulative effects of the socioeconomic development of the Russian Federation …»

Thank you for attention! Thank you for attention!