Stray Dogs Cats Draft Conservation Assessment of

Stray Dogs & Cats Draft Conservation Assessment of Commercial Sector Stand-Alone Measures January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 1

Context • Technical & Economic Potential – Not yet adjusted for achievable potential – Not yet adjusted for baseline adoption of measure due to practices or price – Economic Potential based on TRC Benefit/Cost Ratio >=1. 0 January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 2

Context • Costs & savings modeled under Council Inputs – 4. 75% Discount Rate – Zero Externalities Credit – Program costs at 20% of capital cost January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 3

List of Measures January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 4

Quiz: Which is the biggest? • Answer: Later January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 5

Municipal Sewage Treatment • Process Optimization • Sensors & Controls • Remote Monitoring • Training January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 6

Municipal Sewage Treatment • Facilities • 842 • Total Treated Flow • 2000 MGD • Total Electricity Use • 340 MWa • Pilot Savings • 30% to 70% • NEB • Big and Bold January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 7

MST Major Input Assumptions • Use per MDG from 194 facilities by type • Total capacity from survey of 842 with capacity data on about 500 • Costs, NEB and Savings from Bac. Gen pilots and site visits • Current penetration minimal January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 8

MST Major Input Assumptions • Savings Potential Inputs % – Activated Sludge >10 MGD = • 9% – Activated Sludge 1 -10 MGD = • 25% – Activated Sludge < 1 MGD = • 30% – Extended Aeration Lagoons = • 30% – Aerated/Mixed Lagoons • 25% January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays = 9

MST Non-Energy Benefits • Labor (automation of sampling & report) • Solids reduction (removal & disposal) • Chemical reduction • Capacity enhancement (not quantified) January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 10

Municipal Sewage Treatment January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 11

Municipal Sewage Treatment January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 12

Municipal Sewage Treatment • Natural Utility Program – Each facility is different – Strong non-energy benefits – Lots of barriers • Industrial sewage treatment loads are similar magnitude – Add to industrial supply curve January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 13

LED Traffic Lights • Still remaining retrofit potential • Spotty penetration – Seattle & Portland completed R&G – Ada County Idaho at 10% • Costs dropping • now cost-effective Green • It’s a question of when January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 14

LED Traffic Lights • Stock Inputs – Based on national data on signal density – Growth with population • Retrofit Penetration of LED – Based on informal phone survey by state – Red 56%, Green 38%, Walk 4% • New Signal Penetration of LEDs – Red 90%, Green 90%, Walk 50% January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 15

LED Traffic Lights January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 16

LED Exit Signs • Stock estimates vary widely – Used conservative estimate – 2, 000 units • Retrofit penetration – 20% LED & CFL – Previous CFL available for retro • New construction penetration – 80% LED January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 17

LED Exit Signs • Cost & Savings Potential – Used RTF assumptions • Retrofit Technologies – LED 80% – Electro-Luminescent 10% – CFL 5% – Cold Cathode 5% January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 18

Exit Signs January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 19

Municipal Water Supply • Identified during sewage treatment pilots • Municipal use for treatment is 120 – 150 MWa • Aging systems • 4600 facilities PNW • Savings potential 20 -30% – 24 MWa to 45 MWa • Need cost estimates – pilot January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 20

Municipal Water Supply Population Served Total Population 25 -500 Number of Systems 3, 528 501 -3, 300 693 964, 805 3, 301 -10, 000 184 1, 064, 488 10, 001 -100, 000 157 4, 265, 912 >100, 000 12 2, 705, 212 Total 4, 574 9, 469, 538 January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 469, 121 21

Municipal Water Supply • Real-Time System Modeling & Optimization • Pump Systems Benchmarking & Optimization • Low-cost Metering & Data Collection • Automated Pressure Management • Automated Monitoring, Control & Optimization • Leak Detection & Pipeline Monitoring January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 22

Network PC Management • • Better enabling of power management controls Savings 200 k. Wh/PC Existing Savings 160 k. Wh/PC New Stock changeover January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 23

Network PC Management • Stock Assumptions – – Growth tied to commercial employment Plus 20% increase in density of desktop PC Conversion to LCD display Conversion to hotter chips • Savings Assumptions – 200 k. Wh/PC existing PCs per RTF – 160 k. Wh/PC new PCs January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 24

Network PC Management January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 25

Network PC Management January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 26

Network PC Management January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 27

LCD Computer Monitors • Market share now 20%+ • Costs dropping with production capacity increases • Assume in Forecast • Remove 45 MWa at 2025 January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 28

Power Supplies in Equipment • • January 21, 2003 TV Cordless phone Computers UPS Visa machine Answering machines Chargers Coommercial Sector Strays 29

Power Supplies in Equipment • • US Stock – 8 person 2. 5 Billion Units US Power Supply Losses – 350 MWa Efficiencies – 40% Low End – 90% High End • Savings Potential – US 175 MWa, PNW 7 MWa and growing January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 30

Packaged Refrigeration Appliances • • • January 21, 2003 Vending Machines Ice Makers Reach-ins Beverage Merchandisers Walk-ins Water Coolers Coommercial Sector Strays 31

Packaged Refrigeration Appliances January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 32

Not Yet Estimated • • January 21, 2003 Commercial clothes washers Printers and copiers Parking garage ventilation Air compressors GFX heat exchangers Street and highway lighting High velocity hand dryers Coommercial Sector Strays 33

January 21, 2003 Coommercial Sector Strays 34