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Strategic Force Development – the route to the next SDSR Will Jones, AH Strat Strategic Force Development – the route to the next SDSR Will Jones, AH Strat Man (OA) ISMOR DGs Finance & Strategy

Force Development Policy Force Development Affordability Capability DGs Finance & Strategy Force Development Policy Force Development Affordability Capability DGs Finance & Strategy

Lessons Learned over SDSR § Limited buy-in from seniors • • Visibility Credibility § Lessons Learned over SDSR § Limited buy-in from seniors • • Visibility Credibility § Policy compliant • Resource informed § Connection to MOD battle-rhythm(s) • • • Annual finance processes New capability decisions 5 year SDSR cycle DGs Finance & Strategy

National Security Strategic Defence and Security Review (SDSR) DGs Finance & Strategy National Security Strategic Defence and Security Review (SDSR) DGs Finance & Strategy

Force Development - Future Directed Force 2010 Interim Force 2015 Current Ops and Selected Force Development - Future Directed Force 2010 Interim Force 2015 Current Ops and Selected Contingencies Future Force 2020 Force Driving Future Character of Conflict 2030 2020 Scenarios Evolved though Strat Trends Force Testing Capability Effects New Scenarios ‘Conceptual Environments’ Capability Delivery Capability Questions DGs Finance & Strategy

SFD – POLICY TO CAPABILITY FFD (FWD) FFD CFD 2011 2015 2020 2025 2031 SFD – POLICY TO CAPABILITY FFD (FWD) FFD CFD 2011 2015 2020 2025 2031 DGs Finance & Strategy

Future Force Development § § § § 4 per year Focussed at +10 year Future Force Development § § § § 4 per year Focussed at +10 year point Blue force pool 2020 -2025 Multiple COAs Resource aware Detailed evidence for the rest of MOD Concurrency What are the implications of our policy? DGs Finance & Strategy

Future Force Development (Forward) § § § § 4 per year Follow from FFD Future Force Development (Forward) § § § § 4 per year Follow from FFD Focussed at +10 year point Blue force pool 2020 -2025 Multiple COAs Resource aware Detailed evidence for the rest of MOD Concurrency What are the implications of changing our policy? DGs Finance & Strategy

Conceptual Force Development § § 2 events per year Focussed around 2030 Broader “conceptual Conceptual Force Development § § 2 events per year Focussed around 2030 Broader “conceptual futures” Informing R&D and Capability Headmarks • Implications of where Defence may go What may we be asked to face in the future? DGs Finance & Strategy

Battle Rhythm § Annual • • • 4 FFD(F) 2 CFD § 5 year Battle Rhythm § Annual • • • 4 FFD(F) 2 CFD § 5 year cycle • • Year 3 – Joint and Single Environment Operating Concepts Years 3 and 4 – Global Strategic Trends Year 4 – FCOC Year 5 – SDSR DGs Finance & Strategy

Lessons Learned over SDSR § Limited buy-in from seniors • • Visibility Credibility § Lessons Learned over SDSR § Limited buy-in from seniors • • Visibility Credibility § Policy compliant • Resource informed § Connection to MOD battle-rhythm(s) • • • Annual finance processes New capability decisions 5 year SDSR cycle DGs Finance & Strategy

DGs Finance & Strategy DGs Finance & Strategy