SANCTIONS AGAINST RUSSIA ARE THEY WORKING By Aida

SANCTIONS AGAINST RUSSIA: ARE THEY WORKING? By Aida Ziganshina

CONTENT: Understanding Russian mindset; Comparison of what Russia was before Putin and with Putin; The reasons why Russia supports rebels and accepted Crimea as part of its territory; The sanctions taken by the Western block; The outcome; Putin’s popularity.

UNDERSTANDING RUSSIAN MINDSET: Russia is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma. (Winston Churchill) In 20 th century Russia faced 3 revolutions; 2 World Wars; 2 State sponsored terrors against its own population; 6 other wars. Russia lost approximately 42, 2 million people in wars and state sponsored actions in 20 th century. 28 in the WWII. Russian people are one of the most traumatized in the world, facing war threats from European side since its creation in 7 th century, being mass murdered by its own rulers since 10 th century. History of Russian European wars: Rus’: Not united; weak, but rather democratic state. (Novgorod Veche) from 1055 to 1462 Russia was attacked 225 times; Rus’ was created in Kiev and was democratic. Mainly wars with Sweden, Poland, Lithuania, Mongolia. For 2 centuries was under Mongolia’s Rule: 13 th -15 th century.

KIEV RUS’ MAP. ATTACKED FROM

RUSSIA CHANGES POLICY. MOSCOW KINGDOM. Russia moves towards Asia to create a buffer zone from attacks; European side is still not protected.

RUSSIAN HISTORY TH 17 -19 CENTURIES. 17 th century: the civil war sponsored by Poland, Ukraine, Lithuania; 17 th century 3 attacks on Russia from the West: Poland; Lithuania; Turkey; 18 th century: coalition of Sweden, Poland, Saxony, Denmark attack Russia for the Baltic sea. So-called “Northern war”; 18 th century: 3 wars against Turkey for Crimea; End of 18 th century: while Russia is in war against England in coalition with France for hegemony in Northern America, it is attacked by Sweden; 19 th Century: Russia is neutral in wars in Europe. Napoleon conquers Europe, attacks Russia. Conquers Moscow, Russian army burns Moscow and fights Napoleon from forests. Napoleon loses, Russian army liberalizes Europe. 19 th Century: 2 wars with Turkey over Crimea and Greece.

RUSSIAN MAP IN TH 19 CENTURY:

TH 20 CENTURY: 20 th century Russian Japanese war over control of China. Russia loses. WWI: Russia supports Serbia; Sends troops after requests of France, UK to fight Germany and Austro. Hungary. 2 Civil wars in Russia; Lenin signs the capitulation of Russian forces in WWI to win Civil War. Scholars state that Lenin’s revolution was sponsored by Japan, Germany and the USA bankers. WWII: Russia is attacked by Germany. Lost 28 000 people; The most bloody battles of World History: Stalingrad, Leningrade blockade, Kurskaya Duga. USSR brings 80% of German’s losses in WWII. Afghan War: Soviet troops enter Afghanistan on the request of the Parliament. Soviet soldiers were not allowed to use heavy weapon. NATO and Islamic states financially supported Taliban to fight Soviets. Dissolution of the Soviet Union.

MILITARY DEATHS. ALLIES.

MAP OF THE USSR

MODERN RUSSIA: Perestroika: Gorbachev offers full-scale liberalization of the USSR; Gorbachev receives Nobel Peace Prize. Dissolution of the USSR in 1990; August Coup in Russia: Elcin comes to power. 1000 s heavy machinery were brought to Moscow: the risk of civil war. Elcin receives approximately 5 billion dollars from the USA, Italy, Germany, France to win the elections in Russia. https: //www. youtube. com/watch? v=v. Hfbp. L 0 NDmw Elcin gives away all Russian Uraniun-231 (500 tones) to the USA for 1/1000 s of its market price; Elcin gives away for free to the USA Bering Strait; Approximately 16% of world oil is in this territory. Elcin gives away for free to China 2000 km 2 of Russian territory; Russia losses war in Chechnya, which started with ethnic cleansings of Russians in Chechnya. Thousands of Russian soldiers die. Chechnya is an independent state.

MAP OF RUSSIA.

PUTIN COMES TO POWER. 31 December, 1999 Elcin gives a speech: “I am leaving, I am tired”. Elcin had 3 % popularity in Russia. The song “the one like Putin” sang by Russian girl’s band becomes super popular. https: //www. youtube. com/watch? v=tng 8 g 95 sn. Lw

FORECAST FOR RUSSIA IN 1990 S. According the Western economists and political scientists, the forecast for Russia was: -Full bankruptcy of Russia; -Constant growth of inflation; - Negative growth of population – 1 million people annually. UN WHO statistics. -Ethnic Civil war in Russia since Russia has more than 190 ethnicities with their own culture, religion, language. Now Russia provides full freedom to practice any culture and religion in Russia.

‘WE’LL WHACK THEM, EVEN IN THE OUTHOUSE’ V. V. PUTIN. FIGHT AGAINST TERRORISM. Chechnya in 90 s is something like ISIS. Radical Islamists, who have old Russian weapons, sponsored by The Western block sponsored Chechen “rebels” during first Chechen War, Chechens have many Afghan mercenaries and US weapons. Chechnya organizes major ter. acts: 6 -9 terrorist attacks annually since 1990 s in Russia. Terrorists: Hijack planes, bomb houses, attack trains, attack Nord Ost theater, Beslan School. Russia sends troops to Chechnya. Wins the Second Chechnen War. Prevents up to 7000 terrorist attacks a year. Recent Ukrainian government publicly stated they support terrorism in Russia and shall create a Fund to sponsor Islam fundamentalists in Russia.

NOW CHECHEN’S LOVE PUTIN. 98% CHECHENS SUPPORT PUTIN.

THE DATA OF TERRORISM IN RUSSIA.

DEMOCRACY AND LIBERALISM IN RUSSIA (1991 -1999). PUTIN (2000 -2014). INFLATION.

BIRTH-DEATH RATE IN RUSSIA. 2014 – FIRST TIME +8000.

LIFE EXPECTANCY

DRUG ADDICTION.

GDP.

UKRAINIAN CRISES. WHY RUSSIA SUPPORTS REBELS? ! 1. NATO bases. When the Berlin Wall felt, USSR made a deal with Nato it will not expand East. NATO agreed. In 2008 NATO offered Ukraine and Georgia seat at NATO. Yanukovic (former president) declined European integration. Ukrainian Coup was sponsored by the US State Department. It cost 5 billion dollars according leaked phone talks between V. Nolan and K. Ashton. 2. Crimea has been territory of Russia for centuries. Khrushev added it to the Ukraine because he wanted to gain Ukrainian support in the Political Party. Crimea is 85% only Russian speaking. New Ukrainian Parliament wanted to fully prohibit Russian language in Ukraine. These people do not speak Ukrainian at all.

NATO BASES.

CRIMEA AND SIMFEROPOL. In July, 2014 I conducted research in Crimes. 1500 people were asked. 96 % were happy to become a part of Russia and faced the increase of life standard. Simferopol is “hero city” for Russia.

1 ST PACKAGE OF SANCTIONS. INDIVIDUAL. ASSETS FREEZE AND PROHIBITION TO ENTER EU/USA. WHY NO MEDVEDEV?

RUSSIAN/EU TRADE.

GERMAN/RUSSIAN ECONOMY MUTUAL DEPENDENCY.

DID SANCTIONS WORK? NOT REALLY.

SECOND AND THIRD PACKAGE: Oil Companies; Prohibition to sell double-use equipment; Prohibition to sell equipment which Russia may use to develop new oil deposits; Prohibition for banks to give long term credits to Russian companies; Exclusion of Russia from World Financial Market; Prohibition to enter EU/US by anyone from Crimea, Simferopol’. Prohibition to send post from EU/US to Crimea/Simferopol’ Many other.

WESTERN COMPANIES TAKE A HIT.

EMBARGO. RUSSIAN RESPONSE.

OUTCOMES OF SANCTIONS. Everyone is hurt, but Russia is the most. Peace march in Moscow

FRENCH FARMERS’ RESPONSE. DISAPPROVAL OF AUTHORITIES’ DECISION

MISTRAL: SEND OR NOT TO SEND?

FRANCE’S REPUTATION AND JOBS AT STAKE.

RUSSIAN ECONOMY IS SINKING. “SO WHAT” SAY RUSSIANS.

RUSSIAN RECESSION

RUSSIAN INFLATION

WHAT IS RUSSIA? COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE: RESOURCES GIANT PROJECTS. -3 rd in Global gold mining; -2 nd in diamonds mining; -50 % of Global fossil hydrocarbons; -46 % of Global nickel; -40 % of Global platinum; -20 % of Global forests; -10 % of Global drinking water; -20% of Global arable land.

WATER.

EU DEPENDENCE ON RUSSIAN GAS.

“SOUTH STREAM” IS CLOSED. Bulgaria’s approximate income annually from South Stream was suppose to be $400 mln. 3 billion in investments; 60 000 new jobs; Saving billions of dollars to EU through cheaper gas. EU goes to Turkey on 9 th December to discuss the request not to support Russia now.

RUSSIA SHIFTS TO ASIA.

RUSSIA AND CHINA SIGNED 400 BILLION GAS DEAL. NEW PIPELINES+MAJOR INVESTMENTS.

RUSSIA SIGNED AN AGREEMENT WITH IRAN Russia will provide Iran with Peaceful Uranium in exchange for Oil

RUSSIAN RELATIONS WITH SUDAN Russia offers Sudan to build railway; Russia offers Sudan to sell weapons; Russia offers Sudan to explode Sudanese oil deposits. No other choice for Sudan due to UN SC sanctions.

OTHER CONTRACTS: Russia will sell coal to both Koreas; Russia will sell weapons to Nigeria; Russia will import agriculture from Turkey, Peru, Argentina;

WHAT IS HAPPENING TODAY? EU softened bank sanctions and oil sector sanctions; Hollande came to visit Putin to talk about improvements they may achieve; German FM warns not to escalate the conflict. States that Germany will not approval Ukraine to NATO. EU blackmails Serbia: introduce sanctions and we will take you to the EU. Italy says: “sanctions are mistake”. Russia says: “we will not ask to life sanctions”. US House of representatives introduced “anti-Russian resolution” requiring to send more weapon to Ukraine, asking for more sanctions against Russia. Putin will visit India on 11 th of December. New contracts? India publicly states its disapproval of sanctions.

RUSSIAN SUPPORT OF V. PUTIN Putin received 82% support of his acts in Crimea. When sanctioned were introduced, his popularity grew to 89%. After Russia felt to recession and lost 40% value of currency, his popularity is still around 80%.

B. OBAMA.

A. MERKEL AND HOLLANDE

RUSSIAN CITIZENS’ REACTION.

SOME MORE INFO ABOUT PUTIN FOR RUSSIA AND WORLD. https: //www. youtube. com/watch? v=y. DIl. Q 3_ls. KE “Go Hard like Vladimir Putin” becomes ultra popular. Putin is recognized by TIMES as the most influential man 2 nd time. Book about Russia v. USA in energy war “The Colder War” by M. Katusa becomes New York’s Best seller. https: //www. youtube. com/watch? v=_nj. YUA 3 uur. U

WHAT DOES MAJORITY OF RUSSIANS FEEL: Attack on a President Russians see as a personal attack; Russians do not trust the West, democracy and are sure that the West wants to attack Russia; Russians believe that sanctions were introduced to change the regime in Russia, destabilize economy, country to change the President and bring someone like Khodorkovsky to power. Russians believe that the Nazis came to power in Ukraine. Partially true, the Political party “Svoboda”(Freedom) is neofascist, as well as “Pravi Sector”(Right sector). Only in Moscow you may find more than 30 % people disapprove Putin. Russians are prepared for 2 -3 years recession. No panic. After 820% inflation in 1992 people are prepared to see anything. Russians feel they prevent war in Russia by these actions.

THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION Welcome to Russia!