Sales of Ukrainian excess agricultural output abroad are guaranteed by: ü Favorable climate ü Access to the Black Sea and good transport infrastructure in the country ü Geographic location of developing countries ü Expected growth of their population ü Diet changes in the developing countries ü Relatively higher prime cost of goods produced by powerful rivals in the region, namely Russia, France and Germany Ukraine will provide 50% of the world sunflower oil exports and 10% of crops in FY 2012/2013.
Key agricultural sectors Bulk oil market Bottle oil market Grain market • • a large number of producers few owners of crushing capacities strong demand for substitute products high profitability • exhausted domestic market • excess is exported to neighboring countries • no grounds for rapid growth of the world demand • • TOP 5 companies provide 50% of exports absence of substitute products a growing number of potential consumers production of soybeans to expand
Main industry trends: Wheat Price (FOB), USD per mt ü Integration into Russia ü Search for new trade areas ü Decrease in a spread between world and Ukrainian prices ü Low crop yield (except sunflower) 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2005 2006 Difference 2007 2008 World 2009 2010 Ukraine 2011
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