Renewables Go Big Wind Christian Kjaer Chief Executive Officer European Wind Energy Association European Parliament, 2 September 2009
Global Annual and Cumulative capacity (1996 -2008) Global market for wind turbines in 2008: € 35 billion
Annual wind energy installations MW Source: EWEA
Cumulative wind energy installations Source: EWEA
New power capacity additions 1999 -2008 (EU-27, GW) Total installed: 200 GW GW 100, 0 58, 9 10, 4 Natural Gas 50% Wind Coal 29% 5% 8, 8 Photo. Voltaic 4% 7, 0 5, 8 Fuel Oil 4% Nuclear 3% 3, 9 3, 4 1, 8 Hydro Biomass Other 2% 2% 1% Source: EWEA, EPIA and Platts Power. Vision
New power generating capacity in 2008 (EU, GW) Total installed: 23, 851 MW MW 8, 484 6, 932 4, 200 2, 495 762 Wind Gas 36% 29% Photovoltaic 18% Fuel Oil 10% Coal 3% 473 296 149 Hydro Biomass Other 2% 1% 1% 60 Nuclear 0, 3% Source: EWEA, EPIA and Platts Power. Vision
Wind development is similar to other power sources 18 years of global wind energy development (1991 -2008) compared to the first 18 years of nuclear development (1961 -1976) MW Annual Wind Annual Nuclear Total Wind Total Nuclear '61 '62 '63 '64 '65 '66 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72 '73 '74 '75 '76 '77 '78 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 Source: EWEA – IAEE
Wind power installed in Europe by end of 2008 (cumulative) Source: EWEA, Pure Power (March 2008)
Wind Energy in EU-27 – status 2008 • 65 GW installed capacity, incl. 1. 47 GW offshore • Annual installations of 8. 5 GW (43% of total), incl. 0. 35 GW offshore • Electricity production of 142 TWh • Meeting 4. 2% of total EU electricity demand • Providing power equivalent to the needs of 35 million average EU households • Avoiding 108 Mt of CO 2 – equivalent to taking more than 50 million cars off the road (20% of the EU car fleet) and equal to 31% of the EU-15’s Kyoto obligation • Annual avoided fuel cost of € 5. 4 billion* • Annual avoided CO 2 costs of approximately € 2. 4 billion* • Annual investments in wind turbines of € 11 billion* *Source: Pure Power; Wind Energy Scenarios to 2030; EWEA March 2008; www. EWEA. org
How Much Renewable Electricity? How Much Wind Power? 20% Renewable Energy by 2020 requires: • 35% electricity from RES • 25% heating from RES • 10% biofuels from RES Electricity 2005: 15% incl. 10% large hydro and 3% wind Excluding large hydro the share of renewable electricity must increase from 5% to app. 25%, in 15 years depending on power demand 1 EC baseline scenario EU demand (2020): 4163. 7 TW/h
March 2009: EWEA increased its 2020 target from 180 GW to 230 GW (incl. 40 GW offshore) Rising energy demand contribution from wind power 2000: 12. 9 GW 2008: 66 GW Two decades to install 0. 9% of EU electricity demand Accelerating pace: reaching 4. 2% end 2008 Demand: 2, 577 TWh Demand: 3, 380 TWh 2020: 230 GW 14%-18% despite growing demand Demand: 4, 107 TWh Source: EWEA
Average annual EU wind power installations required to reach 230 GW by 2020 GW 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2008 level 2008 2009 -2010 2011 -2015 2016 -2020 Source: EWEA
New EWEA Target for the European Union • 230 GW wind power in 2020 (including 40 GW offshore) • 600 TWh per year by 2020 • 14– 18 % of EU Electricity Demand Requires app. € 200 bn in non-R&D investments in 2009 -2020 (€ 125 bn onshore / € 75 bn offshore)
Electricity Generating Cost in the EU, 2015 and 2030
Three Major Global Challenges • Energy crisis and sustained high fuel prices • Environmental crisis (IPCC: 25 -40% CO 2 reduction) • Financial crisis And three major European Challenges: • App. 350 GW of new electricity generating capacity must be constructed before 2020 (50% of current total) • Increasing energy imports at higher cost • Ineffective competition in EU power market and insufficient investment in power infrastructure
Thank you very much for your attention www. ewea. org RENEWABLE ENERGY HOUSE 63 -65 RUE D’ARLON B-1040 BRUSSELS T: +32 2 546 1940 F: +32 2 546 1944 E: ewea@ewea. org
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