Regional Integration Through ASEAN Keynote address by Rodolfo C. Severino, Head, ASEAN Studies Centre, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, at the Asian-German Dialogue Singapore, 23 June 2011
Meaning of Regional Integration • Broader meaning: – Political cohesion – Economic integration – Regional cooperation • Inter-related • Work in progress (2015? ), esp. pol/sec and socio-cultural • Will take time; never-ending • External relations
Political Cohesion • Vietnam into Cambodia – Resistance – Political settlement • Philippines • Myanmar • Human rights • South China Sea • Cambodia-Thailand skirmishes • Blueprint for APSC full of words like encourage, promote, etc. , but aim is clear – no fighting between members and keeping SE Asia uninvolved in quarrels of major power; inclusive, nonadversarial
Economic Integration • AFTA – Tariff-cutting on track – NTBs • AICO working • Other agreements in place: – Services – Investments – Customs – Standards and conformance – Transport, communications • Problem: implementation, effectiveness • But commitments
Regional Cooperation • • • SARS, other communicable diseases Haze Drugs Terrorism, TNC Environment
Obstacles to Integration: ASEAN • Diversity – Political, economic, social systems – Historic alliances and orientations – Disparities in economic levels – Differences in institutional strength • Mutual suspicion • Legacy of antagonism • Different values placed on regionalism
Obstacles to Integration: East Asia • Rivalry among NE Asians • ASEAN default hub and convenor • Disparities: – Political – Economic – Social • Mutual suspicion
External Relations • • Dialogue partnerships ARF ASEAN+3 ASEM ASEAN+1 s EAS ASEAN-UN
External Relations • FTA: CEP or CEC (mainly political, except probably ANZ) • China • Japan • ROK • India • ANZ • US? • EU?
ASEAN+3 • CMI: – Surveillance – Swap arrangements – Training and research • Multilateralization • Enlargement • Other areas of cooperation
EAS • • ASEAN+3+Australia, India, NZ Promoted by Japan, Singapore, Indonesia Leaders-led ERIA Now Russia, US EAFTA vs CEPEA? Issues that may arise from US entry: – CEPEA: ROK FTA experience, TPP, FTAAP – US agenda
What can EU and others do? • Support for IAI: – Infrastructure – HRD – Reforms • Do not let Myanmar politics hamper relations with ASEAN • Rule of law in SCS • AICO
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