Progress of the Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues

Progress of the Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling (29 th meeting) Michael Ball (IFARE) Franck Delacroix (ADEME) Nadine Allemand (CITEPA) Amiens, 10 – 12 May, 2004 Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 1

Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) Techno-economic data and their validation are essential for the derivation of consistent and cost-efficient reduction strategies for air pollutants and green house gases. Issues of improvement regarding IAM databases: data quality, lack of transparency, level of aggregation Opportunity for Industry/Parties to provide validated national information on emission abatement options Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 2

Organization of EGTEI Ø CITEPA in charge of VOC sectors, mobile sources, agriculture, wood combustion in small domestic appliances, Ø IFARE in charge of SOx, NOx and dust emitting sectors Ø ADEME: ØFinancial and technical support ØLeader of the whole program on behalf of the French Ministry of the Environment Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 3

ECODAT (Techno-Economic Database on Reduction of Air Pollution) § Offer structured and comprehensive approach, based on working documents § Increase reliability by homogenously applied tool (all parties) § Improve transparency including documentation on origin of data and rules of aggregation § Facilitate data collection and transfer to IIASA/RAINS Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 4

What ECODAT provides. . . A user-friendly framework facilitating data collection to define emission reduction strategies and associated costs § Reference installations, § Activity levels, § Fuel consumptions, Parameters § Fuel characteristics, § Unabated emission factors, § Technical options and removal efficiencies, § Techno-economic parameters of abatement measures, § Application rates and applicabilities, § Costs per ton of pollutant abated and per production unit, § Emission levels for each activity sector according to different emission reduction strategies. Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 5

Presentation of ECODAT Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 6

Outlook – Emerging Technologies § Extension of ECODAT Project Emerging Technologies IPTS Sevilla framework EGTEI Emerging technologies state of the art pilot/demonstration plant CAFE (EU) coverage EU 25 + CH + N timeframe 2005 - 2030 air pollutants, GHG SO 2, NOX, VOC, PM, NH 3, CO 2, N 2 O, CH 4, POPs Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 7

EGTEI: sectors already covered Glass Cement, Lime, Refineries, Nitric acid, Large combustion plants ( 500 MWth), Small domestic appliances using wood as fuel, Distribution of liquid fuels, A lot of various VOC sectors (chemical industry, solvent uses in industry, in domestic applications), Non road mobile sources, Costs for on road vehicles (Ricardo study), etc. . . Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 8

Sectors currently examined in order to be integrated in the RAINS VOC module § § § § § Steam cracking, PVC production and downstream units Tyre production Manufacture of paints, inks, and glues Decorative paints Leather coating Industrial uses of glues Industrial uses of paints (3 sectors) Manufacture of shoes Vehicle refinishing Emanelled wire coating § § § § Preservation of wood Dry cleaning Surface cleaning Polystyrene processing Specialty organic chemical industry Distribution of liquid fuels Off-road (costs) On-road vehicles (costs) (Ricardo. Study) Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 9

EGTEI working plan 2004 Sectors to be addressed in more detail: Other combustion plants (e. g. incineration), Sulphuric acid, Turbines, Stationary engines, Iron and steel, etc. . . Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 10

Illustration of EGTEI output example of the cement sector What is required by the EGTEI approach ? - The activity level (from 1990 to 2030), - The energy consumptions (from 1990 to 2030), - The fuel characteristics (from 1990 to 2030), - Emission levels concerning SOx, NOx and dust (from 1990 to 2000). At this level, no difference with the RAINS approach except in the hypotheses examined by France during the consultation phase. Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 11

Cement sector continued Specific energy consumption Fuel-Param UFC-[MJ/kg] 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2, 89 2, 995 2, 945 2, 881 2, 834 3, 03 2, 95 2, 88 2, 81 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 3. 80 3. 61 3. 44 3. 27 3. 11 3. 03 2. 95 2. 88 2. 81 EGTEI RAINS Type of fuels used by the cement sector RAINS Fuel-Param 1990 1995 2000 2005 BC 1 -[%/100] 0. 00 BC 2 -[%/100] 0. 00 HC 1 -[%/100] 0. 42 HC 2 -[%/100] 0. 00 HC 3 -[%/100] 0. 00 HF-[%/100] 0. 53 GAS-[%/100] 0. 05 OS 2 -[%/100] 0. 00 EGTEI 2010 Fuel Rains fuel 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 HC HC 1 -[%/100] 0. 46 0. 14 0. 09 0. 10 HF HF 1 -[%/100] 0. 09 0. 03 Gas GAS-[%/100] 0. 02 0. 01 Imported Petcoke DC-[%/100] 0. 23 0. 36 0. 45 0. 41 0. 39 Waste OS 2 -[%/100] 0. 06 0. 17 0. 26 0. 32 0. 37 Tar HF 2 -[%/100] 0. 14 0. 29 0. 16 0. 13 0. 10 Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 12

Cement sector continued What is provided by the EGTEI approach? - The technical options, their efficiencies and their costs, - Pollutants : SOx, NOx and dust. Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 13

Cement sector continued Example with NOx EGTEI RAINS Unabated emission level in kg/t of cement: 2, 57 Between 1, 75 and 3, 16 depending on the country (F : 1, 85 – UK : 3, 16) Technical options : Technical option Efficiency in % Stage 1 40 Option 1 : Primary measures 25 Stage 2 60 Option 2 : Secondary measures 72 Stage 3 80 Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 14

Cement sector continued Example with NOx Costs : Technical option Option 1 : Primary measures Option 2 : Secondary measures EGTEI RAINS Cost in euros/tonn e of cement Cost in euros/t of NOx avoided Marginal cost in euros/t of NOx avoided 0, 128 200 553 740 Stage 1 0, 85 1144, 59 Stage 2 0, 624 Cost in euros/tonne of cement Cost in euros/t of NOx avoided Marginal cost in euros/t of NOx avoided 3, 81 3433, 78 8012, 16 Stage 3 8, 47 5722, 97 12590, 54 Technical option Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 15

Cement sector continued Example with NOx Emission levels : RAINS Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 CP NOC NOx 50, 0 38, 3 37, 4 40, 8 41, 4 42, 3 42, 6 42, 9 CP CLE NOx 48, 5 38, 3 37, 4 40, 8 41, 4 42, 3 42, 6 42, 95 Lowest achievable emission level 10, 0 7, 7 7, 5 8, 1 8, 22 8, 3 8, 5 8, 6 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 CP NOC NOx 68, 7 52, 3 53, 2 54, 3 56, 1 54, 3 52, 5 50, 6 48, 8 CP CLE NOx 40, 9 31, 6 30, 9 31, 5 32, 6 31, 5 30, 5 29, 4 28, 4 Lowest achievable emission level 19, 25 14, 6 14, 9 15, 2 15, 7 15, 2 14, 7 14, 2 13, 7 EGTEI Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 16

Cement sector continued Example with Dust Technical options 95, 80 2373, 9 ESP 2 98, 80 678, 3 ESP 3 99, 77 130, 0 99, 78 124, 4 WSCB EGTEI 14469, 6 FF EGTEI 74, 40 ESP 1 RAINS Resulting concentration in mg/Nm 3 Cyclones RAINS Treatment efficiency in % 98, 98 576, 5 99, 96 22, 6 Deduster BAT associated emission level: between 20 and 30 mg/Nm 3 Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 17

Cement sector continued Emission levels : Example with Dust RAINS Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 CP NOC Dust 3516, 8 2690, 6 2624, 8 2836, 9 2867, 2 2911, 3 2969, 3 2993, 7 3018, 1 CP CLE Dust 8, 1 6, 2 6, 0 6, 5 6, 6 6, 7 6, 8 6, 9 Lowest achievable emission level 8, 1 6, 2 6. 037 6, 5 6, 6 6, 7 6, 8 6, 9 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 CP NOC Dust 3477, 4 2643, 6 2688, 5 2745 2838, 2 2746, 1 2654, 1 2562 2470 CP CLE Dust 3, 850 2, 307 2, 119 1, 10 1, 14 1, 10 1, 06 1, 02 0, 99 Lowest achievable emission level 1, 39 1, 06 1, 08 1, 10 1, 14 1, 10 1, 06 1, 02 0, 99 EGTEI Year Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 18

Illustration of the EGTEI output with other sectors Lime, Nitric acid, Glass, Large combustion plants, etc. . . Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 19

Conclusions (I) § Modelling approach often not very well-known by the technical experts at the beginning of the program, § Determination of a modelling approach per sector based on a compromise between simplicity for national experts and representation of very complex sectors, § Problems encountered with detailed information collection : - Lack of statistics concerning installation characteristics, fuels used, etc. . when working at the desired disaggregated level, - Structure of inventories not always adapted, - Need of non negligible resources for data collection. § Involvement of parties could be improved: different priorities of countries towards importance of sectors, § Cooperation of industry generally good but dependent on the sector. Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 20

Conclusions (II) Achievements § EGTEI VOC modules are examined by CIAM for the adaptation of the RAINS model, § Costs determined for off-road sources taken into account by CIAM, § For other industry sectors, interest of the proposed approaches recognized but due to the lack of input data for all parties EGTEI approaches not yet integrated in the RAINS model, § Aggregation routine implemented in ECODAT Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 21

Outlook – The future of EGTEI § Harmonisation between EGTEI and BREF activities (BATs are already integrated in the EGTEI work and the EGTEI output could be considered during the BREF updating process) § Increase the level of participation of Parties § Long-term initiative, permanent task? Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 22

Thank you very much for your attention http: //citepa. org/forums/egtei_index. htm Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI) – Amiens 05/2004 23