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Physics with a detector at Homestake Milind Diwan (BNL) 2/21/2008 SLAC P 5 meeting Physics with a detector at Homestake Milind Diwan (BNL) 2/21/2008 SLAC P 5 meeting Total event rate with 300 k. T and 2 MW is ~200000 cc evts/yr (no oscillations, raw events) The Study: http: //nwg. phy. bnl. gov/fnalbnl yr~2 x 10⁷ sec

 • Proposal for an Experimental Program in Neutrino Physics and Proton Decay in • Proposal for an Experimental Program in Neutrino Physics and Proton Decay in the Homestake Laboratory Developing Collaboration This is the author list of hep-ex/0608023 August 2006 2

Outline • Scientific/Technical issues for a new long baseline experiment regarding CP violation. • Outline • Scientific/Technical issues for a new long baseline experiment regarding CP violation. • Ultimate reach with a detector at DUSEL and a conventional beam from FNAL. • Implementation with the first 100 k. T detector. 3

Scientific strategy • The Study: A very large detector is needed for the next Scientific strategy • The Study: A very large detector is needed for the next steps for θ 13, mass ordering, and CP violation coming from the standard 3 -generation scenario. • The Study: Program should have broad physics capability: nucleon decay, supernova detection, astrophysical neutrinos. • Conventional wisdom: Experimental set up with a large matter effect, such as for 1300 km, is more sensitive to possible new physics. • For neutrino mixing the experiment must have internal redundancy to check 3 -gen CP violation and get hints of new physics if they are there. 4

Technical issues • Program should lead to measurement of 3 -generation parameters without ambiguities. Technical issues • Program should lead to measurement of 3 -generation parameters without ambiguities. (recall: CP measurement is approximately independent of θ 13). Need large detector independent of θ 13 value. • An offaxis program cannot overcome ambiguities easily. 300 k. T water Cherenkov detector @DUSEL Measurement of CP phase and Sin² 2θ 13 at several points. All ambiguities and mass hierarchy are resolved. 5

sin² 2θ₁₃= 0. 04, 300 k. T, 1300 km, ~2 MW @ 60 Ge. sin² 2θ₁₃= 0. 04, 300 k. T, 1300 km, ~2 MW @ 60 Ge. V 3 yrs neutrinos and 3 yrs antineutrinos Normal Reversed Spectra with 300 k. T detector and 2 MW beam from FNAL sig~1214 sig~564 • Background issues examined by FNAL/BNL study. sig~394 sig~627 Mark Dierckxsens(UChicago), Mary Bishai(BNL) 6 si

Ultimate Reach 60 Ge. V, 2 MW, 3+3 yrs, 300 k. T Mass ordering Ultimate Reach 60 Ge. V, 2 MW, 3+3 yrs, 300 k. T Mass ordering CP Violation θ₁₃ 0. 007 50% coverage at 3 sigma 0. 003 stat+ 5%syst Mark Dierckxsens(UChicago), Mary Bishai(BNL) 7

Intermediate proposal • ~100 k. T fiducial detector at Homestake with rock mechanics studies Intermediate proposal • ~100 k. T fiducial detector at Homestake with rock mechanics studies starting in fall of 2008. (Homestake Interim Lab. now exists, Super. K and SNO experience and success gives confidence in feasibility and performance. ) • New wide band beam from FNAL (pre-Project x) • Focus on θ 13, and mass hierarchy. • Get started on CP violation, p-decay, Supernovae. 8

sin² 2θ₁₃= 0. 04, 100 k. T, 1300 km, ~1 MW 60 Ge. V sin² 2θ₁₃= 0. 04, 100 k. T, 1300 km, ~1 MW 60 Ge. V 3 yrs neutrinos and 3 yrs antineutrinos Normal Reversed Spectra with 100 k. T detector and 1 MW beam from FNAL s~210 s ~ s~100 400 evt Total rate of events ~30 k/yr noosc/raw evts s~60 9 s~100

Reach with 100 k. T water Cherenkov 60 Ge. V, 1 MW, 3+3 yrs, Reach with 100 k. T water Cherenkov 60 Ge. V, 1 MW, 3+3 yrs, 100 k. T θ₁₃ Mass ordering 0. 025 0. 008 50% coverage at 3 sigma stat+5% syst 10

Same plots detail 3 yrs θ 13 3 yrs Mass ordering @ 2 sigma Same plots detail 3 yrs θ 13 3 yrs Mass ordering @ 2 sigma Same exposure in MW*10⁷ sec as previous plot 11

(Former Homestake Chief engineer) (Former Homestake Chief engineer)

muon rate/cavern~1/10 Hz 180 ft dia Rock removal at 5000 L (new) Parallel Access muon rate/cavern~1/10 Hz 180 ft dia Rock removal at 5000 L (new) Parallel Access tunnel at 4850 L (new)

Technically limited schedule for a single 100 k. T fiducial detector Turn-on • Tube Technically limited schedule for a single 100 k. T fiducial detector Turn-on • Tube production is slowed to match excavation. Tube production is NOT the limiting factor. • For simplicity, water system, PMT testing, electronics, etc. are not shown. • For 300 k. T the time need not be tripled. 14

One time costs over next 3 yrs does not include R&D • 100 k. One time costs over next 3 yrs does not include R&D • 100 k. T estimate on next page and one time costs that are needed to establish the entire facility for the megaton-class detector. Item Cost Source Chamber design and coring $0. 76 M Laurenti Access tunnels $4. 5 M Laurenti Contingency $2. 6 M 50% of above Mining + other equip. $10. 0 M Laurenti PMT+Elec. R&D $4. 0 M Prel. Eng. +Subcontracts Water/materials R&D $2. 0 M Preliminary Contingency (non-civil) $3. 2 M Equip. has quotes Total $27. 1 M FY 2007 15

Summary cost for 100 k. T(do not triple for 300 k. T) Item Cost Summary cost for 100 k. T(do not triple for 300 k. T) Item Cost Source Single Cavity construction $28. 1 M* Laurenti contingency 30% $8. 4 M Preliminary Reviews PMT(50000 chan) $46. 7 M Auger, NNN 05, etc. Electronics, cables $10. 65 M UPenn+SNO Installation $8. 75 M Conceptual Water, DAQ, testing, etc. $11. 4 M Quote, made for 300 k. T Contingency(non-civil) $25. 0 M >30% for some items Total $139 M FY 2007 * Cost and schedule reviewed by RESPEC, does not have rock disposal 16

Conclusion • 100 k. T detector could be ready for physics by mid decade Conclusion • 100 k. T detector could be ready for physics by mid decade (~2015). • Unique physics capability in the world. Excellent sensitivity for θ₁₃ and mass ordering. • Get started on much larger program for CP violation, Nucleon decay, and Supernova physics. • Subsequent caverns could house different technology: better PMTs, Liquid Scintillator, Liquid Argon. . . 17

From Mark Laurenti Excavation costs do not include • General operations: mine, shaft, pumps, From Mark Laurenti Excavation costs do not include • General operations: mine, shaft, pumps, ventilation • Overhead functions: office, property maintenance, water consumption, power. • Mobilization/demobilization • Waste handling • EDIA • Do not triple for 3 caverns. 18

Collaboration requesting funds from DUSEL R&D One time costs From Mark Laurenti 19 Collaboration requesting funds from DUSEL R&D One time costs From Mark Laurenti 19

Capital Investment From Mark Laurenti 20 Capital Investment From Mark Laurenti 20

100 k. T water Cherenkov CP reach 100 k. T water Cherenkov CP reach

 • • Nucleon decay and Supernova Large body of work by Hyper. K, • • Nucleon decay and Supernova Large body of work by Hyper. K, and UNO. background levels for the positron+Pion mode • • 3. 6/MTon-yr (normal) 0. 15/MTon-yr (tight) Expected Sensitivity on K-nu mode is about ~8 x 10³³ yr Galactic Supernova in 300 k. T: 100000 evts/10 sec Ref: Shiozawa (NNN 05) 22 300 k. TX 10 yrs => 7 X 10³⁴ yrs