Скачать презентацию Options Strategies Commodity Marketing Activity Chapter 6 Скачать презентацию Options Strategies Commodity Marketing Activity Chapter 6

94d1b9949d1a11969e94589d8a527101.ppt

  • Количество слайдов: 18

Options Strategies Commodity Marketing Activity Chapter #6 Options Strategies Commodity Marketing Activity Chapter #6

Option Premiums EX: corn put option premium = $. 20 l Corn contract = Option Premiums EX: corn put option premium = $. 20 l Corn contract = 5, 000 bu l Buyer of a corn put pays $1, 000 ($. 20 x 5, 000) to the seller of the put l If the option is worthless at the time he is ready to sell his corn, let it expire, and lose $1, 000 l If the value is above $0, he can offset it by selling it back and MAY gain a profit l No Margin Deposit is required l

Option Premiums The Seller takes a greater risk l If Seller wants to OFFSET Option Premiums The Seller takes a greater risk l If Seller wants to OFFSET his put, he must buy the same futures contract l – margin deposit required – to guarantee against any loss l Producer must pay a commission to broker to trade options

Hog Producer Example In June, you expect to have 525 hogs ready for market Hog Producer Example In June, you expect to have 525 hogs ready for market in November l Local buyer offers $44. 50/cwt, your target is higher l You want protection if prices fall, but want to take advantage if prices rise l First Step = set your target price l

Target Price Strike Price $52. 00 $50. 00 $46. 00 Prem. Cost $ 4. Target Price Strike Price $52. 00 $50. 00 $46. 00 Prem. Cost $ 4. 50 $ 2. 75 $. 75 Expect Basis $-2. 00 Target Price $45. 50 $45. 25 $43. 25 l You want to establish a minimum price of $45/cwt l You will need 3 options to protect 400 hogs l You have the $3, 300 ($2. 75 x 400 per option) so you buy the $50 Dec. put option

Prices Fall In November, futures fall to $45, local cash price is $43 (basis Prices Fall In November, futures fall to $45, local cash price is $43 (basis = -$2) l Dec 50 hog put option premium = $5 l You sell 3 Dec 50 puts and get the $5 ($2. 25/cwt profit) l You sell hogs locally for $43 l Total income = $43 + $2. 25 = $45. 25 l $2, 700 gain over cash market alone l

Prices Rise Futures rise to $49 l Sell Dec 50 put for premium of Prices Rise Futures rise to $49 l Sell Dec 50 put for premium of $1 (loss of $1. 75) l Cash Price = $47 l Total Income = $47 - $1. 75 = 45. 25 l

Prices Rise Futures price = $52 l Put Option is worthless l Let Option Prices Rise Futures price = $52 l Put Option is worthless l Let Option expire, lose $2. 75 l Sell hogs for $50 l Total income = $50 - $2. 75 = $47. 25 l

Storage Stragegy November, you have 35, 000 bu of corn l Cash price = Storage Stragegy November, you have 35, 000 bu of corn l Cash price = $2. 20 l Cash Forward Contract (July) = $2. 60 l Storage cost is $. 28/bu l Want to lock in min. of $2. 60 and benefit of price rises l Expected Basis = -10 cents l Calculate Target Price l

Target Price Strike Price Prem. Cost Exp. Basis Target Price Cur. Cash Pr. Storage Target Price Strike Price Prem. Cost Exp. Basis Target Price Cur. Cash Pr. Storage Gain $3. 00 $. 22 $-. 10 $2. 68 $2. 20 $. 48 $2. 90 $. 15 $-. 10 $2. 65 $2. 20 $. 45 $2. 80 $. 10 $-. 10 $2. 60 $2. 20 $. 40

Action You will need 7 option contracts l Cost of Premiums will be: l Action You will need 7 option contracts l Cost of Premiums will be: l – $. 22 x 35, 000 = $7, 700 – $. 15 x 35, 000 = $5, 250 l ($3 strike) or ($2. 90 strike) Based on cash flow, you choose $2. 90 strike price

Prices Rise In July, Futures price = $3. 10, and Cash Price = $3. Prices Rise In July, Futures price = $3. 10, and Cash Price = $3. 00 l July 290 put is worthless, let it expire, lose $. 15/bu l Sell corn for $3 in cash market l Total income = $3. 00 - $. 15 = $2. 85 vs $2. 30 if Forward Contract l

Prices Fall Futures price = $2. 35, cash = $2. 25 l Sell July Prices Fall Futures price = $2. 35, cash = $2. 25 l Sell July Corn 290 puts at higher premium ($. 55) for profit of $. 40/bu l Total income = $2. 25 + $. 40 = $2. 65 l

Purchasing Strategy As a purchaser of feeder cattle, you buy CALL options to protect Purchasing Strategy As a purchaser of feeder cattle, you buy CALL options to protect yourself against price increases while leaving yourself open to profit from price decreases l In July, you planning to buy 240 feeder cattle in December l Establish Target Price l

Target Price Strike Price $64. 00 $62. 00 $60. 00 Prem. Cost $ 2. Target Price Strike Price $64. 00 $62. 00 $60. 00 Prem. Cost $ 2. 55 $ 3. 90 $ 5. 70 Expect Basis $+1. 00 Target Price $67. 55 $66. 90 $66. 70 l Target max. purchase price = $67/cwt, rule out 64 call option l Total premium for 4 calls: – $3. 90 x 440 cwt x 4 = $6, 864 (62 call) or – $5. 70 x 440 cwt x 4 = $10, 032 (60 call)

Prices Fall Buy 4 January feeder cattle 62 calls at $3. 90/cwt l In Prices Fall Buy 4 January feeder cattle 62 calls at $3. 90/cwt l In December, futures price = $58, cash price = $59 l Jan. Calls are worthless, let expire, lose $6, 864 l Buy feeder cattle at $59/cwt l Total cost = $59 + $3. 90 = $62. 90 l

Prices Rise Futures price = $70, cash price = $71 l Sell option for Prices Rise Futures price = $70, cash price = $71 l Sell option for $8 ($4. 10 profit) l Buy cattle for $71 l Total cost = $71 - $4. 10 = $66. 90 l