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OPEC Oil Cartel Iraq’s Output 2 46* / 42** 26* / 44** 4 52* OPEC Oil Cartel Iraq’s Output 2 46* / 42** 26* / 44** 4 52* / 22** 32* / 24** Iran’s Output *Daily profit for Iran, **Daily profit for Iraq This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Achieving Cooperation Detecting Cheating p Punishment is Guaranteed p n p Crazy Eddy’s Low Achieving Cooperation Detecting Cheating p Punishment is Guaranteed p n p Crazy Eddy’s Low Price Guarantee Tit-for-a-tat This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Crazy Eddy vs. Newmark & Lewis Low Price Crazy Eddy High Price 50* / Crazy Eddy vs. Newmark & Lewis Low Price Crazy Eddy High Price 50* / 50** Price Guarantee 150* / 10** High Price 10* / 150** 75* / 75** Price Guarantee *Profit for Crazy Eddy, **Profit for Newmark& Lewis This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

High Definition TV Japanese Effort Low High Low 4* / 3** 2* / 4** High Definition TV Japanese Effort Low High Low 4* / 3** 2* / 4** High 3* / 2** 1* / 1** US Effort *payoff for US, **payoff for Japan This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Commitment And Credibility High effort 1*, 1** Japan Low effort 3*, 2** High effort Commitment And Credibility High effort 1*, 1** Japan Low effort 3*, 2** High effort 2*, 4** US Low effort Japan Low effort 4*, 3** *payoff for US, **payoff for Japan This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Threats and Promises p Threats n p Promises n p “No dessert unless you Threats and Promises p Threats n p Promises n p “No dessert unless you eat your spinach…” “Pay me now and I won’t hurt you…” Warnings vs. Assurances This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

The Cold War: Nuclear Deterrence Conventional 1*, -1** U. S. Start Land War Nuclear The Cold War: Nuclear Deterrence Conventional 1*, -1** U. S. Start Land War Nuclear -100*, -100** Soviets No War 0*, 0** *payoff for USSR, **payoff for US This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Dr. Strangelove U. S. Start Land War Nuclear -100*, -100** Soviets No War 0*, Dr. Strangelove U. S. Start Land War Nuclear -100*, -100** Soviets No War 0*, 0** *payoff for USSR, **payoff for US This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

The eight-fold path to credibility 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Establish The eight-fold path to credibility 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Establish a reputation Write contracts Cut off communication Burn bridges behind you Leave the outcome to chance Move in small steps Develop credibility through teamwork Employ mandated negotiating agents This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Reputation Israel’s refusal to deal with hijackers p Tax amnesty & the US Congress Reputation Israel’s refusal to deal with hijackers p Tax amnesty & the US Congress p Mayflower Furniture “ 127 years without a sale” p This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Contracts Agree to penalties if you don’t follow through p Complications p n Nick Contracts Agree to penalties if you don’t follow through p Complications p n Nick Russo: “$25, 000 to the charity of your choice if you catch me eating in a restaurant. ” Renegotiation p http: //www. stickk. com/ p This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Cutting Off Communication Death and Cecil Rhodes p Suppose that universities insist on $1. Cutting Off Communication Death and Cecil Rhodes p Suppose that universities insist on $1. 5 million to endow a chair…can endow one for less? p This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Burning Bridges p Cortez burned his own ships upon arrival in Cempoalla, Mexico This Burning Bridges p Cortez burned his own ships upon arrival in Cempoalla, Mexico This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Leaving the Outcome Beyond Your Control p Dr. Strangelove This slideshow was written by Leaving the Outcome Beyond Your Control p Dr. Strangelove This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Moving in Steps p Honor among thieves n n Event 1: A single million Moving in Steps p Honor among thieves n n Event 1: A single million dollar transaction Event 2: A thousand transactions of $1000 This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Teamwork Peer Pressure: Weight Watchers, AA p Romans: Falling Behind was a capital offense Teamwork Peer Pressure: Weight Watchers, AA p Romans: Falling Behind was a capital offense for soldiers p This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.

Mandated Negotiating Agents p A labor leader may have to deliver the gains he Mandated Negotiating Agents p A labor leader may have to deliver the gains he promised or lose his job This slideshow was written by Ken Chapman, but is substantially based on concepts from Thinking Strategically by Avinash K. Dixit and Barry J. Nalebuff, W. W. Norton 1991.