OBA for Offgrid Electricity Access Bolivia IDTR - Early Lessons Energy Week 2006 Funding: GPOBA and ESMAP Kilian Reiche and Dana Rysankova The World Bank
Decentralized Infrastructure for Rural Transformation Electricity and ICT services via decentralized PPP US$60 M – 10 years – 3 Phases Phase I – Investment &TA >15, 000 SHS + grid in Phase I >100 k Bolivians benefit directly >1 million cell phone access – connection+use! – pro poor regulation – universal access fund Challenges: low population density, high poverty, sociocultural issues, diverse indigenous population, political/social/fiscal crisis. IDTR Bolivia
Closer to 100% more offgrid hardest Source: ESMAP 2006 easiest easier
Demand: - remote - low demand + income - high risk + cost 2000 Data GDP/ Cap [$] Pop/ km 2 GDP/ km 2 [$] Bolivia 1, 035 8 7, 535 Paraguay 1, 504 14 18, 479 Peru 2, 056 20 41, 608 Ecuador 1, 047 46 47, 912 Columbia 1, 935 41 71, 363 Brazil 3, 503 20 69, 669 Chile 4, 703 20 93, 190 Venezuela 2, 025 27 53, 282 Offgrid + Subsidies
New SHS Medium Term Service Contracts Market Stage Competition Type: Third way in between dealer + concession • US$ 10 M for 15, 000+ SHS • 14 areas (400 -3000 SHS each) max. no. users at fixed subsidy • Price caps and benchmarking prevent predatory pricing • New Medium Term Service Contracts – deep market penetration w/o problems of classical concession – 3+4 years (limits risk exposure) – OBA: choice (user, supplier), creativity, performance incentives – Decentralized market development (supply, demand) – Decentralized M&E (costs in remote areas)
New SHS Medium Term Service Contracts • Targeting: self selection + geographic • Area selection based on productive potential, grid plans and synergies with ICT • Beyond Connection: Productive Uses and Training for SME and HH • Tenders need attention: - professional transaction advice - road show! 6 bidders entered 30 bids in tough times…
Road Show: Many bidders bidding works Efficiency: Transaction Costs < Gain
Tender reduced national SHS Prices 1. Reduced 40% from Bolivia UNDP 2004 2. of this, 25% from tender min in spite of PV shortage 3. Bolivia IDTR 2005 lowest in LAC… Asia 2005 • China • Bangladesh • Philippines 50 Wp 50 Wp LAC 2005 (incl. inst. ) • Bolivia IDTR 50 Wp • Nicaragua 50 Wp • Mexico 75 Wp • Argentina 100 Wp $300 -400 $350 $400 -500 $600 $800 $1000
SHS OBA Tender Trade Offs! 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Input-Output: Well informed choice: Efficiency: Tender Document: Quality: Risks: Poll: Data Room – www. idtr. gov. bo project – provider – user creativity – winner’s curse (in/out) control – capital costs (15/80/5%) watertight – simple equipment – system – service (Ah) government – operator – user (battery) Bank!
Balanced OBA design helped project to survive in tough times… • OBA means balancing trade-offs! Partnership lasts if fair deal for both sides! • PPP: Bidders buy in! 30 bids in 2005 …in spite of country climate • PPP: new Government accepts the model! 2006 mission confirms contracts + scale-up plans … in spite of strong stance against PPI
OBA for Offgrid Electricity Access Bolivia IDTR - Early Lessons Thank you! www. idtr. gov. bo
Скачать презентацию OBA for Offgrid Electricity Access Bolivia IDTR —
3bdcdb61f0dbb633d06ea8e6c18d0816.ppt