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N. Gregory Mankiw Power. Point® Slides by Ron Cronovich CHAPTER 3 National Income: Where N. Gregory Mankiw Power. Point® Slides by Ron Cronovich CHAPTER 3 National Income: Where it Comes From and Where it Goes © 2010 Worth Publishers, all rights reserved SEVENTH EDITION MACROECONOMICS

In this chapter, you will learn: § what determines the economy’s total output/income § In this chapter, you will learn: § what determines the economy’s total output/income § how the prices of the factors of production are determined § how total income is distributed § what determines the demand for goods and services § how equilibrium in the goods market is achieved

Factors of production K = capital: tools, machines, and structures used in production L Factors of production K = capital: tools, machines, and structures used in production L = labor: the physical and mental efforts of workers CHAPTER 3 National Income 2

The production function: Y = F(K, L) § shows how much output (Y ) The production function: Y = F(K, L) § shows how much output (Y ) the economy can produce from K units of capital and L units of labor § reflects the economy’s level of technology § exhibits constant returns to scale CHAPTER 3 National Income 3

Returns to scale: A review Initially Y 1 = F (K 1 , L Returns to scale: A review Initially Y 1 = F (K 1 , L 1 ) Scale all inputs by the same factor z: K 2 = z. K 1 and L 2 = z. L 1 (e. g. , if z = 1. 2, then all inputs are increased by 20%) What happens to output, Y 2 = F (K 2, L 2 )? § If constant returns to scale, Y 2 = z. Y 1 § If increasing returns to scale, Y 2 > z. Y 1 § If decreasing returns to scale, Y 2 < z. Y 1 CHAPTER 3 National Income 4

Assumptions 1. Technology is fixed. 2. The economy’s supplies of capital and labor are Assumptions 1. Technology is fixed. 2. The economy’s supplies of capital and labor are fixed at CHAPTER 3 National Income 5

Determining GDP Output is determined by the fixed factor supplies and the fixed state Determining GDP Output is determined by the fixed factor supplies and the fixed state of technology: CHAPTER 3 National Income 6

The distribution of national income § determined by factor prices, the prices per unit The distribution of national income § determined by factor prices, the prices per unit firms pay for the factors of production § wage = price of L § rental rate = price of K CHAPTER 3 National Income 7

Notation W = nominal wage R = nominal rental rate P = price of Notation W = nominal wage R = nominal rental rate P = price of output W /P = real wage (measured in units of output) R /P = real rental rate CHAPTER 3 National Income 8

How factor prices are determined § Factor prices are determined by supply and demand How factor prices are determined § Factor prices are determined by supply and demand in factor markets. § Recall: Supply of each factor is fixed. § What about demand? CHAPTER 3 National Income 9

Demand for labor § Assume markets are competitive: each firm takes W, R, and Demand for labor § Assume markets are competitive: each firm takes W, R, and P as given. § Basic idea: A firm hires each unit of labor if the cost does not exceed the benefit. § cost = real wage § benefit = marginal product of labor CHAPTER 3 National Income 10

Marginal product of labor (MPL ) § definition: The extra output the firm can Marginal product of labor (MPL ) § definition: The extra output the firm can produce using an additional unit of labor (holding other inputs fixed): MPL = F (K, L +1) – F (K, L) CHAPTER 3 National Income 11

NOW YOU TRY: Compute & graph MPL a. Determine MPL at each value of NOW YOU TRY: Compute & graph MPL a. Determine MPL at each value of L. b. Graph the production function. c. Graph the MPL curve with MPL on the vertical axis and L on the horizontal axis. L 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Y 0 10 19 27 34 40 45 49 52 54 55 MPL n. a. ? ? 8 ? ? ? ?

NOW YOU TRY: Answers NOW YOU TRY: Answers

MPL and the production function Y output 1 MPL As more labor is added, MPL and the production function Y output 1 MPL As more labor is added, MPL 1 MPL 1 Slope of the production function equals MPL L labor CHAPTER 3 National Income 14

Diminishing marginal returns § As a factor input is increased, its marginal product falls Diminishing marginal returns § As a factor input is increased, its marginal product falls (other things equal). § Intuition: Suppose L while holding K fixed fewer machines per worker lower worker productivity CHAPTER 3 National Income 15

NOW YOU TRY: MPL and labor demand Suppose W/P = 6. § If L NOW YOU TRY: MPL and labor demand Suppose W/P = 6. § If L = 3, should firm hire more or less labor? Why? § If L = 7, should firm hire more or less labor? Why? L 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Y MPL 0 n. a. 10 10 19 9 27 8 34 7 40 6 45 5 49 4 52 3 54 2 55 1

MPL and the demand for labor Units of output Each firm hires labor up MPL and the demand for labor Units of output Each firm hires labor up to the point where MPL = W/P. Real wage MPL, Labor demand Units of labor, L Quantity of labor demanded CHAPTER 3 National Income 17

The equilibrium real wage Units of output equilibrium real wage CHAPTER 3 National Income The equilibrium real wage Units of output equilibrium real wage CHAPTER 3 National Income Labor supply The real wage adjusts to equate labor demand with supply. MPL, Labor demand Units of labor, L 18

Determining the rental rate § We have just seen that MPL = W/P. § Determining the rental rate § We have just seen that MPL = W/P. § The same logic shows that MPK = R/P: § diminishing returns to capital: MPK as K § The MPK curve is the firm’s demand curve for renting capital. § Firms maximize profits by choosing K such that MPK = R/P. CHAPTER 3 National Income 19

The equilibrium real rental rate Units of output equilibrium R/P CHAPTER 3 National Income The equilibrium real rental rate Units of output equilibrium R/P CHAPTER 3 National Income Supply of capital The real rental rate adjusts to equate demand for capital with supply. MPK, demand for capital Units of capital, K 20

The Neoclassical Theory of Distribution § states that each factor input is paid its The Neoclassical Theory of Distribution § states that each factor input is paid its marginal product § a good starting point for thinking about income distribution CHAPTER 3 National Income 21

The Cobb-Douglas Production Function § The Cobb-Douglas production function has constant factor shares: = The Cobb-Douglas Production Function § The Cobb-Douglas production function has constant factor shares: = capital’s share of total income: capital income = MPK x K = Y labor income = MPL x L = (1 – )Y § The Cobb-Douglas production function is: where A represents the level of technology. CHAPTER 3 National Income 22

The Cobb-Douglas Production Function § Each factor’s marginal product is proportional to its average The Cobb-Douglas Production Function § Each factor’s marginal product is proportional to its average product: CHAPTER 3 National Income 23

Demand for goods & services Components of aggregate demand: C = consumer demand for Demand for goods & services Components of aggregate demand: C = consumer demand for g & s I = demand for investment goods G = government demand for g & s (closed economy: no NX ) CHAPTER 3 National Income 24

Consumption, C § def: Disposable income is total income minus total taxes: Y – Consumption, C § def: Disposable income is total income minus total taxes: Y – T. § Consumption function: C = C (Y – T ) Shows that (Y – T ) C § def: Marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is the change in C when disposable income increases by one dollar. CHAPTER 3 National Income 25

The consumption function C C (Y –T ) MPC 1 The slope of the The consumption function C C (Y –T ) MPC 1 The slope of the consumption function is the MPC. Y–T CHAPTER 3 National Income 26

Investment, I § The investment function is I = I (r ), where r Investment, I § The investment function is I = I (r ), where r denotes the real interest rate, the nominal interest rate corrected for inflation. § The real interest rate is § the cost of borrowing § the opportunity cost of using one’s own funds to finance investment spending So, r I CHAPTER 3 National Income 27

The investment function r Spending on investment goods depends negatively on the real interest The investment function r Spending on investment goods depends negatively on the real interest rate. I (r ) I CHAPTER 3 National Income 28

Government spending, G § G = govt spending on goods and services. § G Government spending, G § G = govt spending on goods and services. § G excludes transfer payments (e. g. , social security benefits, unemployment insurance benefits). § Assume government spending and total taxes are exogenous: CHAPTER 3 National Income 29

The market for goods & services § Aggregate demand: § Aggregate supply: § Equilibrium: The market for goods & services § Aggregate demand: § Aggregate supply: § Equilibrium: The real interest rate adjusts to equate demand with supply. CHAPTER 3 National Income 30

The loanable funds market § A simple supply-demand model of the financial system. § The loanable funds market § A simple supply-demand model of the financial system. § One asset: “loanable funds” § demand for funds: investment § supply of funds: saving § “price” of funds: real interest rate CHAPTER 3 National Income 31

Demand for funds: Investment The demand for loanable funds… § comes from investment: Firms Demand for funds: Investment The demand for loanable funds… § comes from investment: Firms borrow to finance spending on plant & equipment, new office buildings, etc. Consumers borrow to buy new houses. § depends negatively on r, the “price” of loanable funds (cost of borrowing). CHAPTER 3 National Income 32

Loanable funds demand curve r The investment curve is also the demand curve for Loanable funds demand curve r The investment curve is also the demand curve for loanable funds. I (r ) I CHAPTER 3 National Income 33

Supply of funds: Saving § The supply of loanable funds comes from saving: § Supply of funds: Saving § The supply of loanable funds comes from saving: § Households use their saving to make bank deposits, purchase bonds and other assets. These funds become available to firms to borrow to finance investment spending. § The government may also contribute to saving if it does not spend all the tax revenue it receives. CHAPTER 3 National Income 34

Types of saving private saving = (Y – T ) – C public saving Types of saving private saving = (Y – T ) – C public saving = T – G national saving, S = private saving + public saving = (Y –T ) – C + = CHAPTER 3 T–G Y – C – G National Income 35

NOW YOU TRY: Calculate the change in saving Suppose MPC = 0. 8 and NOW YOU TRY: Calculate the change in saving Suppose MPC = 0. 8 and MPL = 20. For each of the following, compute S : a. G = 100 b. T = 100 c. Y = 100 d. L = 10

NOW YOU TRY: Answers NOW YOU TRY: Answers

Budget surpluses and deficits § If T > G, budget surplus = (T – Budget surpluses and deficits § If T > G, budget surplus = (T – G ) = public saving. § If T < G, budget deficit = (G – T ) and public saving is negative. § If T = G , “balanced budget, ” public saving = 0. § The U. S. government finances its deficit by issuing Treasury bonds – i. e. , borrowing. CHAPTER 3 National Income 38

Loanable funds supply curve r National saving does not depend on r, so the Loanable funds supply curve r National saving does not depend on r, so the supply curve is vertical. S, I CHAPTER 3 National Income 39

Loanable funds market equilibrium r Equilibrium real interest rate I (r ) Equilibrium level Loanable funds market equilibrium r Equilibrium real interest rate I (r ) Equilibrium level of investment CHAPTER 3 National Income S, I 40

The special role of r r adjusts to equilibrate the goods market and the The special role of r r adjusts to equilibrate the goods market and the loanable funds market simultaneously: If L. F. market in equilibrium, then Y–C–G =I Add (C +G ) to both sides to get Y = C + I + G (goods market eq’m) Thus, CHAPTER 3 Eq’m in L. F. market National Income Eq’m in goods market 41

Mastering the loanable funds model Things that shift the saving curve § public saving Mastering the loanable funds model Things that shift the saving curve § public saving § fiscal policy: changes in G or T § private saving § preferences § tax laws that affect saving – 401(k) – IRA – replace income tax with consumption tax CHAPTER 3 National Income 42

An increase in investment demand r …raises the interest rate. r 2 An increase An increase in investment demand r …raises the interest rate. r 2 An increase in desired investment… r 1 But the equilibrium level of investment cannot increase because the supply of loanable funds is fixed. CHAPTER 3 National Income I 1 I 2 S, I 43

Saving and the interest rate § Why might saving depend on r ? § Saving and the interest rate § Why might saving depend on r ? § How would the results of an increase in investment demand be different? § Would r rise as much? § Would the equilibrium value of I change? CHAPTER 3 National Income 44

An increase in investment demand when saving depends on r An increase in investment An increase in investment demand when saving depends on r An increase in investment demand raises r, which induces an increase in the quantity of saving, which allows I to increase. r r 2 r 1 I(r)2 I(r) I 1 I 2 CHAPTER 3 National Income S, I 45

Chapter Summary § Total output is determined by: § the economy’s quantities of capital Chapter Summary § Total output is determined by: § the economy’s quantities of capital and labor § the level of technology § Competitive firms hire each factor until its marginal product equals its price. § If the production function has constant returns to scale, then labor income plus capital income equals total income (output).

Chapter Summary § A closed economy’s output is used for: § consumption § investment Chapter Summary § A closed economy’s output is used for: § consumption § investment § government spending § The real interest rate adjusts to equate the demand for and supply of: § goods and services § loanable funds

Chapter Summary § A decrease in national saving causes the interest rate to rise Chapter Summary § A decrease in national saving causes the interest rate to rise and investment to fall. § An increase in investment demand causes the interest rate to rise, but does not affect the equilibrium level of investment if the supply of loanable funds is fixed.