2c58efe824147d4d7cb85d25b1fa4c46.ppt
- Количество слайдов: 17
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Uzi Rubin and Dan Hazanovsky Presentation to the First Annual Israel Multinational Ballistic Missile Defense Conference Airport City Israel May 2010 In Memoriam Dan Hazanovsky 1945 -2009 Classification of regional missiles and rockets. Distinctive features of TBM and SRBT Design requirements for Short Range Missile Defense Summary Based exclusively on pen sources. Copyright Rubincon and Aeordan Ltd. Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 1
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Regional Ballistic Missiles Classification Man Portable Rockets (Man. PR) Ranges: 4 – 12 Km. Relatively light warheads (few Kgs). Launched from individual scaffolds. Salvoes of 2 - 3 rounds (Typical). Various homemade Kassam class Man. PRs. Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 2 Janes Defense Weekly
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Regional Ballistic Missiles Classification “Katyusha” Class Military Grade Rockets Ranges: 12 – 50 Km. Light warheads ( c. 15 – 20 Kg). Launched from mobile multiple launchers. High rate of fire (24 RPM typ. ) 122 mm Grad Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 3
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Regional Ballistic Missiles Classification Medium rockets Ranges: 45 – 120 Km. Medium weight warheads (50 – 150 Kgs). Launched from mobile multiple launchers Medium rate of fire (12+ RPM). Fajer 3 WS-1 Fajer 5 Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 4
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Regional Ballistic Missiles Classification Heavy rockets Ranges: 150 – 250 Km. Heavy warheads (250 – 600 Kg). Launched from mobile, single round launchers. Low rate of fire (1 -2 per hour). Fatah 110 Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting Nazeat 5 Zilzal
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Regional Ballistic Missiles Classification Battlefield Ballistic Missiles An emerging class of missiles Ranges 150 -290 Km Pinpoint accuracy Medium to heavy warheads (150 -500 Kg. ) Fired from single or two round mobile launchers Low rate of fire (1 -4 per hour) Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 6
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Ballistic Missiles Classification Theater Ballistic Missiles Ranges 300 -2500 Km Heavy warheads (500 – 1000 Kg. ) Fired from fixed and mobile single round launchers Low rate of fire (Less than 1 Round per Hour) Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 7
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Rate of fire Rate of Fire Vs Range Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 8
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Rate of fire Rate of Fire Vs Range 300 Km SRBM Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting TBM 9
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense The Fundamental Distinction Between TBM and SRBM The most significant distinction is not range but potential damage • Light and Medium Rockets are statistical weapon: Ø Light warheads, lesser damage per round. Ø High rate of fire but mediocre accuracy. Ø Destructive only when fired en masse • TBM, Battlefield Missiles and Heavy Rockets are individual weapons: Ø Heavy (Conventional and WMD) warheads, High/intolerable damage per round Ø Low rate of fire but potentially pinpoint accuracy (for battlefield missile). Ø Destructive even when fired individually. Heavy Rockets and Battlefield Missiles are basically TBM Light and medium rockets should be classified as SRBM Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 10
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Implications • The high potential damage from heavy rockets and battlefield missiles justify the use of “classic” interceptors (e. g. PAC 3 Vs. Zilzal). • The high volume of SRBM fire dictates the need for very low cost interceptors. • TBMs, Battlefield Missiles and Heavy Rockets come in tens to hundreds; Light and Medium Rockets come in ten thousands. • Hence, affordable SRBM interceptors should cost about one hundredth of typical TMD interceptors. • This requires a breakthrough in weapon design: Consumer goods rather then aerospace standard of design and manufacturing. The Key to Effective SRBM Defense: Extremely Low Cost Interceptor. Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 12
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Sizing Considerations • The damage from any individual TBM could be devastating even when impacting in open areas if it carries WMD. There is no way to know that it is not. • In contrast, The damage from any individual SRBM is usually very limited when impacting outside of population centers. • Hence: Ø Against TBM, Area defense is mandatory. Ø Against SRBM, Local defense is acceptable. Extremely Low Cost Interceptor; Local Defense. Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 13
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Performance Considerations • Intuitively, interceptors for Man. PRs (Few Km. ) should be very different from interceptors for medium rockets (40 – 150 Km. ) • Intuition is wrong in this case. • The velocity requirements for Man. PRs interceptors makes them suitable for longer range threats, albeit with limited footprints. Extremely Low Cost Interceptor; Local Defense; “One Size Fits All”. Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 15
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Architectural Considerations • “Local Defense” does not imply a multitude of batteries but a distributed architecture. • Modern networking permits the centralization of sensors and BMC³ in conjunction with distributed launching sites. Extremely Low Cost Interceptor; Local Defense; “One Size Fits All”; Distributed Architecture. Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 16
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Is Local Defense Robust Enough? Area defense require faster hence costlier interceptors, but is immune to saturation tactics which could stress local defense. • Local defense counter saturation tactics require adequate reserves of interceptors coupled with quick redeployment. • Very Inexpensive interceptor; Local Defense; “One Size Fits All”; Distributed Architecture; Quick Redeployment. Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 17
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Is Local Defense Robust Enough? Concentrated Fire Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting Distributed Fire 18
May 2010 The Principles of Short Range Missile Defense Summary and conclusions • From defender’s perspective, the important feature that distinguishes between classes of regional missiles is destructiveness rather than range. • Highly destructive threats warrant the expenditure of “Classical”, high cost interceptors to prevent severe consequences. • Lesser destructive threats of short range but high rate of fire necessitates a breakthrough in interceptor design and manufacturing. * • To be affordable, anti SRBM interceptor design must emulate consumer goods kind of engineering approach. • It is recommended that short range missile defense systems will be specified against a wide spread of threat ranges and will be configured as local defense systems with distributed architecture. * In the case of directed energy weapons, the necessary breakthrough is in the energy conversion system. Rubincon Ltd. Defense Technology Consulting 19