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Market Structure In the Healthcare Industry Health Economics Fall 2009 Market Structure In the Healthcare Industry Health Economics Fall 2009

Outline p Defining perfect competition p The market structure continuum n n n p Outline p Defining perfect competition p The market structure continuum n n n p Monopoly Monopolistic competition Oligopoly The market for organs

Characteristics of Perfect Competition p Consumers pay the full price of the product n Characteristics of Perfect Competition p Consumers pay the full price of the product n p Consumers will respond to differences in prices among sellers All firms maximize profits n Firms have incentives to satisfy consumer wants and produce efficiently

Characteristics of Perfect Competition (cont. ) p There is a large number of buyers Characteristics of Perfect Competition (cont. ) p There is a large number of buyers and sellers, each of which is small relative to the total market n p No one buyer or seller is powerful enough to influence or manipulate the market price of a product All firms in the same industry produce a homogeneous product n A consumer can easily find substitutes for the product of any given firm

Characteristics of Perfect Competition (cont. ) p No barriers to entry or exit exist Characteristics of Perfect Competition (cont. ) p No barriers to entry or exit exist n p All economic agents possess perfect information n p New firms can enter the industry Consumers and firms can make informed choices All firms face nondecreasing average costs of production n Rules out a “natural monopoly”

Monopoly Model p In contrast to perfect competition, a monopoly market has the following Monopoly Model p In contrast to perfect competition, a monopoly market has the following features: n n n p One seller Homogeneous or differentiated product Complete barriers to entry Because there is only one firm, that firm faces the market demand curve, which is downward sloping

Monopoly Model (cont. ) p What is the profit-maximizing price and quantity for a Monopoly Model (cont. ) p What is the profit-maximizing price and quantity for a monopolist? n n n Recall that all firms will maximize profits where MR=MC We have already seen that the marginal cost curve for a firm depends on its production function and input prices What does the firm’s MR curve look like?

Monopoly Model (cont. ) p MR = P + Q • ( P/ Q) Monopoly Model (cont. ) p MR = P + Q • ( P/ Q) Because the second term in this formula represents a revenue loss, it is always negative p Thus, at each level of output, marginal revenue is always lower than price p The marginal revenue curve lies under the demand curve p

Monopoly Model (cont. ) Dollars per unit MR Demand Quantity Monopoly Model (cont. ) Dollars per unit MR Demand Quantity

Monopoly Model (cont. ) We are now ready to find the profit-maximizing output for Monopoly Model (cont. ) We are now ready to find the profit-maximizing output for a monopolist p The monopolist sets output at a level where MR=MC p n p On a graph, find the level of Q where the MR and MC curves intersect To determine the price the monopolist will charge, locate the price on the demand curve at this same output level

Monopoly Model (cont. ) Dollars per unit MC P* MR Q* Demand Quantity Monopoly Model (cont. ) Dollars per unit MC P* MR Q* Demand Quantity

Monopoly Model (cont. ) p The monopolist’s level of profits can then be determined Monopoly Model (cont. ) p The monopolist’s level of profits can then be determined by adding its average total cost curve to the graph p Profits will be the difference between P* and ATC, multiplied by Q*

Monopoly Model (cont. ) Dollars per unit MC P* ATC Profits ATC* MR Q* Monopoly Model (cont. ) Dollars per unit MC P* ATC Profits ATC* MR Q* Demand Quantity

Contrast to Perfect Competition Dollars per unit Under perfect competition, the market equilibrium would Contrast to Perfect Competition Dollars per unit Under perfect competition, the market equilibrium would MC instead be where P=MC ATC PC MR QC Demand Quantity The higher price and lower output in a monopolized market is why economists claim that competition is better for social welfare

Monopoly Model (cont. ) p A monopoly only maintains its status if there are Monopoly Model (cont. ) p A monopoly only maintains its status if there are no substitutes for the product it sells n n There must be barriers to entry, so that other firms cannot enter the market to compete The two most common barriers to entry: Economies of scale p Legal restrictions p

Monopoly Model (cont. ) p Economies of scale n n If a monopoly is Monopoly Model (cont. ) p Economies of scale n n If a monopoly is producing output at a level where long run average costs are declining, then new firms cannot compete on a cost basis A monopoly hospital in a small town may have substantial economies of scale if it can meet demand with only 40 -50 beds p Unless a new hospital could take away a substantial share of the existing hospital’s patients, it could not match the existing hospital in costs (and therefore profits as well)

Monopoly Model (cont. ) p Legal restrictions n n n Physicians require a license Monopoly Model (cont. ) p Legal restrictions n n n Physicians require a license to practice medicine Many states require that providers obtain a Certificate of Need to offer a new service Drug companies obtain patents for new pharmaceutical products

The Market Structure Continuum p We have talked about 2 extremes of the market The Market Structure Continuum p We have talked about 2 extremes of the market structure continuum n n p Perfect Competition Pure Monopoly Along this continuum, there are 2 more levels of competitiveness that we will encounter in the health care sector

The Market Structure Continuum Perfect Competition Oligopoly Monopolistic Competition Monopoly The Market Structure Continuum Perfect Competition Oligopoly Monopolistic Competition Monopoly

Monopolistic Competition Many sellers p Differentiated product p No barriers to entry p p Monopolistic Competition Many sellers p Differentiated product p No barriers to entry p p Examples n n n Breakfast cereals Ibuprofen (Advil, Motrin, etc. ) Cigarettes

Monopolistic Competition (cont. ) p Because products are differentiated across firms, each seller has Monopolistic Competition (cont. ) p Because products are differentiated across firms, each seller has some ability to control price n p Each seller faces a slightly downward sloping demand curve Sellers have an incentive to “differentiate” their product from competitors n Doing so is likely to raise demand for their product

Monopolistic Competition (cont. ) Dollars per Unit Demand under monopolistic competition Demand under perfect Monopolistic Competition (cont. ) Dollars per Unit Demand under monopolistic competition Demand under perfect competition 2 potential demand curves for an individual firm Output

Monopolistic Competition (cont. ) p How do sellers differentiate their product? n p Advertising Monopolistic Competition (cont. ) p How do sellers differentiate their product? n p Advertising Is advertising bad for consumers? n n Creates imaginary or artificial wants Persuasive, not informative Business stealing, w/ no benefits to consumer Habit buying is a barrier to entry

Monopolistic Competition (cont. ) p Benefits of advertising n May convey important info on Monopolistic Competition (cont. ) p Benefits of advertising n May convey important info on value of a good or service People benefit from real diversity & choice p Cheap info to customers to distinguish b/w products p n May promote quality competition p n Firms willing to invest in creating a brand name reputation will work to keep it May inform the consumer of good or service they weren’t aware of p Shift the D curve out

DTC Drug Advertising p August 1997, FDA permitted brand-specific direct-toconsumer (DTC) advertising w/o “brief DTC Drug Advertising p August 1997, FDA permitted brand-specific direct-toconsumer (DTC) advertising w/o “brief summary” of drug effectiveness, side effects, and contraindications p DTC advertising rose from $800 m in 1996 to $2. 5 b in 2000 n What were the consequences? p (Iizuka & Jin, 2003)

DTC Drug Advertising p Iizuka & Jin track monthly expenditures on DTC advertising for DTC Drug Advertising p Iizuka & Jin track monthly expenditures on DTC advertising for 1994 -2000 p They also track monthly visits to the doctor in a recurring national survey for 1994 -2000 n Survey indicates whether a drug was prescribed during the visit, and for what class

DTC Drug Advertising p Classes of drugs w/ heavy advertising had large ↑ in DTC Drug Advertising p Classes of drugs w/ heavy advertising had large ↑ in prescribing

DTC Drug Advertising p Classes of drugs w/ less advertising had no ↑in prescriptions DTC Drug Advertising p Classes of drugs w/ less advertising had no ↑in prescriptions

DTC Drug Advertising p IV column: After deregulation, each $1 ↑ in DTC Ads DTC Drug Advertising p IV column: After deregulation, each $1 ↑ in DTC Ads raises # of visits w/ a prescription by. 0464

DTC Drug Advertising p IV column: After deregulation, each $1 ↑ in DTC Ads DTC Drug Advertising p IV column: After deregulation, each $1 ↑ in DTC Ads raises # of visits w/ a prescription by. 0464 p How much ad spending is needed to get one extra prescription? n p 1/. 0464=$21. 55 Does DTC advertising look profitable to drug companies?

Oligopoly Few, dominant sellers p Homogeneous or differentiated product p Substantial barriers to entry Oligopoly Few, dominant sellers p Homogeneous or differentiated product p Substantial barriers to entry p p Examples n n Tertiary services at teaching hospitals Many prescription drugs

Oligopoly p Because there are only a few dominant sellers, actions of any one Oligopoly p Because there are only a few dominant sellers, actions of any one firm can change the overall market price p Like monopoly, oligopoly will lead to lower output and higher prices than would be observed under perfect competition n Regulators are concerned about consumer welfare in oligopolistic markets

Markets for Organs Should we allow markets for organs for transplant surgery? p Payment Markets for Organs Should we allow markets for organs for transplant surgery? p Payment to donors of organs is currently forbidden in developed countries. p Yet there is persistent excess demand for organ transplants (Becker and Elias, JEP 2007) p

Markets for Organs Markets for Organs

Markets for Organs Markets for Organs

Markets for Organs p Estimate excess demand from the growth in the waiting list Markets for Organs p Estimate excess demand from the growth in the waiting list in any year, plus # deaths for those on waiting list. n Excess demand in kidney market grew from 2, 500 persons in 1991 to 7, 000 in 2000.

The Price of an Organ How much pay is required to induce an individual The Price of an Organ How much pay is required to induce an individual to sell an organ? p Compensate individual for: p n n n Risk of death Time lost during recovery Risk of reduced quality of life

Pricing Risk of Death risk of death x Value of a statistical life p Pricing Risk of Death risk of death x Value of a statistical life p Estimated range $1. 5 - $10 m for someone with a $35, 000 average annual income in 2005. p Risk of death ~. 1% p e. g. $5 m x. 1% = $5, 000 p

Time Lost During Recovery Assume donor earns $35, 000 / year p Loses 4 Time Lost During Recovery Assume donor earns $35, 000 / year p Loses 4 weeks of work while in recovery p $35, 000 x 4 weeks => $2, 700 p

Risk of Quality of Life No comprehensive data on how kidney donation affects QOL. Risk of Quality of Life No comprehensive data on how kidney donation affects QOL. p Some studies suggest kidney donors can live normal lives, unless high physical contact (e. g. athletes). p But other studies find kidney donors at high risk of high blood pressure. p Could arbitrarily assume $7, 500. p

Market for Organs p Cost of Performing Kidney transplant surgery = $160 K n Market for Organs p Cost of Performing Kidney transplant surgery = $160 K n n n Risk of Death Time Lost in Recovery Risk of QOL $5, 000 2, 700 7, 500 $15, 200 Live donors raise total price 15, 200 / 160, 000 = 9. 5%, but supply is perfectly elastic.

Markets for Organs 13, 500 kidney transplants in 2005, 8000 on waiting list => Markets for Organs 13, 500 kidney transplants in 2005, 8000 on waiting list => excess demand = 21, 500 p Assume εD for organ transplants = -1 p n price 9. 5% => demand 9. 5% x 21, 500 = 2, 043 p Demand = 21, 500 – 2, 043 = 19, 457, but all would be supplied. p Equilibrium transplants rise from 13, 500 to 19, 457 = 44% p

Excess Demand if Sales are Banned $ S $160, 0 00 Exces s Dema Excess Demand if Sales are Banned $ S $160, 0 00 Exces s Dema nd Q 0 # Transplants D

Market for Organs $ $175, 20 S e* S 0 $160, 00 0 D Market for Organs $ $175, 20 S e* S 0 $160, 00 0 D Q 0 Q 1 # Transplants *

Markets for Organs p Under a range of assumptions, allowing the sale of live Markets for Organs p Under a range of assumptions, allowing the sale of live donor organs substantially raises the # of transplants. p See Table 3, Becker.