MANE-VU Emissions Inventory Update Megan Schuster MANE-VU MARAMA June

MANE-VU Emissions Inventory Update Megan Schuster, MANE-VU/MARAMA June 11, 2004

Completed EI Projects • Open Burning emissions inventory • Ammonia emissions inventory from cement plants, industrial refrigeration, composting and publicly owned treatment works – A total of 19, 049 tons/year of ammonia emissions from POTWs, composting, industrial refrigeration and cement kilns in the MANE-VU region.

Completed EI projects (cont. ) • Residential wood combustion survey and EI – MANE-VU PM 2. 5 inventory = 140, 041 tons • Includes pellet stoves and furnace/boilers • Factor to convert wood consumption (cords) to tons = 1. 8 tons/cord (more responses of hardwood burning) • Bottom up inventory from census tract level – PM 2. 5 NEI for MANE-VU region = 77, 393 tons • Does not include pellet stoves or furnace/boilers • Factor used to convert volume to mass = 1. 163 tons/cord • National stats allocated to regions, then to counties

Area and Point Source Modeling EI • Pechan under contract, subcontractors UNC and RWDI (Canadian) • Summaries/ comparisons of 99 v 3 NEI and 2002 NEI for MANE-VU – completed • Review and recommend method to develop fire, fugitive dust emissions, temporal, spatial, and speciation profiles – due June 2004 • Developing Canadian fire inventory for part of Canada that is in Eastern domain – workplan available June, emissions – Sept/Oct

Area and Point Source Modeling EI • Will compile/QA state submitted CERRs, supplement with MANE-VU EI projects, and NEI where appropriate • Stakeholder review taking place in Aug/Sept • Inventory by Sept/Oct 2004 • Will be collecting other RPO inventories in Sept

Mobile source EI (onroad and nonroad) • Based on state data/ CERR submittals • By July, draft mobile inputs and nonroad emissions for region • By September, final mobile and nonroad inputs for SMOKE and EMS will be available

MANE-VU Projects – next year • Projections – mid-term year(? ), 2018 – Use of IPM? – Sensitivity analysis of control strategy emission inventory projections • Update MANE-VU 2002 Emissions inventory

Inter-RPO Emissions Inventory data warehouse project • Project idea: Develop a simple easy to use data warehouse system to store QA’d data, and with capabilities of expanding in the future (if desired) • Inter-RPO funds = $150, 000 • MANE-VU is tasked with managing the project • Need technical workgroup- at least one person from each RPO • Need to develop RFP soon, so it is ready to go when the funds are here! (MAYBE) – Scheduling/ funding problems…

MANE-VU AQ Modeling & EI Processing • MODELING : Contribution Assessment (Base & Control Scenarios) • AQ MODELs : REMSAD V 7. 10 (Source Tagging), CMAQ, CALPUFF, and Source Apportionment • METEOROLOGY - Present : Clear Skies Act (CSA) base year 1996 annual MM 5 model run - Future : 12 km Eastern Domain (by UMD & NY DEC)

MANE-VU AQ Modeling & EI Processing • EI DEVELOPMENT - Present : CSA 2001”Proxy” emissions - Near Future : VISTAS 2002 inventory (by Greg Stella) - Next year : MANE-VU EI (MARAMA/PECHAN) • EI PROCESSING - Basic processing has been done by SMOKE - Applying emissions tagging program (inhouse) to analyze state-by-state and facility-by-facility contribution - Applying control scenarios to tagged facilities/states/species to analyze contribution change

MANE-VU AQ Modeling & EI Processing - Timeframe for Results • Contribution assessment with preliminary REMSAD, CALPUFF, CMAQ and Source Apportionment Techniques (Sept 2004) • 2002 Meteorology and Inventory (Feb 2005) • Final performance evaluation (Summer 2005) • Refined Modeling and Analysis (Dec 2005) • Final strategy modeling and remaining regulatory analyses – (2006 -7 varies by state)