Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic

Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and Forecasting capacity From MERSEA IP to the Marine Core Service P. Bahurel, MERCATOR OCEAN, on behalf of the MERSEA IP group GMES Arctic GOOS meeting Bergen 12 & 13 September 2006 n n

www. mersea. eu. org Outlines n A project, MERSEA IP n A service, the Marine Core Service (MCS) n Link with Arctic GOOS

www. mersea. eu. org n n Background The ocean & ice modelling community An integrated approach : data (space & in situ), modelling and assimilation n GOOS and Euro. GOOS European projects and national initiatives n The GODAE international experiment: 1997 -2008 … n The European GMES program : 2001 -2008++ n The MERSEA Projects (EC) : n – MERSEA Strand 1 : 2002 -2003 – MERSEA Integrated Project : 2004 -2008

A GMES/EC project R&D Monitoring & Forecasting The MERSEA Integrated Project

www. mersea. eu. org n MERSEA Integrated Project Key messages MERSEA IP has developed the first European Integrated System for ocean global & regional ocean monitoring & forecasting – One single integrated system, with different components – Version 1 is running n MERSEA IP priority is a « European (inter-national) added-value » for ocean applications and users n The Arctic region is a key area of implementation

www. mersea. eu. org The MERSEA Integrated Project Development of a European system for operational monitoring and forecasting of the ocean physics, biogeochemistry, and ecosystems, on global and regional scales n R&D project funded under 6 th FP of the European Commission n 4 -year project (2004 – 2008) n 38 contractors, 16 countries (or Int. Org. ) n Coordination : IFREMER, France ; Y. Desaubies

MERSEA IP scope www. mersea. eu. org n Ocean physics (ice incl. ), biogeochemistry and ecosystems n A global system, with regional enhancements in European seas n To elaborate reference datasets based on observations and/or model n Useful to a wide range of applications – Coastal to Climate – Research to Operational – Institutional and commercial n A group of experienced teams connected to – Operational centres – Observation (sapce & in situ) agencies – Downstream applications – Research community – International networks (GOOS, Euro. GOOS, …)

Seeking for European Integration www. mersea. eu. org Mercator, Fr Foam, UK Topaz, No DMI, Dk MFS, It

www. mersea. eu. org One single « Integrated System »

www. mersea. eu. org 3 Observation Data Components A « system of systems » 5 Model Data Components

www. mersea. eu. org 3 2 1 4 5 Area I : Global Ocean Area II : North East Atlantic Area III : Arctic Area IV : Baltic Sea Area V : Mediterranean Sea

www. mersea. eu. org viewing … Surface Temperature (Global Ocean, model forecast)

www. mersea. eu. org viewing … Ocean Color (Global Ocean, observation)

www. mersea. eu. org viewing … In Situ Observation Locations (Global Ocean, Observations)

www. mersea. eu. org viewing … 100 m Depth Salinity (Global Ocean, model forecast)

viewing … 100 m Depth Salinity (zooms in the Global Ocean, model forecast) www. mersea. eu. org

www. mersea. eu. org Area 3 Arctic Area 1 Global Area 2 North East Atlantic Area 4 Baltic

www. mersea. eu. org Model Observations viewing … North East Atlantic (different fields, model & observations)

www. mersea. eu. org 3 2 1 4 5 www. mersea. eu. org

The GMES Ocean Fast-track service Operational Monitoring & Forecasting The Marine Core Service GMES

www. mersea. eu. org Marine Core Service (MCS) Key messages n Transition to a European “Marine Core Service” is now doable, requested by users, and decided by GMES stakeholders. n The focus is – – n n n the delivery on an operational basis, at global and regional scales, of the reference ocean & ice information requested by marine and ocean-linked applications to develop their activities The GMES target is 2008. The MERSEA team is committed to turn towards this objective. The first version of the MCS is available on a demonstration basis. Connections with Arctic providers, experts, service providers, and users have now to be reinforced. NERSC is the coordinator.

www. mersea. eu. org MCS The GMES stakeholders definition Core information (ocean state) GMES input information (raw data) Satellite and in situ networks Marine Core Service User customized information (user products) Marine Downstream Services GMES Marine Operational Users GMES Service outputs (others) From : Workshop on GMES Marine Core Service ; Brussels – October 27 -28, 2005

www. mersea. eu. org Downstream areas of benefit n “The MCS will provide the common denominator data for all users in the marine sector, in other words the information for existing & new downstream services. ” n Climate Marine Environment Seasonal and weather forecasting Offshore Maritime transport and safety Fisheries Research General Public n n n n

www. mersea. eu. org Downstream: areas of benefit n “The MCS will provide the common denominator data for all users in the marine sector, in other words the information for existing & new downstream services. ” n Climate Marine Environment Seasonal and weather forecasting Offshore Maritime transport and safety Fisheries Research General Public n n n n A downstream application (oil spill drift, during Prestige accident) run by Met. No (courtesy B. Hackett)

www. mersea. eu. org Core Service: Service Lines n “The MCS should deliver regular and systematic reference information (processed data, elaborated products) on the state of the oceans and regional seas: at the resolution required by intermediate users & downstream service providers, of known quality and accuracy, for the global and European regional seas. ”. n Operational Production of Ocean Core Data – T, S, UV, SSH, ice, Chl-a n Dissemination of Products – Standard and easy access to users n Assessment and expertise – Quality and human expertise n Tools dev. & maintenance – Model, assimilation, data handling n Coordination with research – Ensure links operational/research

www. mersea. eu. org Core Service: Service Lines n “The MCS should deliver regular and systematic reference information (processed data, elaborated model products) on the state of the oceans and regional seas: at the resolution required by intermediate users & downstream service providers, of known quality and accuracy, for the global and European regional seas. ”. n Operational Production of Ocean Core Data – T, S, UV, SSH, ice, Chl-a n Dissemination of Products – Standard and easy access to users n Assessment and expertise – Quality and human expertise n Tools dev. & maintenance – Model, assimilation, data handling n Coordination with research – Ensure links operational/research

Core Service: Service Lines www. mersea. eu. org n Assessment, a range of international metrics MOORINGS XBT lines SECTIONS and TRANSPORT WOCE CLIVAR CANADIAN SECTIONS SOOP GLOSS TAO PIRATA MFS MODEL T Model/Tide gauge SLA time series comparison MODEL/OBS comparison XBT Observed T MODEL/WOCE-CLIVAR SECTION VOLUME TRANSPORT across FLORIDA Strait : MODEL/CABLE Comparison

www. mersea. eu. org n Core Service: Service Lines Assessment, a range of international metrics Class 1 Arctic sea ice extent Coll. NERSC/Mercator Class 2 Arctic Sections Class 2 Arctic Moorings

Conclusion The MCS and Arctic GOOS GMES

www. mersea. eu. org n The MCS and Arctic GOOS The Arctic GOOS and the GMES Marine Core Service are complementary inititiatives – MCS is focussed on the operational delivery of a reference and “core” information, for the benefit of all Arctic GOOS partners to develop their expertise and activities – Arctic GOOS provides a unique network of experts, scientists and data/service providers in the Arctic region, to contribute to and add value to the MCS. n n n MCS and Arctic GOOS (IPY) timescales fit perfectly. We have an excellent opportunity to build an exemplary situation, for the benefit of all international users. The precise definition of the MCS service for the Arctic region is our priority. – See S. Sandven and J. Johannessen talks.