Long term E 2 BA Roadmap targeting 2020

Long term E 2 BA Roadmap, targeting 2020 and beyond Stefano Carosio Ee. B PPP AIAG co-ordinator stefano. carosio@dappolonia. it www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Table of Contents Current Roadmap New Roadmap Development Roadmap Suggested Template Proposed Roadmap Content Roadmapping Updating Timeline Consultation Methods Call for Tender Steps Roadmap Project Milestones Recap www. e 2 b-ei. eu

The Ee. B PPP Multiannual Roadmap Public Consultations www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Table of Contents Current Roadmap New Roadmap Development Roadmap Suggested Template Proposed Roadmap Content Roadmapping Updating Timeline Consultation Methods Call for Tender Steps Roadmap Project Milestones Recap www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Moving forward The new long term E 2 BA roadmap should answer key questions: 1. What is our destination? -> Updated Vision 2. What are the trends and drivers for the future? -> Scenario Analysis 3. Where are we now? -> Detailed assessment of the So. A 4. What barriers and challenges do we foresee on our road(s) to the destination? 5. What do we need to overcome the barriers and to take up the challenges? We should be measurable with clear milestones to check progress and redirect priorities -> Reviewing and monitoring www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Overall proposed approach for the new E 2 BA Roadmap Destination vision 2050/2020 review and monitor routes and needs for breakthroughs barriers and challenges Present position www. e 2 b-ei. eu feedback and integration Priorities Milestones Time lines Resources Follow-up Scenario analysis

Roadmap in summary • Responds to the updated E 2 BA Vision • Has a time horizon to 2050 with focused priorities and implementation plan till 2020 • Takes account of the key areas and directions set out in the first roadmap • Covers research, development and market validation (including business models) and captures the dependencies between areas to foster systemic approaches, interoperable solutions, etc • Feeds into deployment plans for subsequent work by e. g. DG R&I, DG Energy, DG Enterprise, EIB, … www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Inputs • • Revised E 2 B Vision Review of E 2 B first multi-annual roadmap Policy targets (e. g. for CO 2 emissions) Review of national and international roadmaps, existing ‘future scenarios’, position papers • Lessons learnt from the portfolio of running Ee. B project and other energy related projects (e. g. ICT 4 E 2 B Forum and Building up) • Links with other EU initiatives: KETs (e. g. Advanced Materials), KICs (e. g. Inno. Energy) www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Who will give input to the roadmap? • Active and committed involvement of AIAG members and all E 2 BA members, exploiting the National Liaison Points multiplying effect and national/local reach • Facilitated by a “super partes” expert organisation in roadmapping (which does not need to be an expert, or even particularly knowledgeable, in the area of energy efficient buildings and construction). Such facilitator will be selected through a public Call for Tender open to organisations outside E 2 BA members at the time when the call is launched. • Open and wide consultation is key: – At the various stages, consultation will be required beyond the E 2 BA and NLPs reach – Close relationship with ETPs, running initiatives and roadmaps as SET Plan (PV, Renewable Heat and Cooling, …), Green Cars, Fo. F, KETs, EIT KICs, IEA, Research Infrastructures… www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Table of Contents Current Roadmap New Roadmap Development Roadmap Suggested Template Proposed Roadmap Content Roadmapping Updating Timeline Consultation Methods Call for Tender Steps Roadmap Project Milestones Recap www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Possible Layers of Analyses We could have layers describing: 1. Trends and drivers leading to scenarios and challenges Priority areas 2. (Market) needs and product/service opportunities with quantified targets/functional requirements 3. Research and technology areas where gaps and promising Technology address the needs above Roadmaps alternatives are identified to 4. Other enablers and cross cutting non technological aspects: Regulation, Standards, Training, Financial, Sharing Cross cutting- integrating aspects knowledge across supply chain, Research Infrastructures etc 5. Anticipated Outcomes: e. g. Revenue, enable large scale deployment, input to other EU initiatives, etc. www. e 2 b-ei. eu

References: Northwest Energy Efficiency Technology Roadmap www. e 2 b-ei. eu

References: Heating and Cooling Equipment Technology Roadmap www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Multi-Layer Analysis: 3 -D Analyses Three 3 time dimensions shall be covered: – Short term (2013 -2015) Directly linked to Horizon 2020 – Medium term (2015 -2020) – Long term: beyond 2020 i. e. Retrofitting and reduction of energy use Ee. B PPP 2010 -13 www. e 2 b-ei. eu Horizon 2020 i. e. Energy neutral buildings/districts i. e. Energy positive buildings/districts

Table of Contents Current Roadmap New Roadmap Development Roadmap Suggested Template Proposed Roadmap Content Roadmapping Updating Timeline Consultation Methods Call for Tender Steps Roadmap Project Milestones Recap www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Proposed Roadmap Content A. The destination Contains: • A revised vision of energy efficiency in the built environment in 2050 • A consensus-based and unambiguous definition of the desired situation in 2020, including measurable targets (SMART). www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Proposed Roadmap Content B. The present situation • Overview of the directions set out in the first E 2 B roadmap, and progress against it • Describing the State-of-the-Art in technological and nontechnological issues (= the progress made over the last years) • Overview of the port-folio of running Ee. B projects: present focus and activities (= what we might achieve in the short run when the running projects are successful) www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Proposed Roadmap Content C. Trends and drivers for the future • Identification of drivers and trends, implications for the built environment, market threats and opportunities • This will include reviewing existing scenarios for the future, national and international roadmaps, major position papers, relevant forthcoming EU legislation, … • It may include development of a new set of scenarios, to help develop clear implications for the built environment • Identify priority areas where specific detailed technology roadmaps will be deployed www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Proposed Roadmap Content D. Identifying the enablers, gaps, barriers and challenges and elements of future research and innovation programmes The opportunities for research and demonstration will be highlighted in more detail, including: • Defining priorities and main areas to address in details • Developing technology roadmaps and identify more promising research areas, including timelines, resources and milestones • Description and analyses of value and innovation chains: who should be mobilised, who is needed? • Covering research, development, demonstration and market validation, and capturing interdependencies to foster systemic approaches, interoperability etc. • And considering review, monitoring and follow up actions to steer the process and realise real market implementation at EU scale www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Proposed Roadmap Content D. Identifying the enablers, gaps, barriers and challenges and elements of future research and innovation programmes In addition to technical aspects, this will include a review of the need for regulation, standards, training, financial instruments, knowledge sharing etc, taking account of: • • • The changing world: trends, policies, business and market opportunities Identification of the development stage in relevant technology (from embryonic to mature), and expected time-to-market Non-technological issues (e. g. consumer acceptance, financial and economic issues) Availability of resources Lesson learned from the portfolio of running Ee. B projects www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Step E: Final Roadmap Integration E. Final Roadmap Integration • Assemble top level roadmap – Take inputs from each working group and specific roadmap – Identify overall outcomes from combining all the areas – Identify any remaining gaps in responding to the opportunities and market needs, and fill these in – Highlight and articulate the role of E 2 BA in each area – Capture other areas outside the direct scope of E 2 B that complementary programmes may cover (e. g. green cars, PV etc) – Articulate ultimate value and outcomes – Create a live document hyperlinked / done with special software – Include a detail explanation of each key topic • Work progress to be reviewed regularly with E 2 BA Executive Board and E 2 BA Scientific Council www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Table of Contents Current Roadmap New Roadmap Development Roadmap Suggested Template Proposed Roadmap Content Roadmapping Updating Timeline Consultation Methods Call for Tender Steps Roadmap Project Milestones Recap www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Roadmapping Updating Timeline Call for Tender to search for an external neutral and experienced consultant : 1 st February 2012 – End of May 2012 • By the end of October draft of the So. W and E 2 BA internal working document to explain the process • Presentation of the draft So. W and Working Document to the AIAG (early November 2011) • Gathering of feedbacks, validation by the Exec Board (possibly by conference call around mid November) and launch of the tender (by end of November) • Closing of the tender end of December • Evaluation of proposals and award of contract by mid January 2012 In parallel: • WG 1 lead by Acciona should finalise the Vision, identifying key drivers and quantified targets for 2020 and till 2050. A template to gather targets at national and regional level should be circulated by first week of November 2011 through the NLPs • A workshop dealing with the Updated vision and identification of Priority Areas for specific roadmaps should be called jointly with the next AIAG meeting mid December -> the Scientific Council should validate the findings • We should establish contact with identified benchmarks for previous roadmaps and identify expert organisations potentially interested in applying for the tender • Definition of the Budget: approximately 60 KEuro including travels (upper limit) www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Table of Contents Current Roadmap New Roadmap Development Roadmap Suggested Template Proposed Roadmap Content Roadmapping Updating Timeline Consultation Methods Call for Tender Steps Roadmap Project Milestones Recap www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Consultation Methods • At the various stages, consultation will be required beyond the E 2 BA Executive Board and Scientific Council. • Wider consultation with E 2 BA members will be carried out particularly towards the end of Step C and Step D to make sure that consensus is reached on key directions and preliminary findings before the overall integration. The E 2 B Info Day in July 2012 could be used as a focal point for this. • National Liaison Points will be used to consult more widely on Step C, possibly using surveys or in-country workshops designed by the Roadmap Team and delivered by the NLP • A further step in consensus building will be launched between September and December 2012, possibly facilitated by an extension of the services by the consultant awarded for previous steps, if delivery is judged satisfactory. www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Table of Contents Current Roadmap New Roadmap Development Roadmap Suggested Template Proposed Roadmap Content Roadmapping Updating Timeline Consultation Methods Call for Tender Steps Roadmap Project Milestones Recap www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Tasks to be performed by E 2 BA BEFORE the Call for Tender • Update of the Vision towards an energy efficient built environment: a shared and integrated vision for the E 2 BA roadmap has been defined among E 2 BA and main stakeholders. Key measurable targets have been identified building on EU and national/regional initiatives; • Identification of Trends and drivers for the future: the main drivers and trends are being analysed by the Association to identify implications for the built environment, market threats and opportunities and to integrate those views with existing scenarios and national and international roadmaps. An analysis of major position papers, relevant forthcoming EU legislation is being investigated to evaluate their possible development in a new set of scenarios. Quantified targets will be derived for which fulfilment novel integrations of existing technologies or completely new technologies would need to be developed; • Identification of priority areas for detailed technology roadmapping: based on the quantified targets identified above, priority areas will be identified as building pillars of the new multiannual roadmap and for which new research and innovation would be needed to overcome both technological and non technological barriers (i. e. envelope, ICT, …). www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Bidder’s Expected Main Tasks and Timeline www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Bidder’s Expected Outputs Task 1: Developing Technology Roadmaps for the priority areas identified INPUT OUTPUT DELIVERABLE DEADLINE The results of the background work performed by the Association will be made available to the bidder, who will in turn respect E 2 BA’S Proprietary Information A set of technology roadmaps, clearly identifying: • the development stage in relevant technology (from embryonic to mature), and opportunities for new developments • Non-technological issues (e. g. consumer acceptance, financial and economic issues) • RDI topics, complementarity with existing initiatives and level of resources D 1 April 2012 (M 3) www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Bidder’s Expected Outputs Task 2: Input for Roadmapping Finalisation INPUT OUTPUT DELIVERABLE DEADLINE The results of the Working groups work performed in Task 1. A summary diagram and accompanying report highlighting: • Integration of all the WG activities • Identification of ultimate value and outcomes • Integration of RDI topics into a set of priorities for future activities • Template structure completed. D 2 May 2012 (M 4) www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Bidder’s Expected Support • The tenderer will support E 2 BA in developing detailed technology roadmaps for each of the priority areas, facilitating the work of groups of experts engaged through E 2 BA or creating consensus among larger stakeholders groups • The facilitator will identify the most suitable methodology to perform the roadmapping process proposing alternative methods, according to his experience, as long as E 2 BA’s expected outcome is reached • The tenderer will also support the integration of the different roadmap at priority area level onto a set of coherent priorities for a future research Programme with a time horizon till 2020 and beyond. www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Bidder’s Expected Experience The facilitator’s expected background experience requirements are the following: • The bidder shall describe its relevant experience for the performance of the work which is subject of the present Call for Tender. A table providing a list of the last three years contracts in areas which are relevant to the tender needs to be provided including the value of the contracts, the clients, duration. Training activities should be considered but are not the core of the expertise E 2 BA is looking for. • The bidder shall demonstrate expertise and experience in elaborating methodology and criteria for roadmapping activities and shall present its background experiences in this regard. • The bidder shall demonstrate its ability and experience in accessing the information required for this activity, excluding any potential conflicts of interests with the actors of the value chain. Furthermore, bidders shall demonstrate understanding of the E 2 BA activities. • Each person proposed for the work should have at least 5 years experience in technology roadmapping for public and/or private clients, with the team leader having at least 10 years experience. www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Bid Evaluation Criteria • The selection of the roadmapping facilitator will be based on the following criteria: Evaluation Criteria Background and experience (general and related to the particular field concerned) of the company(ies) 1 and staff (including adequacy of proposed facilities), demonstrating clear avoidance of conflict of interests Understanding of the challenges in implementing such multiannual roadmap in the given time frame, 2 reaching consensus across stakeholders; compliance with the Statement of Work; quality of the proposal 3 Adequacy of planning, management and costing for the execution of the work www. e 2 b-ei. eu Weighting Factor 40 % 30%

Bid Evaluation Board The Evaluation Board will be composed of: • E 2 BA President • Executive Board Members • Chairman of the Scientific Council • Sec Gen www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Table of Contents Current Roadmap New Roadmap Development Roadmap Suggested Template Proposed Roadmap Content Roadmapping Updating Timeline Consultation Methods Call for Tender Steps Roadmap Project Milestones Recap www. e 2 b-ei. eu

Project plan/milestones September 2011 October Preparation of the Call for Tender December November Publication of the Call for Tender Deadline to receive proposals WG 1 activities continue Scientif Council workshop If further activities are requested by the facilitator, a prolongation of the Contract shall be foreseen Selection of the facilitator Contract with Facilitator Refinement of the roadmap by AIAG and E 2 BA Ee. B PPP End of Facilitator’s support January February Ee. B PPP Impact workshop www. e 2 b-ei. eu May Info Day Preliminary draft 2012 July Consultation September New Roadmap December