Literature review Empirical research devoted to the Market timing theory By Grebtsova Elena Eremeeva Katya Zhilina Katya Rabotinskiy Ilya Stepushkin Gennadiy Filin Yevgeniy
Capital structure theories Underdevelope d Developed Market timing Tradeoff Signalin g Pecking order
Market timing Basic idea: decisions to issue equity depend on market performance Reasoning: Equity issues and business cycle Market timing Stock returns and equity issues Extent of asymmetric information and equity issues
Market timing Line of research: Explanation Market timing vs Pecking order or Trade-off Market timing effect: long-lasting or not?
Equity market timing concept M. Baker, J. Wurgler, 2002 • COMPUSTAT, nonfinancial companies from the USA (1968 -1998), equity market timing isn’t rejected W. A. Bruinshoofd, L. de Haan, 2011 • Nonfinancial firms from the USA, the UK, the Europe, only the US companies are related to equity market timing theory
A. Mahajan, S. Tartaroglu (2007) Data: COMPUSTAT, 1993 -2005, G-7 Model: Conclusions: 1. There is a negative relationship between MV/BV and leverage in 6 of 7 countries (except Japan) 2. Dynamic trade-off theory was confirmed
Equity Market Timing and Capital Structure: Evidence from Tunisia and France Khemaies Bougatef, Jameleddine Chichti International Journal of Business and Management, 2010 Tunisia (30 companies) and France (100 companies) between 2000 and 2008 Panel analysis -> Two regressions 1. Net equity issue 2. Leverage ratio
Author, year Sample Period EFWAMB specification Baker et al. , 2002 COMPUST 1968 AT/nonfin 1998 ancial firms/ USA Basic Market timing consistency Prevailing theory consistent Bruinshoo Nonfinanc 1991 fd et al. , ial firms 2001 2011 from USA/UK/E urope Basic+modified(only inconsistent long-term debt) Pecking order Mahajan et al. , 2007 COMPUS 1993 TAT/ G-7 2005 Basic+modified (only equity) Inconsistent Dynamic trade-off Hovakim ian (2006) COMPUS 1983 TAT 2002 /nonfina ncial Basic Inconsistent