Leading Edge Transportation Planning and Transportation Steve Raney

Leading Edge Transportation Planning and Transportation Steve Raney, Executive Director, Cities 21. org • • • “Walk to Work” Housing Personal Rapid Transit (PRT) Group Rapid Transit (GRT) Digital Hitchhiking Oil price spike planning. steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 1

Walk to Work Housing • Inefficient U. S. settlement patterns • For U. S. suburbs, we drive everywhere – 12, 000 km commute per year person. Home 5 km steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 2 20 km Job 5 km Grocery, recreation

Walk to Work Housing • U. S. Policy solution: “walk to work housing” – Apply to large, new housing developments – Housing prioritized for short commutes • Commute distance verified by employer / tax records – Monthly 400 Y tax for long commutes • Best traffic reduction solution ever. Home steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 3 1 km Job

Walk to Work Housing - Tianjin • Government strongly influences residential location, but not as much as 20 years ago • Beijing study: Commute time increased by 30%. Home Job distance increased. "Transportation Implications of Land Development in a Transitional Economy: Evidence from Housing Relocation in Beijing, China" (TRB 2006, #06 -0670) • Tianjin government could exert stronger influence over car owners’ residential location selection – Tax long commutes • Comments? . steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 4

PRT – Personal Rapid Transit • • Similar to a monorail. Video, MS Campus No waiting, cars wait for you 50 km/hour Bypasses intermediate stations – Non-stop • 3 person, electric vehicles • Automated, driverless, 24 x 7. steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 5

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PRT – Proposed for Microsoft Campus • See map • 40, 000 employees, 4 square km • Train, bus, carpool PRT network – Distribute bus passengers to 29 PRT stations • 17 km elevated PRT guideway • Cost estimate: 48 MM Y per km. steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 7

4 PRT Developments • For 2010 operation • “ULTra”, Cardiff, United Kingdom – 80 MM Y British Airport Authority investment for small Heathrow airport system • Korean steelmaker Posco, 320 MM Y – First system: Uppsala, Sweden • Korea Railroad Research Institute: 240 MM Y • Dubai has a PRT procurement. steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 8

PRT – Proposed to Guangzhou • Proposed to Nansha Vice Mayor – Develop as Chinese export industry • Vice Mayor said, “China will have much lower cost than 48 MM Y per km” • Vice Mayor said No to proposal. No good local application. Driverless is too advanced • Comments? . steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 9

GRT – Group Rapid Transit • GRT: Morgantown, West Virginia • 13 km, 5 stations, 71 23 -person vehicles – third rail, rubber tires, steer • 2. 5 BB Y (2006 $) • 30 years automated operation • Heated guideway melts snow. steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 10

GRT – Morgantown: station design steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 11

GRT: Cybertran - SF Bay Area • • • Development has stalled 15 passengers, 12 m vehicle Steel wheel on steel rail Third rail Columns on railroad ballast – Upon earthquake, realign. steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 12

GRT • Bishop Austrans – Australia – Under development – 9 passenger vehicles – Steel wheels / rail – Third rail • Megarail – Texas – Under development – 16 passenger vehicles – Rubber tires – Third rail – Can couple vehicles. steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 13

GRT - Tianjin • • As feeder for metro Could have drivers Couple vehicles into trains Could stop at every station – Online stations • Simple stations • Export industry • Comments? . steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 14

Digital Hitchhiking Proposal • Leaves: Microsoft campus • Trunk: 6 km, 30 minute bus, 400 workers • Roots: 2, 000 cars enter trunk, pick up workers. High frequency • RFID & cellular. . steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 15

Oil Price Spike Planning • Dirty bomb at Saudi oil fields – Gas price doubles • U. S. does not plan • United Kingdom does plan: – Increase biking, telecommuting, transit service – Restrict driving, reduce speed limit • Tianjin? • THE END steve_raney@cities 21. org, slide 16