Labour Market Intelligence Research into the Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Sector in Wales Paul A. Morgan Sam White Skills Summit Presentation: An overview of key findings November 2014
Presentation Structure • Key Questions: for discussion • About the Research • Key Findings – Profile of AM&M Sector – Forecast skills needs – Provider Capacity & Capability • Discussion
Key Questions • Can the current training infrastructure in Wales meet the demand for skills in AM&M up to 2022? • How many people will need to be trained between now and 2022? • How can we meet the challenges and barriers to upskilling the Welsh AM&M workforce?
Section 1 About the Research
About the Research • A skills research study in the Advanced Manufacturing sector in Wales • Specifically, to determine the following: – Emerging technologies & skills related requirements – Provider capability & capacity – Issues & barriers faced by employers & training providers
Sector Definition • • aerospace, automotive, electrical, electronics, • • maintenance, marine, mechanical, metals and engineered metal products.
Approach • Desk-based research – a review of existing information and analysis of secondary data • Stakeholder Engagement – interviews with key stakeholders • Industry Engagement – an online survey of employers, interviews with training providers, case studies with businesses • Analysis – national datasets & survey data
Section 2 Key Findings
Profile of the AM&M Sector A high value added sector: the AM&M sector in Wales employs 6% of all Welsh labour yet contributes 17% of all turnover in Wales. A high growth sector: 19% growth in AM&M turnover between 2008 and 2011 (16% for all of manufacturing)
Employment 81, 381 AM&M Health Retail Manufacturing Education Accommodation & food services Public administration & defence Business administration & support services Agriculture, forestry & fishing Construction Arts, entertainment, recreation & other services Professional, scientific & technical Transport & storage Wholesale Financial & insurance Motor trades Information & communication Mining, quarrying & utilities Property - Source : BRES 2012 50, 000 100, 000 150, 000 200, 000 250, 000
Employment by Regions AM&M West Midlands East North East South West Yorkshire and The Humber Wales South East Scotland North West London GB 199, 500 138, 200 176, 600 67, 800 154, 800 143, 900 81, 400 226, 100 136, 300 172, 900 103, 000 1, 600, 500 Proportion of AM&M Regional Employment in the Economy Region 2, 416, 000 1, 969, 000 2, 527, 000 1, 032, 000 2, 375, 000 2, 243, 000 1, 269, 000 3, 920, 000 2, 426, 000 3, 102, 000 4, 593, 000 27, 872, 000 8. 3% 7. 0% 6. 6% 6. 5% 6. 4% 5. 8% 5. 6% 2. 2% 5. 7%
Businesses Other Engineering Activities Metals Mechanical Electronics Electrical Aerospace Automotive R&D Marine Wales Other Transport UK Rubber Tyres 0% Source: IDBR 2013 20% 40% 60%
Turnover AM&M Electronics Other Transport Aerospace Marine Rubber Tyres Mechanical Automotive R&D Electrical Metals Other Engineering Activities -100% Source: Annual Business Survey 2008 -2011 0% 100%
Regional Comparisons Rubber Tyres Metals Electronics 3 Stars West Midlands South West Yorkshire and The Humber West Midlands South East South West Marine Aerospace Other Transport Other Engineering Activities R&D 1 Star West Midlands South East West Midlands South West Scotland South West East Midlands West Midlands London West Midlands North West North East Yorkshire and The Humber North East North West Wales South East Scotland South East London Electrical Mechanical Automotive 2 Stars
Aerospace Clusters – European Union
Forecast Skills Needs • Skills Gaps and Shortages • Emerging Technologies • Demand levels
Skills Gaps & Shortages Professional Engineers, Scientists and Technologists Skilled trades occupations/Craft Technicians / Technical occupations Managers and Senior Staff Process, plant and machine operatives Administrative and secretarial Occupations Elementary occupations/Labourers 1. 0 3. 0 5. 0 Gaps Source: Miller Research (UK) Ltd. Bases: Gaps = 71, Shortages = 68 Shortages
Skills Gaps & Shortages Professional Engineers, Scientists and Technologists 26% Technicians / Technical occupations 26% 20% Skilled trades occupations/Craft Managers and Senior Staff 31% 8% Source: Miller Research (UK) Ltd. Bases: Gaps = 71, Shortages = 68 12% 4% 6% Elementary occupations/Labourers Shortages 11% 7% Administrative and secretarial Occupations Gaps 34% 8% Process, plant and machine operatives 39% 6% 0% 50%
Aerospace Advanced Materials Engineering Advanced Materials Selection and Processing Computer Aided Design(CAD) Aircraft Engineering Maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) Manufacturing Engineering New Product Development (NPD) Technology Management Quality control skills Quality control Mathematical modelling and simulation Computer Aided Engineering (CAE) CNC Machine Operations and Programming Stress Engineering 1 2 3 4
Automotive New Product Development and Implementation New Product Development (NPD) Diagnostic and Prognostic Skills Quality control skills Control systems Computer Aided Design(CAD) Computer Aided Engineering (CAE) Manufacturing Engineering Advanced Materials Engineering Materials science – thin films and coatings Maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) Prototype development High tech marketing 1 2 3 4
Electronic Circuit design Control systems Quality control Advanced Materials Engineering Technology Management Systems design and engineering skills Manufacturing Engineering Diagnostic and Prognostic Skills Assembly line or production robotics Advanced Materials Selection and Processing Computer Aided Design(CAD) Electronic engineering, optics and nanotechnology Materials science – thin films and coatings New Product Development and Implementation (NPDI) skills 1 2 3 4
Other Engineering Materials science – thin films and coatings Chemistry Materials scientists CNC Machine Operations Prototype development Concessions Design / Check Advanced Materials Engineering Diagnostic and Prognostic Skills Computer Aided Engineering (CAE) Computer Aided Design(CAD) Cost modelling New Product Development and Implementation (NPDI) skills Manufacturing Engineering 1 2 3 4
Emerging Technologies • • Composite Design Manufacture & Repair The use of robotics in system integration New aircraft designs / types The use of new materials 3 D printing Powder metal manufacturing Remote operations
Change Drivers Competitiveness New Technologies New Products New Markets Globalisation Legislation & Regulation Employee Age Profile Environmental Drivers Mergers and Acquisitions 0 1 1 Source: Miller Research (UK) Ltd. Base: 54 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5
Forecast Employment in 2022 6% Managers 8% 19% Professionals 15% Associate Professional/ Technician 22% 17% Admin & Secretarial 9% 10% Skilled Trades/ Craft 23% 1% Other Service Occupations 2% 2% Operatives 5% 5% 0% 2 17% 15% Elementary Occupations 1 2012 2022 2% Sales & Customer Service 25% 3 5% 4 10% 5 15% 20% 25% 6 7 8 30% 9 Total Employment 4, 880 2012 15, 470 12, 210 8, 140 20, 350 810 1, 630 13, 840 4, 070 81, 400 Forecast Employment 5, 740 2022 16, 450 12, 620 6, 500 17, 210 1, 150 1, 530 11, 480 3, 830 76, 510 Source: LFS 2012
Net Employment Demand Managers Professionals Associate Professional/ Technician Admin & Secretarial Skilled Trades/ Craft Other Service Occupations Sales & Customer Service Operatives Elementary Occupations -3, 000 -2, 000 -1, 000 0 1, 000 2, 000 3, 000 4, 000 5, 000 Expansion demand Replacement demand Net Increase: 12, 480 between 2015 and 2022 (1, 560 p/a) Net requirement
Forecast Skills Needs: 2022 Skills Gap (critical) Skills Gap (Any) Total Per Annum Skills Shortage 3, 628 34, 939 450 4, 370 29, 023 107, 147 3, 630 13, 390 152 1, 835 Per Annum 20 230 Associate Professional/ Technician 27, 048 3, 380 81, 145 10, 140 985 120 Admin & Secretarial 4, 019 30, 741 500 3, 840 25, 116 126, 039 3, 140 15, 750 14 514 <1 60 8, 173 1, 835 1, 020 230 61, 299 10, 093 7, 660 1, 260 - - 13, 800 439, 863 54, 980 3, 500 440 Occupation Managers Professionals Skilled Trades/ Craft Operatives Elementary Occupations All Occupations (Total) 110, 384 Source: Miller Research (UK) Ltd. Total
Provider Capacity and Capability LLWR Student Numbers by Broad Subject Area (Qualification Aims selected for relevance to AM&M) Level Sector Subject Areas Entry Level / unknown Manufacturing Technologies 195 Level 3 Level 4/5 Total 8, 385 6440 145 17, 480 20 Engineering and Manufacturing Technology Level 2 2, 510 Engineering Level 1 15 275 4, 575 35 440 5 5, 490
Section 3 Discussion
Discussion • Can the current training infrastructure in Wales meet the demand for skills in AM&M up to 2022? • How many people will need to be trained between now and 2022? • How can we meet the challenges and barriers to upskilling the Welsh AM&M workforce?
Paul A. Morgan pmorgan@semta. org. uk 0787 2376221 Sam White sam@miller-research. co. uk Bill Peaper bpeaper@industrywales. com customerservices@semta. org. uk 0845 643 9001 www. semta. org. uk T: 0845 643 9001 E: customerservice@semta. co. uk W: www. semta. org. uk
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