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ISSUES FOR AMEDA DEPOSITORIES IN MANAGING RISK IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT April 2010 ISSUES FOR AMEDA DEPOSITORIES IN MANAGING RISK IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT April 2010

Agenda § TM Depository Risk Definitions & Country Categories § Risk Comparisons: AMEDA vs Agenda § TM Depository Risk Definitions & Country Categories § Risk Comparisons: AMEDA vs Rest of the World with Key Issues Page 2 PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Risk Definitions § Asset Commitment Risk - The period of time from when control Risk Definitions § Asset Commitment Risk - The period of time from when control of securities or cash is given up until receipt of countervalue. § Liquidity Risk - The risk that insufficient securities and or funds are available to meet commitments; the obligation will be covered some time later. § Counterparty Risk - The risk that a counterparty (i. e. , a participant) will not settle its obligations for full value at any time. § Asset Servicing Risk - The risk that a participant may incur a loss arising from missed or inaccurate information provided by the depository, or from incorrectly executed instructions, in respect of corporate actions and proxy voting. § Financial Risk - The ability of the CSD to operate as a financially viable company. Page 3 § Operational Risk - The risk that deficiencies in information systems or internal controls, human errors or management failures will result in losses. © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd. PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL

Country Categories § Middle East Countries and CSDs § § § § Page 4 Country Categories § Middle East Countries and CSDs § § § § Page 4 Bahrain – CDS Egypt – MCDR Israel – TASECH Jordan – SDC Kuwait – KCC Lebanon – Midclear Morocco – Maroclear Oman – MDSRC Palestine – CDS Qatar – Qatar Exchange Saudi Arabia – Tadawul Tunisia – Sticodevam UAE – DFM UAE Nasdaq Dubai African Countries and CSDs § § Kenya – CDSC Mauritius – CDS Nigeria – CSCS South Africa – Strate Additional CSDs in Country Average § § § Kenya – CBK Mauritius – BOM West Africa – DCBR Zambia – Lu. SE Zambia – Bo. Z Additional CSDs in Country Average § AMEDA CSDs Under preparation Lebanon – CBL § § Ghana – GSD UAE - ADX PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Overall Risk AA Rating A Key Issues AA+ § What is the role of Overall Risk AA Rating A Key Issues AA+ § What is the role of market infrastructure, and CSDs in particular in protecting investors against the next Lehmans or Madoff? AA AA- § What lessons have been learnt from the financial crisis? A+ A- § If market infrastructure is to take on more responsibility for asset protection, should their business model change? BB B Key Variants: AMEDA vs ROW A § Some AMEDA markets are still in the emerging zone and are yet to adopt the more recent standards of best market practice BB B § Overall systems and approach to risk mitigation is less sophisticated than in developed markets CC C Page 5 Average Rating - ACSDA Average Rating – EU/EEA Average Rating – Eurasia Average Rating – Asia Pacific Rating – Africa Average Rating – Middle East § However, most CSDs weathered the global financial storm well both from a revenue and a risk perspective PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Asset Commitment Risk AA Rating A AA+ Key Issues AA § RTGS (normally with Asset Commitment Risk AA Rating A AA+ Key Issues AA § RTGS (normally with optimisation cycles) is now common in developed market settlement systems AAA+ § Often combined with overnight and or daytime batch routines to maximise liquidity efficiency A A- § This flexibility gives participants the choice of optimising liquidity or asset availability BB B Key Variants: AMEDA vs ROW BB § Still a prevalence exists for batch processing rather than real time processing B CC C § Most central banks are using RTGS but not linked real time to SSS (8 CSDs have linkage) CC C Page 6 Average Rating - ACSDA Average Rating – EU/EEA Average Rating – Eurasia Average Rating – Asia Pacific Rating – Africa Average Rating – Middle East § Significant blocking or prefunding in contrast to other regions. (10 CSDs block securities on Trade Date) PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Liquidity Risk AA Rating A Key Issues AA+ § Pressure on liquidity has intensified, Liquidity Risk AA Rating A Key Issues AA+ § Pressure on liquidity has intensified, and margin and collateral requirements may have tightened. Has this been an issue for AMEDA markets? AA AA- § Widespread bans or restrictions on short selling A+ A § Tightening of credit leads to higher funding costs ABB B Key Variants: AMEDA vs ROW BB § No AMEDA markets banned short selling (mainly Europe & AP) B § Some AMEDA markets lack developed fails management processes CC C § Some AMEDA markets lack a critical mass of issued securities under custody leaving a significant proportion of the market physical CC C Page 7 Average Rating - ACSDA Average Rating – EU/EEA Average Rating – Eurasia Average Rating – Asia Pacific Rating – Africa Average Rating – Middle East § Some restrictions on credit facilities foreign investors and the lack of a developed interbank lending market PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

CSDs & the Global Financial Crisis Short Selling Bans By Region Page 8 PRIVATE CSDs & the Global Financial Crisis Short Selling Bans By Region Page 8 PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Counterparty Risk AA Rating A AA+ Key Issues AA § Counterparty Risk is now Counterparty Risk AA Rating A AA+ Key Issues AA § Counterparty Risk is now back on top of the agenda for institutional investors § How do CSDs that commingle CSD and CCP roles in the same legal entity manage to ringfence the CCP risk? AAA+ § How have risk models been adapted since the global financial crisis? Has surveillance been improved? Has stress-testing been developed? A ABB B Key Variants: AMEDA vs ROW BB § Few CCPs exist in the region (3) in contrast to Europe. Most AMEDA markets have a guarantee fund in place B CC C § Still a lack of true DVP especially for offmarket/ client-side settlement in some AMEDA markets CC C Page 9 Average Rating - ACSDA Average Rating – EU/EEA Average Rating – Eurasia Average Rating – Asia Pacific Rating – Africa Average Rating – Middle East § Real-time monitoring of participants’ exposures (and their collateralisation) is uncommon in AMEDA markets PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Broker Capital Requirement (in USD) Page 10 PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Broker Capital Requirement (in USD) Page 10 PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Guarantee Fund vs. Turnover Guarantee Fund vs Exchange Average Daily Turnover (2008 figures in Guarantee Fund vs. Turnover Guarantee Fund vs Exchange Average Daily Turnover (2008 figures in USD) Page 11 PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Asset Servicing Risk AA Rating A Key Issues AA+ § An expanding business sector Asset Servicing Risk AA Rating A Key Issues AA+ § An expanding business sector for CSDs gaining ground on custodians AA § Does the removal of commercial banking capital from asset servicing disadvantage market participants and investors? AAA+ § How have markets ‘de-risked’ corporate actions processing? A A- Key Variants: AMEDA vs ROW BB B § Not all AMEDA members are involved in Asset Servicing to a degree that they are taking on risk exposure BB § Where AMEDA members are engaged in Asset Servicing, some have relatively low capital backing this business B CC C Page 12 Average Rating - ACSDA Average Rating – EU/EEA Average Rating – Eurasia Average Rating – Asia Pacific Rating – Africa Average Rating – Middle East § Few AMEDA members have moved up the value chain enough to threaten to compete with their participants (Only one offers proxy voting) PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

CSD Role in Corporate Actions CSD Participation In Corporate Actions (As at July 2009) CSD Role in Corporate Actions CSD Participation In Corporate Actions (As at July 2009) Page 13 PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Financial Risk AA Rating A Key Issues AA+ § Adequacy of financial resources was Financial Risk AA Rating A Key Issues AA+ § Adequacy of financial resources was a key concern during the recent financial crisis AA § Many CSDs’ profit margins slumped in 2008/9. How have CSDs responded in the short and medium-term? AAA+ § How have business models adapted to the crisis and what lessons have been learnt? A ABB B Key Variants: AMEDA vs ROW § Massive diversity in financial resources amongst AMEDA members BB § AMEDA members’ profit margins not as hardhit as ECSDA and ACG B CC C § Still, few AMEDA members have real diversity in revenue streams CC § Some independent CSDs in the region susceptible to horizontal or vertical consolidation C Page 14 Average Rating - ACSDA Average Rating – EU/EEA Average Rating – Eurasia Average Rating – Asia Pacific Rating – Africa Average Rating – Middle East PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Capital vs. Turnover Capital vs Exchange Average Daily Turnover (2008 figures in USD) Page Capital vs. Turnover Capital vs Exchange Average Daily Turnover (2008 figures in USD) Page 15 PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Capital vs Profit of CSDs (2008 figures in USD) Page 16 PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Capital vs Profit of CSDs (2008 figures in USD) Page 16 PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.

Operational Risk AA Rating A Key Issues AA+ § AA- Adequacy of controls and Operational Risk AA Rating A Key Issues AA+ § AA- Adequacy of controls and procedures to maximise asset safety more important than ever § AA Globally, DRP/BCP facilities have been greatly strengthened since 9/11 A+ § Standardised messaging being more widely adopted by market infrastructure (e. g. SWIFT in Link-Up) A ABB B Key Variants: AMEDA vs ROW § Although ISO certification becoming more prevalent, external operational audits (e. g. SAS 70) are still rare amongst AMEDA CSDs § BB Relatively low level of 15022 messaging adoption limiting cross-border STP. Only 7 CSDs have SWIFT – used mainly for cash settlement with CB. § DRP/BCP strategies in some markets still need further development. B CC C Page 17 Average Rating - ACSDA Average Rating – EU/EEA Average Rating – Eurasia Average Rating – Asia Pacific Rating – Africa Average Rating – Middle East PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2010 Thomas Murray Ltd.