International Academy of Astronautics IAA Space Debris Committee

International Academy of Astronautics IAA Space Debris Committee Guadalajara, September 24 th, 2016

International Academy of Astronautics Agenda 1. IAC 1. 1. IAA Space Debris Committee 1. 2. Lessons learned from Jerusalem 2015 1. 3. Status of Space Debris Symposium for Guadalajara 2016 1. 4. Preparation of Space Debris Symposium for Adelaïde 2017 2. Exchanges 2. 1. Past events: workshops, conferences, congresses, … 2. 2. Ongoing 2. 3. On the Agenda 2. 4. New achievements 2. 5. Round table – Open discussion 3. IAA SG 5. 14 Situation Report

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 1. IAA Space Debris Committee General frame: · Officially created within IAA in 2012 - Independent Committee - Permanent Committee - Attachment to Commission V. Could be independent Actions of the Committee: - Position Paper on Orbital Debris in 1993, revised in 2000 - Position Paper SG 5. 1 on Space Debris Mitigation in 2006 - Position Paper SG 5. 5 on Space Debris Remediation in 2013 - Participation to SG 5. 10 on Orbital Debris Removal: Policy, Legal, Political and Economic considerations - Situation Report Paper SG 5. 14 ongoing, to be discussed today

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 1. IAA Space Debris Committee Terms of Reference (recall): Scope Coordination of all activities related to Space Debris within the Academy • Organization of the IAA Symposium on Space Debris A 6 for the IAC, proposals for Keynote Lectures within the A 6 Symposium, or Highlight Lectures in the more general IAC frame, • Organization of any stand-alone conference on Space Debris on behalf the Academy, • Coordination of the Academy sponsoring, participation and contribution to selected conferences dedicated to Space Debris, such as for instance the ESA Darmstadt Conference, • Coordination of the Space Debris contribution in conferences not dedicated to Space Debris, but where some sessions may be devoted to the topic, sponsored by the Academy, • Dissemination of information among the members of the Committee, mainly during regular meetings taking place twice a year, before the IAC and during the IAA March meetings in Paris.

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 1. IAA Space Debris Committee Membership: No need to be member of IAA ! - Members of the IAA A 6 Symposium Program Committee (chairs & rapporteurs) - Members of the Program Committee of other IAA sponsored conferences with Space Debris concerns - Members of Space Debris related working groups (IADC, UNCOPUOS, COSPAR, ISO …) - Academics, Labs, Universities, Industrials… working on the topic However, it is requested to be somehow “active”: - Participation to the meetings - Debriefing of activities during the meetings - Cross information with other members - Contribution to studies and reports Two meetings per year: - One just before each year’s IAC Includes the status of the sessions, workshops, round tables… of the week - One just before or during the IAC March Meeting in Paris Includes the pre-selection of the abstracts for the following IAC

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 1. IAA Space Debris Committee Official membership as per web-site: Co-Chairs: Christophe Bonnal Heiner Klinkrad Jer-Chyi Liou Members: Agapov Vladimir Ailor William H Akahoshi Yasuhiro Alby Fernand Anselmo Luciano Anz-Meador Phillip Berend Nicolas Brachet Gerard Cazaux Christiansen Eric L Crowther Richard Di. Pentino Frank Dolado-Perez Juan-Carlos Faucher Pascal Finkleman David Ganeshan A S Hanada Toshiya Hussey W John Hyde James Jah Moriba K. Kelso T. S Kibe Seishiro Krag Holger Krisko Paula H Masson-Zwaan Tanja Matney Mark Mc. Knight Darren S Meshcheryakov Sergei A Oltrogge Daniel L. Pardini Carmen Piergentili Fabrizio Schaefer Frank Schildknecht Thomas Stokes Hedley Wiedemann Carsten Anyone missing? - Fitz-Coy, Flohrer, Lewis, Metz Sorge, Spencer: did you receive invitation from IAA? Anyone to be removed? We need: - Chinese - Korea - More Indians, Russians, Ukrainians - Industrials Actions please

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 2. Feedback from Jerusalem 2015 STATISTICS IAC 2015 - Jerusalem Number of abstracts submitted 2669 Number of papers selected 2130 Number of papers presented 1149 Total number of attendees 2133 Number of countries represented 62

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 2. Feedback from Jerusalem 2015 Sessions 2012 2013 2014 2015 Naples Beijing Toronto Jerusalem Number of abstracts submitted 3212 3657 3584 2669 Number of papers selected 2184 2320 2392 2130 Number of papers confirmed 1600 1640 1558 1448 Number of papers presented 1374 1304 1256 1149 Ratio Paper Not Presented/ papers selected 37% 43% 47% 46% - Nearly half of the selected papers are not presented! Note for A 6: 25% in 2015, 20% in average - Special attention to this phenomenon within IPC Steering Group

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 2. Feedback from Jerusalem 2015 #1 Attendance, Min, Max, Avg #2 Number of papers presented

International Academy of Astronautics 450 1. 2. Feedback from Jerusalem 2015 Symposium attendance (average) 400 350 300 250 Attendance 200 150 100 50 A 1 A 2 A 3 A 4 A 5 A 6 A 7 B 1 B 2 B 3 B 4 A 1 A 2 A 3 A 4 A 5 A 6 A 7 B 1 B 2 B 5 B 3 B 6 C 1 C 2 C 3 C 4 D 1 D 2 D 3 B 4 B 5 B 6 C 1 C 2 C 3 C 4 D 1 D 2 D 4 D 3 D 5 D 6 E 1 E 2 E 3 E 4 E 5 E 6 D 4 D 5 D 6 E 1 E 2 E 3 E 4 E 5 E 6

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 2. Feedback from Jerusalem 2015 60% Abstract Rejection Rate Note: Appears incorrect for A 6. Should be 42% 50% 40% Ratio 30% 20% 10% 0% A 1 A 2 A 3 A 4 A 5 A 6 A 1 A 2 A 3 A 4 A 7 A 5 B 1 B 2 B 3 B 4 B 5 B 6 C 1 C 2 C 3 C 4 A 6 A 7 B 1 B 2 B 3 B 4 B 5 B 6 C 1 C 2 C 3 D 1 C 4 D 2 D 1 D 3 D 4 D 5 D 6 E 1 E 2 E 3 E 4 E 5 E 6 D 2 D 3 D 4 D 5 D 6 E 1 E 2 E 3 E 4 E 5 E 6 E 7

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 2. Feedback from Jerusalem 2015 Statistics: - Rather well equilibrated among sessions - HVI - Protection A 6. 3 a bit weaker as usual, due to hyper-specialization - A 6. 2: 11 papers presented may be a bit to high but no withdrawal… - A 6. 6: #3 highest “maximal attendance” and #1 highest “minimal attendace” of the congress - Average of 57 participants, maximal, per session (not inc A 6. 10): good, but less than Toronto (73). - Globally 3 papers out of 4 presented: good figure at IAC level, but could be improved

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 3. Guadalajara 2016 Number of IAC abstracts since 2008

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 3. Guadalajara 2016

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 3. Guadalajara 2016 A 6 Symposium Number of abstracts, Space Debris Symposium, since 2008 250 200 150 100 50 0 Glasgow Daejeon Praha Cape. Town Naples Beijing Toronto Jerusalem Guadalajara

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 3. Guadalajara 2016 A 6 Symposium Abstracts per symposium 250 200 150 100 50 0 5 th best (but used to be better…)

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 3. Guadalajara 2016 A 6 Symposium Number of sessions, Space Debris Symposium, since 2000 + Poster session, which is gaining importance

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 3. Space Debris Symposium Guadalajara 201 A 6: Space Debris Symposium Liou – Bonnal The Symposium will address the complete spectrum of technical issues of space debris: measurements, modelling, risk assessment in space and on the ground, reentry, hypervelocity impacts and protection, mitigation and standards, and Space Surveillance. A 6. 1: Measurements: Oltrogge - Schildknecht – XXX This session will address advanced ground and space-based measurement techniques, relating processing methods, and results of space debris characterization. A 6. 2: Modelling and Risk Analysis: Pardini – Sorge – Bastida-Virgili This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for inorbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance. A 6. 3: Hypervelocity Impacts and Protection: Fitz-Coy – Schäfer – XXX The session will address passive protection, shielding and damage predictions. Shielding aspects will be supported by experimental and computational results of HVI tests. Use of HVI techniques for debris mitigation. A 6. 4: Mitigation and Standards: Krag – Cazaux – Yasaka This session will focus on the definition and implementation of debris prevention and reduction measures and vehicle passive protection. The session will also address space debris mitigation guidelines and standards that exist already or are in preparation at the national or international level.

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 3. Space Debris Symposium Guadalajara 201 A 6. 5: Space Debris Removal Issues: Summerer – Santoni - XXX A 6. 6: Space Debris Removal Concepts: Berend – Kibe – XXX This session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and Identify implementation difficulties. This session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and identify implementation difficulties. A 6. 7: Operations in Space Debris Environment, Situational Awareness: Kelso – Dolado-Perez – Wiedemann This session will address the multiple aspects associated to safe operations in Space dealing with Space Debris, including operational observations, orbit determination, catalogue build-up and maintenance, data aggregation from different sources, relevant data exchanges standards and conjunction analyses. A 6. 8 (joint with Space Security Committee): Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and Removal Plattard – Spencer – Soucek – Finkleman This session will deal with the non-technical aspect of space debris mitigation and removal. Political, legal and institutional aspects includes role of IADC and UNCOPUOS and other multilateral bodies. Economic issues including insurance, financial incentives and funding for space debris mitigation and removal. The role of international cooperation in addressing these issues will be considered A 6. 9: Orbit Determination and Propagation Omaly – Klinkrad – XXX This session will address aspects of space debris orbit determination related to assessment of raw and derived data accuracy, optical measurements processing and modelling and risk analysis of space debris

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 3. Space Debris Symposium Guadalajara 201 A 6: Space Debris Symposium Number of Abstracts Selected – Confirmed – Withdrawn – Paper - Presentation A 6. 1: Measurements: 10 – 8 – 2 – 7 – 6 A 6. 2: Modelling and Risk Analysis: 11 – 0 – 11 – 9 A 6. 3: Hypervelocity Impacts and Protection: 7 – 6 – 0 – 6 A 6. 4: Mitigation and Standards: 10 – 0 – 9 – 7 A 6. 5: Space Debris Removal Issues: 11 – 9 – 2 – 9 – 8 A 6. 6: Space Debris Removal Concepts: 12 – 9 – 3 – 9 – 6 A 6. 7: Operations in Space Debris Environment, Situational Awareness: 10 – 9 – 7 A 6. 8 (joint with Space Security Committee): Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and Removal: 11 – 8 – 3 – 7 – 6 A 6. 9: Orbit Determination and Propagation: 10 – 7 – 3 – 7 – 4

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 3. Space Debris Symposium Guadalajara 201 Recall of a few basic rules ð ð No paper, no show: ð check that the paper is effectively loaded before the session No show, no paper: ð If the author doesn't present, the paper will be removed from proceedings ð Status of the presenters: ð Are we sure the authors will show up ? ð Do we have their short bios ? ð Try to contact them and ask to come 15’ in advance to check that everything is OK, Powerpoint, Videos… ð Timing may be critical ! ð Please, do not overpass the standard 3 hours, except if there is nothing after ð Have clear rules explained to speakers in advance ð Keep time for Q&A ð Publications: no dedicated IAC issue of Acta Astronautica any more ð Selection of 2 or 3 best papers, if any ! ð Chairs and Rapporteurs may be asked to act as Peer Reviewers ð The synthesis session sheets shall be given back to IAF secretariat, but please

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 3. Space Debris Symposium Guadalajara 201

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 Important: Draft, as not yet including the Joint Session with B 4 (see page 32) A 6: Space Debris Symposium Liou – Bonnal The Symposium will address the complete spectrum of technical issues of space debris: measurements, modelling, risk assessment in space and on the ground, reentry, hypervelocity impacts and protection, mitigation and standards, and Space Surveillance. A 6. 1: Measurements: Di. Pentino - Schildknecht – Cowardin This session will address advanced ground and space-based measurement techniques, relating processing methods, and results of space debris characterization. A 6. 2: Modelling and Risk Analysis: Pardini – Oltrogge – Sorge This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for inorbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance. A 6. 3: Hypervelocity Impacts and Protection: Fitz-Coy – Schäfer – Francesconi The session will address passive protection, shielding and damage predictions. Shielding aspects will be supported by experimental and computational results of HVI tests. Use of HVI techniques for debris mitigation. A 6. 4: Mitigation and Standards: Finkleman – Cazaux – Krag This session will focus on the definition and implementation of debris prevention and reduction measures

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 A 6. 5: Space Debris Removal Issues: Santoni – Bastida-Virgili – Piergentili A 6. 6: Space Debris Removal Concepts: Berend – Innocenti – XXX This session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and Identify implementation difficulties. This session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and identify implementation difficulties. A 6. 7: Operations in Space Debris Environment, Situational Awareness: Kelso – Dolado-Perez – Wiedemann This session will address the multiple aspects associated to safe operations in Space dealing with Space Debris, including operational observations, orbit determination, catalogue build-up and maintenance, data aggregation from different sources, relevant data exchanges standards and conjunction analyses. A 6. 8 (joint with Space Security Committee): Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and Removal Plattard – Mc. Knight – Soucek - Omaly This session will deal with the non-technical aspect of space debris mitigation and removal. Political, legal and institutional aspects includes role of IADC and UNCOPUOS and other multilateral bodies. Economic issues including insurance, financial incentives and funding for space debris mitigation and removal. The role of international cooperation in addressing these issues will be considered A 6. 9: Orbit Determination and Propagation Jah – Klinkrad – Lewis This session will address aspects of space debris orbit determination related to assessment of raw and derived data accuracy, optical measurements processing and modelling and risk analysis of space debris

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017

International Academy of Astronautics 1. 4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 • Proposal for a Joint Session with Small Sats B 4 To be discussed with B 4 symposium - Numerous topics of joint interest Would replace one of our 9 sessions or in addition (parallel)? Definition is rather urgent, before the call for Adelaïde Action led by Dan, Christian and Norman, coordinated by J-C and me After agreement with B 4, formal mail sent to them (see Appendix 2) Waiting for answer from IAF to decide whether it is an additional session (in parallel to the 9 existing ones) or if it replaces one, in which case we have to see how to merge some sessions.

International Academy of Astronautics 2. 1. Past events • 4 th International Workshop on Modeling and Remediations - Paris, 6 – 8 June 2016 See dedicated presentation Appendix 3

International Academy of Astronautics • 2. 2. Ongoing IAA studies: general status for your information

International Academy of Astronautics • 2. 2. Ongoing IAA studies: general status for your information (ctd)

International Academy of Astronautics 2. 3. On the agenda • 7 th European Conference on Space Debris - ESA/ESOC, Darmstadt/Germany, 18 - 21 April 2017. Registration is open Early bird registration ends 20 January 2017 More information: ask Holger Krag or https: //conference. sdo. esoc. esa. int/ The conference will address all major Space Debris topics, including radar, optical and in-situ measurements space surveillance and catalogues orbit prediction and determination operational collision avoidance debris environment modelling and prediction on-orbit and re-entry risk assessments debris mitigation techniques and processes active removal and remediation concepts mega-constellations hypervelocity impacts and shielding

International Academy of Astronautics 2. 3. On the agenda • Overview of the IADC activities: - See presentation in appendix 4 • Debriefing of the LEO-GEO End of Life Workshop: - See presentation in appendix 5

International Academy of Astronautics 2. 4. New achievements • New proposal for the ISO documentation structure

International Academy of Astronautics 3. IAA SG 5. 14 Situation Report Goal Reference status of the Space Debris problematic, acting as an update of the IAA Position Papers 1993 and Revision fr 2001, taking into account the IAA Position Papers on Space Debris Mitigation (SG 5. 1) and on Space Debris Remediati (SG 5. 5). Available elements from on-going SG 5. 10 devoted to Policy, Legal and Economic Issues in Orbital Debris Removal will also be included. Today: 141 pages, Completed. Final Draft

International Academy of Astronautics 3. IAA SG 5. 14 Situation Report Status before the meeting

International Academy of Astronautics 3. IAA SG 5. 14 Situation Report Message to IAA associated to delivery of Final Draft - Already reviewed within the IAA SDC by 5 experts Still improvable; some paragraphs are a bit weak Some outdated data: will be updated with new version of MASTE Living document: objective to revise every 2 year Next versions could benefit from larger participation (China, India Ukraine…) - Reference version pdf on IAA web site, freely downloadable by al as agreed during earlier discussions