I 2 K SNBU-2000 April 26 2000 ISTEC

Agenda q q q Trends and Needs What is ISTEC? Initiatives Report I 2

Trends and Needs ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 3

Trends and Needs q q Information doubles every 5 years; by 2010 every 72 days Moore’s Law: CPU performance doubles every 1824 months Bandwidth doubles every 9 months • 1 Tbps data network being deployed 9 months to launch an IPO: business model change • q q Brick and mortar to ideas (partnerships, solutions partners) Digital divide gap: info-rich vs info-poor Middle Ages to Renaissance • • Central to Distributed Systems Closed vs Open Systems ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 4

Trends and Needs q q q 50% of technology changes every decade 1984 -1994: 26% of Fortune 100 companies remain Over 50%of information carried is data rather than voice Over 80% of revenues come from voice 80% of revenue in Silicon Valley come from products developed and marketed in 18 months ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 5

Trends and Needs q q q 35% of families in the USA have PCs 50% of teenagers have PCs 140+ million people on the Internet • 10% growth per month 65% of computers sold are for the home 90% of PCs sold have modems and CD-ROM drives Average individual has contact with 70 microprocessors or microcontrollers on an average day ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 6

Trends and Needs q 2% of Latin America is connected to the Internet • currently 9 million, next 3 years grow to 35 million • %15 population, info-rich, upper-class q q 35% of population in USA is connected to Internet Telephone Internet access • • Wash DC $45/month Argentina$171/month Bolivia $302/month Honduras$344/month ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 7

IT Reality q Teledensity (telephone lines per 100 inhabitants) • Industrialized nations is over 48 • Middle-income nations around 10 • Least advanced countries is about 1. 5 • World average is 11. 5 q Informatics gap (PC ratio per 100 inhabitants) • Industrialized nations is over 18 • Middle-income nations around 2. 3 • Least advanced countries is about 0. 01 ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. IT MARKET SHARE REST OF WORLD 21% USA 35% JAPAN 15% EUROPE 29% 8

Latin America Y 2 K There are hidden resources in Latin America. Population Growth By Y 2 K 600 Millions 500 400 300 200 100 0 North America ISTEC Russia Europe All Rights Reserved, 2000. Latin America 9

Trends and Needs q Education: Static vs Dynamic • • q Teamwork Multidisciplinary Teach entrepreneurship Generate ideas Create opportunities Knowledge creation, administration, management Universalization vs Privatization Transparency, Efficiency, Effectiveness • Internet is the new equalizer, democratizer, and brings accountability ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 10

Trends and Needs Does not depend on a specific region q Demand for IT personnel far outstrips supply • • stretch out development schedules go over budget crimp expansion plans vacancies affect more than 10% of IT jobs in an organization • turnover represents 10%; average is 20% in Silicon Valley • shortage will last 10 or 15 years ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 11

Trends and Needs q q Shortage is dead weight for the economy Potential job openings for IT workers are 450, 000 • • q shortest supply are business-savvy professionals followed by network administrators then database administrators lastly, system administrators CE graduates: • US industry needs 198 k per year • US universities produce only 35 k (1/6 th) ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 12

Trends and Needs q q BS degrees awarded in IT declined from a high of 42 k in 1986 to 24. 2 k in 1997 In 1994 managers complain that degrees awarded do not reflect the needs of employers Many university programs have been slow to react to changes in the marketplace Degrees focus on outmoded technologies ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 13

Trends and Needs q q q Some companies have taken active role in changing university curricula Other companies invest in internal training which is No. 1 priority for retaining labor Companies deal with shortage by using contract labor, "outsourcing" ; problems with company loyalty, less dedication ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 14

Trends and Needs q q By year 2010 wireless communications will need ten times the number of engineers working today Few courses of study in the G-7 nations to train students to tackle the emerging issues • establish a global institute to foster the requisite expertise and reduce the gap ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 15

World Telecomm. Market q q Year 1997 - 150 billion dollars Year 2000 - 374 billion dollars Latin America represents 10 to 14% of world market Trends • 1994 - switches, transmission • 1996 - wireless, data communication, Internet • 1997 - PCS/FWA, multimedia, Internet/Intranet ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 16

World Telecomm. Market q Growth until year 2000 • • • q wireless 33% broadband 25% enterprise 24% PCN 18 % + average growth is 28% Cellular phone usage • 4 million in 1988 • 123 million in 1995 • 400 million by 2001 ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 17

World Semiconductor Market q q q Year 2000 - 300 billion market 17. 6% compound annual growth (1996 -2001) Areas of mayor growth • telecommunications • entertainment • consumer electronics ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 18

E-commerce q q q More than 8% (11 million) of US population made an on-line purchase in 1997 In 1998 was over 15 million Average bill is $511 Low-end guess by Y 2 K is 7 billion High-end guess in next 5 years is 115 billion Latin America E-commerce currently $300 million, grow to $1. 5 billion in 3 years • %80 is collected outside (USA, EU) ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 19

Education q Web based training • 1997: $197 million • 2002: $6 billion ISTEC

Who does S&T? q G-7 nations: • industry does 50 -70% of S&T • resources for S&T come from government and industry • majority of resources are spent in industry q USA: • basic R&D sponsored primarily by the government • applied R&D sponsored primarily by industry and government • universities perform basic R&D q Latin America: • R&D primarily sponsored by the government ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 21

Who does S&T? q Brazil, Costa Rica, Chile, and Cuba are the only countries in Latin America with greater than 1% investment of GDP in R&D. • • ISTEC Japan 2. 7% Germany 2. 4% United States 2. 4% Brazil 1. 3 % Canada 1. 6% Spain 0. 9% Russia Less than 0. 5% Latin American average is 0. 5% All Rights Reserved, 2000. 22

Who does S&T? q Expenditure in S&T • • • q USA $190 billion Canada $11 billion Brazil $9 billion Spain $5. 4 billion Mexico $1. 7 billion Argentina $1. 5 billion Human Resources in S&T • USA researchers 1 million • Latin American researchers 126 k (Brazil 50 k, Arg 29 k, Mex 15 k) • Spain and Portugal 63 k • Canada 100 k • Rest under 10 k ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 23

What is ISTEC? ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 24

ISTEC Process (1990) EXPLORED OPPORTUNITIES IDENTIFIED OBSTACLES DEVELOPED RECOMMENDATIONS CREATED ISTEC MISSION ISTEC All

Why do it? (obstacles) q q q Lack of current information for planning and developing technology Lack of expertise in the use of information Lack of international cooperation in developing the critical mass needed for projects and joint efforts Lack of interaction (lack of confidence, lack of information) among academia, productive sector, governments and international agencies Lack of availability of technology ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 26

Why do it? (benefits) q q q Integrate Ibero-America with science and technology: promote and support the new multilateralism Place Ibero-America in a leading role: a response to challenges from other regions Make S&T an integral part and top priority for the economic development and sustainable growth of Ibero-America Create new opportunities: business, academia, government Reduce inequalities: invest in education and S&T Competitiveness: create/enhance HR ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 27

Mission Statement 12/4/90 Foster scientific, engineering, and technology education; joint international research and development efforts among its members, and to provide a costeffective vehicle for technology transfer ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 28

ISTEC Organization Executive Committee Exec. Office UNM, UNICAMP, UVI General Assembly ISTEC All Rights

Initiatives ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 30

Why do it? (obstacles) q q q Lack of current information for planning and developing technology Lack of expertise in the use of information Lack of international cooperation in developing the critical mass needed for projects and joint efforts Lack of interaction (lack of confidence, lack of information) among academia, productive sector, governments and international agencies Lack of availability of technology ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 31

ISTEC - Contributions Library Linkages (Lib. Link) Initiatives Los Libertadores Information Technology Advanced Continuing

Los Libertadores Initiative GOAL: network of Centers of Excellence equipped with the latest telecommunications and computer technology to provide real-time access to a world-wide system of expertise and knowledge. EFFORTS: technical assistance in telecommunications and S&T legislation in Ecuador, and Bolivia. Awareness campaigns in IT throughout the region. Agreements with IADB, OAS, WB, UNDP. TECHNOLOGY: creation of the Ibero-American academic and R&D Internet backbone. A partnership among industry, academia, governments, and international agencies. ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 33

Library Linkage Initiative GOAL: design and implementation of innovative, international Science and Technology information-sharing services. STATISTICS: annual compound growth rate of >200% since 1995. Over 45 libraries in 24 countries connected in real-time. Development of on-line scientific journal, and database on S&T in the region. TECHNOLOGY: Internet services and connectivity. Search and Push engines. Ariel and Randex software. Seed funding from Nortel Networks. ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 34

ACE Initiative GOAL: upgrade of human resources and curriculum development through onsite training, distance learning, and non-traditional exchange programs. STATISTICS: 6 satellite courses to 250 institutions with ATEI. Short courses for Motorola. 196 scientists trained in DIP with OAS support. Over 30, 000 ftp grabs of web DIP course. “Sandwich” programs. TECHNOLOGY: on-site training, web-based education, video courses, satellite delivery, and “sandwich” graduate programs. Infocast. ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 35

R&D Laboratories Initiative GOAL: design and installation of modular, flexible, and expandable laboratory facilities for education, training, and R&D (link with productive sector). STATISTICS: to date 106 Motorola facilities in 67 sites. Approximately 30, 000 users trained since 1991. 9 facilities with Nortel Networks, 2 with Fluke and 14 with Veri. Best. Efforts: Multicom-21, Latin. Chip, C&S. TECHNOLOGY: Motorola microprocessors (680 XX), microcontrollers (68 HC 11) and DSPs (56 XXX, 96000). Nortel Networks, Fluke, Veri. Best, Infocast. ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 36

I 2 K Plan ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 37

I 2 K Plan Goals Increase ISTEC’s capacity to promote science and technology in Ibero-America through: q q Promote project identification, partnering, and funding to diversify and expand the capabilities of its initiatives. Promote and raise awareness on the need to create/enhance science and technology sustainable policies and infrastructure. ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 38

I 2 K Plan Goals q q Improve the Ibero-American international profile in science and technology by increasing the quantity and quality of publications, production of science, and participation and organization of international forums. Become the Leading Educational and S&T Portal in Ibero-America. ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 39

I 2 K Plan q Lib. Link • • • ISTEC On-line journal(s) – V. Tech ETDs Push and Search Engines Alliance Membership, others Randex-2 K (Ariel alternative) Improve Services and Fund Raising Links: BDDIS, SFX, NDLTD, NUDL Increase Digital Collections Training: workshops, conferences, materials Phronesis dissemination All Rights Reserved, 2000. 40

LIBRARY SERVICES ALLIANCE OF NEW MEXICO * New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology Library * New Mexico State University Library * Santa Fe Institute * Air Force Research Laboratories: Phillips Four * Sandia National Laboratories Technical Library * Los Alamos National Laboratory Research Library billion * University of New Mexico Libraries in scitech - Centennial Science & Engineering Library funding 1999= 218 million p. y. ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 41

From - Library Services Alliance of New Mexico to Alliance for Innovation in Science & Technology Information * Library Linkages Project of the Ibero-American Science & Technology Education Consortium (ISTEC) * Lovelace Respiratory Research Institute * NASA's National Scientific and Technical Information Program * Naval Research Laboratory * University of Nevada: Las Vegas & Reno campuses * New Mexico Highlands University, Las Vegas * UNM Health Sciences Library ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 42

Changing Visions Buyers club Innovation club 1999 1998 To be a world-class information provider to our primary communities, while enhancing the scientific and technical research competitiveness of New Mexico. ISTEC To be an innovative leader in cyber sci/tech information, producing new models of scholarly communication. All Rights Reserved, 2000. 43

New Vision: Sample strategic actions v Community of scientists v Active recommendation systems v Cross database searching v SFX aware databases v Open Archives Initiative v Vx. Insight / Sci. Search application v Phronesis ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 44

Projects within Lib. Link q q q Connect libraries for Information Transfer Train librarians & researchers in search and retrieval of information Expand services to more countries Open other collections - especially Latin American collections - for scholars (e. g. Lig. Doc, Pr. EBi, REBIDIMEX) Develop software for information sharing ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 45

Projects within Lib. Link q q q q Push & search engines Plan and carry out workshops Expand to other library types and services NDTL in Ibero-America (Networked Dissertation/Thesis Library Grant w. IDB, UNESCO, World Bank for pilot with VTU and U. Rio) Provide mechanism for data base exchange of information Provide interaction method for ACE, R&D Electronic journal (MOU with Virginia tech) ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 46

I 2 K Plan q ACE - DEPI • • • ISTEC M-CORE Textbook Develop and Adopt Standards for Content Development Develop Criteria for Assignment of Resources (Quality, Real-time) Assignment of Tasks and Resources: courses, teams of universities IP Protection Promote exchange programs Encourage “sandwich efforts” Use of e-team ARIADNE alliance All Rights Reserved, 2000. 47

I 2 K Plan R&D q Chips & Salsa • • • q Latin. Chip – Microelectronics • • q Create/enhance laboratories Training/certification Software Engineering S-o-C: M-CORE, DSP CYTED, EUROPARTNER Alliances Multicom-21 – Telecommunications ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 48

I 2 K Plan q BDDIS • • q Who’s who Surveys, Indicators Los Libertadores • • ISTEC I 2 K PORTAL Deployment of Servers Expand Intranet E-services Workshops, Conferences, Seminars Create/Expand Strategic Alliances with OAS, IADB, UNESCO, WB, UNDP, CAF and others Work with Government Agencies Launch the Motorola IT Design Challenge All Rights Reserved, 2000. 49

Why is this different? q Project Identification, Partnering, and Fund Raising • Industry (local, international) • Universities (public, private) • Government (State and Federal) • International Agencies and Organizations q On-going infrastructure and projects: • Digital Libraries • Distance Education • Research and Development Laboratories ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 50

IT Reality q Teledensity (telephone lines per 100 inhabitants) • Industrialized nations is over 48 • Middle-income nations around 10 • Least advanced countries is about 1. 5 • World average is 11. 5 q Informatics gap (PC ratio per 100 inhabitants) • Industrialized nations is over 18 • Middle-income nations around 2. 3 • Least advanced countries is about 0. 01 ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. IT MARKET SHARE REST OF WORLD 21% USA 35% JAPAN 15% EUROPE 29% 51

Latin America Y 2 K There are hidden resources in Latin America. Population Growth By Y 2 K 600 Millions 500 400 300 200 100 0 North America ISTEC Russia Europe All Rights Reserved, 2000. Latin America 52

ISTEC NIH ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 53

ISTEC Collaboration T ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 1 dn 54

Conclusions ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 55

Conclusions q q Need a sound, aggressive, long-term, and flexible national policy in Science and Technology (S&T) Degree of success is directly proportional to strategic investments in science, technology, and information systems Countries that do not adapt to the technological explosion will not be able to compete Need Center(s) of Excellence for S&T to enhance the capabilities of industry, government, health and educational institutions ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 56

Conclusions University-Industry Relations. Why? q access to pre-competitive research q early warning of potential technology breakthroughs q pursue industry-relevant research q access to high-skill resources q conduit for intellectual creativity q branding and market development ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 57

Conclusions q Project Identification, Partnering, and Fund Raising • Industry (local, international) • Universities (public, private) • Government (State and Federal) • International Agencies and Organizations q On-going infrastructure and projects: • Digital Libraries • Distance Education • Research and Development Laboratories ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 58

ISTEC and YOU ISTEC is looking for partners to share the risks and rewards in Ibero-America. ISTEC is seeking to align people, needs, and technology to foster IT in Ibero. America. ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 59