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Health Service Delivery in Fragile States: Lessons from the Field Emmanuel d’Harcourt International Rescue Health Service Delivery in Fragile States: Lessons from the Field Emmanuel d’Harcourt International Rescue Committee Woodrow Wilson Center for Scholars September 12, 2006

Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Population and fragility Fragility and health Health and fragility Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Population and fragility Fragility and health Health and fragility Missions, health, and fragility

Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Population and fragility Fragility and health Health and fragility Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Population and fragility Fragility and health Health and fragility Missions, health, and fragility

… The [demographic] … The [demographic] "wolf" is present and very busy indeed—in Rwanda. … When its population had reached 7. 6 million in 1994, observers there were expecting disaster any day in the form of random violence or famine … Rwanda is demographically trapped in that it has exceeded its carrying capacity … Meanwhile, slaughter is ascribed to human rights violations, and the even more disturbing population pressure of demographic entrapment is conveniently forgotten. Demographic entrapment is so … disturbing that orthodox demography, public health, and UN agencies, particularly UNICEF, maintain a political correctness so correct that the entrapment is never mentioned… Maurice King, MD. From AJPH, July 1996

Factors associated with the genocide • Related to resource scarcity • Not related to Factors associated with the genocide • Related to resource scarcity • Not related to resource scarcity

Related to Resource Scarcity • • Popular discontent due to food scarcity Gain from Related to Resource Scarcity • • Popular discontent due to food scarcity Gain from previous Tutsi “pogroms” Fear of losing land to invading army Joblessness

Rwanda population, 1900 -2000 Source: US Census Bureau Rwanda population, 1900 -2000 Source: US Census Bureau

Average land holding 1960 s 1990 s Source: Uvin, 1996 Average land holding 1960 s 1990 s Source: Uvin, 1996

Food Production per Capita 1961 -1993 Source: FAO, 1994 Food Production per Capita 1961 -1993 Source: FAO, 1994

Overpopulation Resource scarcity Popular discontent Desire Ability Permission Overpopulation Resource scarcity Popular discontent Desire Ability Permission

Population density Source: PRB Population density Source: PRB

Population density Source: PRB Population density Source: PRB

Not Related to Resource Scarcity • • • Falling commodity prices Popular discontent due Not Related to Resource Scarcity • • • Falling commodity prices Popular discontent due to mismanagement Elite worried about losing power Long tradition of social division Genocidal ideology Effective propaganda and media Highly disciplined state machinery Lack of filial bonds: state vs. tribe International inaction

Coffee Earnings, 1985 -1993 Source: FAO, 1994 Coffee Earnings, 1985 -1993 Source: FAO, 1994

Unfavorable terms of trade / structural adjustment Overpopulation Resource scarcity Popular discontent Arusha Rebel Unfavorable terms of trade / structural adjustment Overpopulation Resource scarcity Popular discontent Arusha Rebel attack Corruption Elite insecurity Steady arms supply Highly organized state Effective media Desire Ability International Inaction Social divisions Lack of filial bonds Permission

If population is so important Source: PRB If population is so important Source: PRB

Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Population and fragility Fragility and health Health and fragility Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Population and fragility Fragility and health Health and fragility Missions, health, and fragility

How fragility affects health • • Security Policies Motivation Training Management Sustainability Communities Responsibility How fragility affects health • • Security Policies Motivation Training Management Sustainability Communities Responsibility

Children treated Rwanda and Sierra Leone Children treated Rwanda and Sierra Leone

Amodiaquine + S/P Amodiaquine + S/P

Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Population and fragility Fragility and health Health and fragility Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Population and fragility Fragility and health Health and fragility Missions, health, and fragility

How health affects fragility • No services is a big part of fragility How health affects fragility • No services is a big part of fragility

How health affects fragility • No services is a big part of fragility • How health affects fragility • No services is a big part of fragility • Good services legitimize governments

Cost Per Treatment Facility $50 Community $200 Training $400 $83 Management $200 $500 Equipment Cost Per Treatment Facility $50 Community $200 Training $400 $83 Management $200 $500 Equipment $250 $10 Children treated 41 315 Drug costs $35 $236 Cost per treatment $23 $3 Supervision

How health affects fragility • No services is a big part of fragility • How health affects fragility • No services is a big part of fragility • Good services legitimize governments • Health is entry point for building systems

Safe Motherhood, Kibungo Province Safe Motherhood, Kibungo Province

Children treated South Sudan and Sierra Leone Children treated South Sudan and Sierra Leone

Children treated South Sudan and Sierra Leone Children treated South Sudan and Sierra Leone

South Sudan example • • • Good human resource management Good information system Simple South Sudan example • • • Good human resource management Good information system Simple tools Scaleable Adapted to local environment

How health affects fragility • • No services is a big part of fragility How health affects fragility • • No services is a big part of fragility Good services legitimize governments Health is entry point for building systems Systems may induce more responsibility

How health affects fragility • • • No services is a big part of How health affects fragility • • • No services is a big part of fragility Good services legitimize governments Health is entry point for building systems Systems may induce more responsibility Community work strengthens communities

Distributor Information Distributor Information

Key quality indicators Community distributors, South Sudan n = 96 supervision reports Key quality indicators Community distributors, South Sudan n = 96 supervision reports

Can Health Programs Help? • • aa x a Poor information Weak human resources Can Health Programs Help? • • aa x a Poor information Weak human resources Weak absorptive capacity Uncertain future Unpredictable external support Recidivism Need to address immediate needs Need to show peace dividend x x a a

Can Health Programs Help? • • Enhance stability Improve security Encourage reform Increase capacity Can Health Programs Help? • • Enhance stability Improve security Encourage reform Increase capacity in key areas Address sources of fragility Seek short-term impact & long-term reform Establish measurement systems a a

Institutional Indicators from Health • • Utilization rate Reported supervisions / health area / Institutional Indicators from Health • • Utilization rate Reported supervisions / health area / month % community workers reporting % stock out for key drugs

Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Population and fragility Fragility and health Health and fragility Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Population and fragility Fragility and health Health and fragility Missions, health, and fragility

Health, Fragility, and Missions • • Missions are concerned about fragility Missions care about Health, Fragility, and Missions • • Missions are concerned about fragility Missions care about health status What do missions do that helps? What do missions do that doesn’t help?

Health, Fragility, and NGOs • • • Field-based Innovative Collaborative Coordinated Think of scale-up Health, Fragility, and NGOs • • • Field-based Innovative Collaborative Coordinated Think of scale-up • • Expensive Short term Small scale Not audited

Things that don’t help • • Frequent strategic redesign Process of strategic redesign Little Things that don’t help • • Frequent strategic redesign Process of strategic redesign Little field presence Concentrating resources Lack of DC – Mission coordination Some regulations – drugs, salaries Short-term funding

Things that do help • • Ambitious programs designed for scale Coordination of grantees Things that do help • • Ambitious programs designed for scale Coordination of grantees Coordinating with other donors Grantee – Government mediation Inter-sector synergy Willingness to support systems Long-term funding

Who has the answer? USAID DC USAID Mission i. NGOs HQ staff i. NGOs Who has the answer? USAID DC USAID Mission i. NGOs HQ staff i. NGOs local staff Beneficiaries Local officials National officials Local NGOs

Top 5 recommendations 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Think big, think national Focus on Top 5 recommendations 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Think big, think national Focus on coordination and systems Rethink drug procurement limits Rethink salary support limits Rethink strategic planning process – Less large shifts, more small adjustments – More participation

OFDA Recommendations • Switch to long-term funding ASAP • Increase monitoring of costs, results OFDA Recommendations • Switch to long-term funding ASAP • Increase monitoring of costs, results • Continue focus on inputs

Bottom Line • Fragility affects health – a lot • Health programs can reduce Bottom Line • Fragility affects health – a lot • Health programs can reduce fragility – some – Systems – Measurement • Health programs can reduce suffering – a lot • Missions help, could help even more – Stable strategy, stable funding – Coordinate