8059fcf6a681916c2247e24f35525b79.ppt
- Количество слайдов: 50
HAVE WE FINALLY FOUND THE ELUSIVE HIGGS BOSON PARTICLE OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION? DR. Walter Hays GLOBAL ALLIANCE FOR DISASTER REDUCTION
MY ANSWER (BASED ON 40 YEARS OF GLOBAL DISASTERS) Is YES
BACKGROUND
RISK ASSESSMENT • HAZARD MAPS • INVENTORY • VULNERABILITY • LOCATION ACCEPTABLE RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK DISASTER RESILIENCE DATA BASES AND INFORMATION YOUR COMMUNITY INTEGRATED GOALS HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS POLICIES / PRACTICES: • PROTECTION • PREPAREDNESS • EARLY WARNING • EM. RESPONSE • RECOVERY & RECONSTUCT
THE HIGGS BOSON PARTICLE • Creates The Influence Field Force Field That Causes Matter To People To Form Have Mass And A Critical Mass Make Things And Make Cities Happen Disaster Resilient
THE “HIGGS BOSON” PARTICLE IS THE GOD PARTICLE - - ----The Particle In The Invisible World That Creates The Force Field That Causes Matter to Have Mass And Make Things Happen
THE “HIGGS BOSON” PARTICLE OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IS THE PERSON ----- In The Visible World Who Creates The Influence Field That Causes People to Form A Critical Mass And Make Disaster Prone Cities Become Disaster Resilient
QUESTION--- YOU ARE A HIGGS BOSON PERSON FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION ?
“YOU ARE”--- IF • You have become a multi -dimensional KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATOR developing a city-specific knowledge base needed for disaster resilience
A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS DURING THE 1970’S AND 1980’S A Focus on Programs for Individual Natural Hazards and Windows of Opportunity
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS” 1970’S AND 1980’S • GILBERT WHITE • JOANNE NIGG • TED ALGERMISSEN • KARL STEINBRUGGE • FOURNIER D’ABLE
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS” 1970’S AND 1980’S • HARESH SHAH • TSUNEO KATAYAMA • FAROUK TEBBAL • VIT KARNIK
A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS DURING THE 1990’S A Focus on The International Decade For Natural Disaster Reduction and All Hazards
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS” 1990’S • FRANK PRESS • GEORGE HOUSNER • 188 NATIONAL COMMITTEES (MEN AND WOMEN PARTICIPANTS IN THE IDNDR) • UN AGENCY EXPERTS
A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS DURING 2000 -2012 A Focus on The International Strategy For Disaster Reduction and INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS” 2000’S— 2010’S • UN - ISDR • GLOBAL RISK FORUM (GRF’s History is too short at present) • THE G-20– (for the future)
IT IS TIME TO START PLANNING FOR THE DRD [DISASTER RESILIENCE DIVIDEND] AUGUST 26, 2012
THE DISASTER RESILIENCE DIVIDEND The DRD is HEALTH on a global scale
"Health is a state of complete physical, mental and social well-being and not merely the absence of disease or infirmity“ WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL SURGES: A WAY TO CAUSE A PARADIGM SHIFT FROM DISASTER PRONE TO DISASTER RESILIENCE TO GLOBAL HEALTH DURING THE 21 ST CENTURY
LINKED SURGES A GLOBAL PLATFORM DISASTER RESILIENCE FOR COMMUNITIES CONTINUING EDUCATION AND TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE A GLOBAL RESOURCE KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE ISLAND NATIONS PARTNERS: DISASTER LABORATORIES - Strategic SUBSAHARA AFRICA REGION PARTNERS: Interactions - EDUCATIONAL SURGES LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN REGION PARTNERS: EUROPEAN REGION PARTNERS: MEDITERRANEAN REGION PARTNERS: CAPACITY BUILDING PRIMERS MEETINGS ASIAN REGION PARTNERS: NORTH AMERICAN REGION PARTNERS: TURNING POINTS FOR CHANGE
NON-DISASTER RESILIENCE
CHARACTERISTICS OF A NONDISASTER-RESILIENT CITY • UN—PROTECTED, or • UN—PREPARED, or • UN—WARNED, or • UN--ABLE TO RESPOND, or • UN—”PEPPER--ED”
UN—PROTECTED
COLLAPSE OF UN BUILDING; PORT AU PRINCE, HAITI: MARCH 10, 2010
COLLAPSED BUILDINGS: BEICHUAN, CHINA; MAY 12, 2008
UN—PREPARED
VARZAGHAN, IRAN: AUGUST 15, 2012
OVER 600 MILLION PEOPLE EXPERIENCE BLACKOUTS: JULY 2012
TRASH FROM THE MARCH 11, 2011 JAPAN TSUNAMI; JULY 2012
FANGSHAN DISTRICT, BEIJING, CHINA: JULY 25, 2012
UN—WARNED
KRYMSK, RUSSIA: FLASH FLOOD; JULY 8, 2012
BANDA ACHE, INDONESIA TSUNAMI: DECEMBER 26, 2004 • 230, 000 died mainly as the result of inadequate warning
CYCLONE NARGISH: MYANMAR; MARCH 12, 2009 • 2. 4 MILLION PEOPLE WERE SERIOUSLY AFFECTED BECAUSE THE RULING MILITARY JUNTA PREVENTED EARLY WARNING AND DELIVERY OF INTERNATIONAL AID
NEVADA DEL RUIZ, COLOMBIA: 1989 • 24, 000. DIED IN ARMERO BECAUSE THERE WAS NO OFFICIAL WARNING.
UN--ABLE TO RESPOND
L’AQUILLA, ITALY EARTHQUAKE; APRIL 6, 2009
WENCHUAN, CHINA; EARTHQUAKE LAKE: MAY 31, 2008
WENCHUAN, CHINA: MAY 32, 2008
HURRICANE STAN: OCTOBER 2005 • DEVASTATING MUDSLIDES WERE TRIGGERED BY PROLONGED, HEAVY PRECIPITATION.
SEARCH AND RESCUE AFTER HURRICANE STAN: OCTOBER 2005 • WHEN A MUDSLIDE BURIES A TOWN, SEARCH AND RESCUE BECOMES VERY URGENT.
KOCALEI, TURKEY EARTHQUAKE: AUGUST 1999 • MASS CARE PROVIDES A SAFETY NET FOR THE HOMELESS DURING THE EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERIOD.
KOCALEI, TURKEY EARTHQUAKE: AUGUST 1999 • A “TENT CITY” PROVIDES TEMPORARY SHELTER FOR THE HOMELESS DURING RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION
LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE FIRE AND POWER OUTAGES: OCT. , 1989 • M 7. 1 • 63 DEAD • FIRE IN MARINA DISTRICT • WIDE SPREAD LOSS OF POWER • 1 BILLION INSURED LOSS
SAN FERNANDO, CA EARTHQUAKE: FEB. , 1971 • LOWERING THE WATER LEVEL IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE EARTHQUAKE PREVENTED FLOODING IN LOS ANGELES.
UN—”PEPPER--ED”
WENCHUAN, CHINA EARTHQUAKE: MAY 12, 2008 • • 88, 000 DEAD 30, 000 INJURED 300, 000 HOMELESS 25 MILLION BUILDINGS DAMAGED • 45 MILLION PEOPLE AFFECTED
MANAGUA, NICARAGUA EARTHQUAKE: FEB, 1972 • 10, 000 DEAD; 20, 000 INJURED; 300, 000 HOMELESS • NEAR TOTAL DISRUPTION OF THE INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION • POLITICAL CHAOS • CITY RELOCATED
LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE: OCTOBER 17, 1989 • M 7. 1 • 63 DEAD • COLLAPSE AND LOSS OF FUNCTION OF TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE • $ 1 BILLION INSURED LOSS
8059fcf6a681916c2247e24f35525b79.ppt