Скачать презентацию GOES USERS CONFERENCE IV Discussion Highlights Decision Aids Скачать презентацию GOES USERS CONFERENCE IV Discussion Highlights Decision Aids

2c474f882211347fd8a9e98061074e69.ppt

  • Количество слайдов: 11

GOES USERS’ CONFERENCE IV: Discussion Highlights Decision Aids Phil Zuzolo, Boeing/Meteorologist GOES Users’ Conference GOES USERS’ CONFERENCE IV: Discussion Highlights Decision Aids Phil Zuzolo, Boeing/Meteorologist GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 1

1) Please make a list of other decision aids that will be needed for 1) Please make a list of other decision aids that will be needed for GOES-R. n What are the types of decision aids? • Satisfy internal operations to the GOES-R system • Key products or derived products from satellite data • Sophisticated/derived decision aids combine information from system(s) n What is the purpose of decision aids? Optimize usage of GOES-R data and system benefits to users and society • Unknowns still exist: needs of the users and the application of the decision aids are in the definition/formulation phase • GOES-R is an evolutionary system and user education process • Example: Current use of satellite data in AWIPS. Needs to be addressed in the GOES-R era of satellite data tsunami GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 2

1) Please make a list of other decision aids that will be needed for 1) Please make a list of other decision aids that will be needed for GOES-R. (cont. ) n What are the levels of Decision Aids? • 1) Provide internal users (NOAA) ability to develop products to deliver to end users; • 2) Provide end users timely access to products (decision aids defined as products) and satisfy diverse, competing users’ needs: FAA, Do. D, agriculture (standard defaults could help) n n Key consideration: how users interface with the GOES-R system Information access will be a driver: synergy with other space systems, ground sites will provide additional information • Decision aids expected to be combinations of different sensors GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 3

1) Please make a list of other decision aids that will be needed for 1) Please make a list of other decision aids that will be needed for GOES-R. (cont. ) n Other issues: • How to identify priorities (e. g. Future scanning strategies) • Need to identify some baseline scenarios then look at baseline Deltas regarding priorities GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 4

2) What groups are already building decision aids? n n n n n NESDIS 2) What groups are already building decision aids? n n n n n NESDIS Algorithm Working Group NCEP NSSL National Hurricane Center Aviation decision Aids –NCAR&NASA funded by FAA Department of defense Volcanic AAC CIMSS (pre-storm environment decision aids) NASA-SPORT Center Huntsville, Alabama Private sector GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 5

3) Any lessons learned from the WSSR-88 D experience? n Decision aids have an 3) Any lessons learned from the WSSR-88 D experience? n Decision aids have an operational purpose • Event identification and enabling a temporally dependent mitigation strategy n n Autonomous algorithms that generate products and tools that are built in to the system that alert users that something may be happening (that will be equivalent to L 2 and L 3 of satellite products) Need for real time access to calibrated/navigated data • Need to Archive these data n Development of NOAA teams for continued improvement evolution of process GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 6

3) Any lessons learned from the WSSR-88 D experience? (cont. ) n Design decision 3) Any lessons learned from the WSSR-88 D experience? (cont. ) n Design decision tools based on the end users feedback to meet their needs • Involve users throughout the process n Users training – focused training sessions on the needs of specific users and locations • Timing of the training is important relative to operational implementation n Regional differences: key to effective training and operational implementation of decision aids GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 7

4) What research is needed to better develop these decision aids? n n How 4) What research is needed to better develop these decision aids? n n How to expedite image processing to identify signatures precluding the development hazardous events Development of automated tools providing information to decision makers and end users • Include confidence levels associated with each product/region n Development of implementation plans • Methodology to move research applications to operations • Example: AWIPS implementation process GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 8

4) What research is needed to better develop these decision aids? (cont. ) n 4) What research is needed to better develop these decision aids? (cont. ) n n Quality control – incorporate tuning and validation into the research process Develop a process to incorporate systems/science/user expertise from different disciplines • • Severe weather Coastal Waters Agriculture Other decision aid topical areas GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 9

5) What other questions or issues would you like to have the group discuss? 5) What other questions or issues would you like to have the group discuss? n Develop criteria to prioritize the GOES-R system as a whole • Objective methodology and focus group to prioritize geographically separated system priorities when critical events are occurring • Key considerations: Life and property, resources, etc. • Needs to be governed by NOAA, DOD, and other users (private sector) and need to integrate with the GOES-R CONOPS n Consideration of GOES-R system modes for critical event needs • ABI scan modes • HES data capture modes GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 10

5) What other questions or issues would you like to have the group discuss? 5) What other questions or issues would you like to have the group discuss? (cont. ) n How will NOAA reach out to more users to get their inputs and educate them about the benefits of GOES-R: • Website with comments/bulletin board capability • Organized focus groups n Set user expectations regarding benefits and capabilities of what the GOES-R system will provide • User understanding of system benefits now rather than later GOES Users’ Conference IV May 1 -3, 2006 Broomfield, CO Prepared by Integrated Work Strategies, LLC 11