Future Platform for Mobile Communication ISQED March. 27, 2001 Hajime Sasaki Chairman of the Board NEC Corporation ISQED 2001 1 C NEC Corporation 2001
Mobile Communication Network Infrastructure Terminal ISQED 2001 2 C NEC Corporation 2001
BLACKOUT? ISQED 2001 3
Achille’s Heel of IT Society Mobile & Internet Network Infrastructure Operating 24 Hours a Day Global Environmental Problem Network Expands Rapidly Results in Sudden Electric Power Supply Problem 2001 ISQED 4 C NEC Corporation 2001
In the US, the Internet will be the largest power consumer… Power Consumption Share of the Internet ? In 10 years, the power consumption share of the Internet will surpass 50% ! ISQED 2001 5 C NEC Corporation 2001
Internet Penetration and Development 3 rd Wave （Internet Era） 2 nd Wave Growth 1 st Wave （PC Era） Internet Society （Mainframe Era） ARPANET Ethernet E-Commerce WWW E-Business Next Generation Internet IMT 2000/Optics 1970 1980 1990 2010 2000 ISQED 2001 6 C NEC Corporation 2001
Simulation in Japan…. By 2010, electric power consumption will increase by…. 30 x nuclear power plant 285 Bwh ISQED 2001 7 C NEC Corporation 2001
= 2 MB 1 lb E-mail is not Eco-mail but Ego-mail? ISQED 2001 8 C NEC Corporation 2001
100000 Power(Watts) 10000 1000 ＣＰＵ becomes the Sun? 100 Pentium Processors 10 486 8086 286 386 8085 8008 1 8080 4004 0. 1 ISSCC 2001 1974 1978 ISQED 2001 1992 1985 2000 2004 C 9 2008 NEC Corporation 2001
American IT vs. Energy Needs n Oil Ratio Tons 10 K Units Energy Consumption as ratio of GDP（Left） 1/3 of Contribution to Energy Efficiency is Attributed to Change in Industry Structure n n Internet Hosts（Right） 2/3 of Contribution to Energy Efficiency is Attributed to Internet Economy n 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 CY ISQED 2001 The portion of low energy consumption industry increased (Textile Software Industry） n Decrease in excess production (SCM) Reduction in logistic 10 costs (home office, EC) C NEC Corporation 2001
The Inescapable Two “E’s” E-economy Environment ISQED 2001 11 C NEC Corporation 2001
Low power consumption Macro Needs Micro Needs ISQED 2001 12 C NEC Corporation 2001
The Networked Society is Coming… New Utility Created Independently of Time or Place Business (Office) Consumer (Home) Government Telework ＳＣＭ ＥＤＩ ｏｒｋ ｅｔｗ Ｎ Cyber Market Remote Medical Treatment Remote Education EDI: Electronic Data Interchange ISQED 2001 13 C NEC Corporation 2001
Regional Difference of Penetration between Internet and Mobile in Developing Stage (CYE 1999 Est. ) Excluding North America, Mobile Penetration Exceeds Internet Penetration 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% (Source: Global Mobile, Nua Ltd. ) ISQED 2001 Canada US Germany France Spain Japan UK Italy Sweden Norway Finland 0% 14 C NEC Corporation 2001
Comparison between PC & Mobile Capacity of Mobile Phone follows that of Laptop PC (5 -7 year time log) ［ＭＨｚ］ ［ＭＢ］ ROM RAM Processing Power Doubles Every One and Half Years ISQED 2001 C 15 NEC Corporation 2001
Internet Connectable Mobile Phone Subscribers in Japan Surpassed 30 million in 2 years (million subscribers) <Provides＞ Imode；NTT Docomo EZWeb：AU J-Sky；J Phone Free from Keyboard 1999 2000 Easy to Operate ISQED 2001 Slow Adoption of 16 PC Internet. C NEC Corporation 2001
Creation of New Mobile Services Development of Mobile Services Core Areas of Mobile Services VALUE 3 G Information Video Appliance Quasi-Video 2 G Data Mobile Phone 1 G Interactive GPS Personal Combination Real Time “Push” Portable Type Info Voice Wireless Communication ISQED 2001 17 C NEC Corporation 2001
Future Functions of Mobile Terminal l Large Display l Processing Capacity l Agent l GPS l Certification/Security l Power l Small Size Integration of CPU and DSP into 1 chip LCD, EL CPU, Software LSI Battery Mounting ISQED 2001 PCB 18 Lithium ion Rechargeable Battery C NEC Corporation 2001
Key Devices for IT Society Semiconductor Memory MPU SOC Thinking/Processing （Brain/Nerve） Flat Panel Display ＬＣＤ ＰＤＰ Interface （Face/Expression） Energy Device Li-Ion Power Supply （Blood circulation） Total Solution ISQED 2001 19 C NEC Corporation 2001
The IT Revolution Internet Revolution IT Revolution Semiconductor Technology Mobile Revolution ISQED 2001 20 C NEC Corporation 2001
Requirement for Next Generation’s Terminal Devices ISQED 2001 21 C NEC Corporation 2001
Paradigm Shift End of PC Oriented Era: Seeking high performance and low cost based on chip shrink technology What Paradigm Will Be in the Mobile & Internet Era? Keyboard culture Ten-keys culture ISQED 2001 22 C NEC Corporation 2001
Paradigm change in Mobile & Internet Era Supreme Command Low power consumption From PC oriented device (shrink technology) To Mobile oriented device (energy saving technology) ISQED 2001 23 C NEC Corporation 2001
Paradigm change in Mobile & Internet Era Supreme Command Low power consumption From seeds oriented device (shrink technology) To needs oriented device (energy saving technology) ISQED 2001 24 C NEC Corporation 2001
Technology Roadmap ITRS '99 2001 2005 2008 100 65 45 physical oxcide thickness Tox(nm) 1. 5 -1. 9 1. 0 -1. 5 0. 8 -1. 2 Number of metal levels 7 8 -9 9 2. 2 1. 8 MPU Gate Length(nm) Equivalent Conductor effective resistivity Cu wiring(μΩ-cm) Interlevel metal insulatoreffective dielectric constnat(k) 2. 7 -3. 5 1. 6 -2. 2 ISQED 2001 1. 5 25 C NEC Corporation 2001
Start of Mass Production 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 SOC Performance （GHz＊MTr／W ） 103 New Concept LSI 2 10 Equivalent Scaling 101 100 400 Conventional Scaling 200 10080 60 40 20 10 Gate Length (nm) ISQED 2001 26 C NEC Corporation 2001
New Paradigm q Equivalent device scaling New processes, New materials q Equivalent system scaling New architecture, New Circuits q Synergetic device/circuit co-design Flexible parameter CMOS SOC ISQED 2001 27 C NEC Corporation 2001
MP 98：Single-Chip Multiprocessor q. Novel multi-thread architecture q. Software for parallel architecture q. Sophisticated power management 10. 5 mm q 0. 15 um 14 Million Trs. 125 MHz x 4 PEs x 2 -way Superscalar 10. 5 mm １ GIPS＠１ W, Vdd=1. 3 V q Dynamic power control of PEs On-chip power switch Idling: 25 m. W, Sleep: 0. 2 m. W ISQED 2001 28 C NEC Corporation 2001
Power Management in MP 98 q. Multi-oxide/-Vt for high-speed and low-power circuits q. Software controlled power management circuit Power(W) 10 Cache data 1. 0 Control Power Circuits SW 333µm De-coupling Capacitors 0. 01 0. 0002 Normal mode Idle Sleep Leak Current t 38. 8µm 25 ms ISQED 2001 80ｕｓ 29 C NEC Corporation 2001
Power Comparison (Source: NEC for P 98) VIDEO CODEC Latest 1 GIPS MPU Transmeta TM 5400 MP 98(4 PE) Idle Mode Latest 1 GIPS MPU Transmeta TM 5400 MP 98 (5 W) (2 W, 1/2. 5) (1 W, 1/5) (4 W) (0. 9 W, 1/4) (25 m. W, <1/100) Sleep (Off/Instant On) Latest 1 GIPS MPU (N. A. ) Transmeta TM 5400 MP 98(Power Switch Off) (200 m. W, (8 m. W) <1/10) 1 Power (Ratio) ISQED 2001 30 C NEC Corporation 2001
Processor Map # of Application Programs 10000 MPU Ｐｅｎｔｉｕｍ ● 1000 DRL 100 10 MCU DSP ASIC 1 102 103 104 Power Efficiency (MIPS/W) ISQED 2001 105 31
Reconfigurable Computing Customize hardware dynamically Task N X Y W Y A H I JB X C ZE D Controller Task N Reconfigurable Hardware ISQED 2001 Time Task 1 or y Controller or y Z Internal control style M em E Time W B C D Task 1 M em A Task N m. P Task 1 External control style 32
4 Phases of Competition Key Word Market Phase Age of Sweat Emerging Age of Money Age of Speed Aspect of Competition Yield Ratio Variable Cost Value Engineering Oriented Management Productivity Competitiveness Based On Outside Know-how Growth Global Competition Investment Timing Productivity Competitiveness Based on Selfdeveloped Know-how Age of Knowledge Purpose Know-how ISQED 2001 High Volume Production Focused on Spreading Fixed Costs Relative Customer Satisfaction Management Absolute Customer Satisfaction Management 33 C NEC Corporation 2001
4 Methods for Core Competence Advantage in Result Characteristic Production System Growth Profitability ISQED 2001 how Process Mass Production ・Individual Dependent ・Patent Strategy ・Dependent on Current Technology ・Corporate Culture Dependent ・Difficult to Imitate what Market ・First Mover Advantage Product Concept Penetration ・Patent Strategy Basic ・Serendipity Materials Performance ・First Mover Advantage 34 C NEC Corporation 2001
Competent Semiconductor Industry Develop. of New Business Model Self Development Technology Buy or Sell Joint Development Core Competence ISQED 2001 35 C NEC Corporation 2001
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