Faculty of Economics BSU COMPETITIVE POSITIONS OF THE

Faculty of Economics BSU COMPETITIVE POSITIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS: RATING APPROACH Mikhail Kovalev

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Competitiveness as a share of a country at world markets 2008

Agricultural Ranking of Belarus Rank - 2007 Commodity 3 Crannberies 4 Flax fiber and tow 4 Rye 7 Triticale 11 Oats 13 Hazelnuts, with shell 16 Strawberries 17 Sugar beet 17 Buckwheat 19 Potatoes 25 Cow milk, whole, fresh 33 Cattle meat 35 Hen eggs 41 Vegetables 50 Natural honey 52 Wheat

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Competitiveness OECD: это показатель того, насколько эффективно страна в условиях свободной торговли и честных рыночных условий производит товары и услуги, которые проходят тест международными рынками, и одновременно поддерживает и увеличивает реальные доходы людей в долгосрочной перспективе. World Economic Forum: the set of institutions, policies, and factors that determine the level of productivity of a country. это способность страны добиваться устойчиво высоких темпов роста ВВП на душу населения.

HDI

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Structure of HDI

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University HDI 2009

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Consumption and Savings Problem (principle civilization contraduction) high consumption level in developed countries (mainly USA) high savings level in developing countries (mainly China)

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University USD Problem USD: - world currency USD: - national currency Senyorage Debt USA – $13 000 bln New world currency (example: SDR)

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University

Dynamics of Payment Balance in the USA Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University 1. Creditors Ranking of the USA Government Treasury, $ bln China 739, 6 2. Japan 634, 8 3. Oil Exorters 186, 3 4. Offshore 176, 6 5. Brasil 133, 5 6. UK 124, 2 7. Russia 119, 6 8. Luxemburg 87, 2 9. Taiwan 73, 3 10 Hong Kong 71, 7 11 Switzerland 62, 1 12 Germany 56, 4 Total: 3073

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Demographic disbalance Population size 6, 5 / 10 bln. GDP by PPP in 2008. $69 trl The rest of the world 3/5 4 Silver billions 2, 5/4 14, 3 BRIC (Brazil + Russia + India + China) + other asian countries 2 + 2, 3 + 3, 3 + 7, 9 + 2 = 17, 5 Golden Billion 1/1 USA + EU 27 + Japan + Canada + Australia + et alias. 14, 3 + 15, 3 + 4, 3 + 1, 3 + 0, 8 + 1, 2 = 37, 2

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University GDP PPP Share in 2001, 2009 2001: GDP World – 31, 6 trl. $ 2009 г: GDP World – 57, 5 trl. $

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Disbalance between Financial and Real Sectors trillions 1200% 677 Derivatives 156% 97 Bank assets 147% 87 120% 72 100% 60 Bonds and other debtor’s securities. Stock market GDP nominal

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Growth of GDP in Belarus IMF (2000 -2014)

Faculty of Economics BSU GDP by PPP per capita

Faculty of Economics BSU GDP by PPP in 2008 (IMF)

Faculty of Economics BSU Centers of Economic Power in 2025 (GDP by PPP)

Faculty of Economics BSU Social Oriented Market Economy (GDP and Salary)

Faculty of Economics BSU Policy of High Salary ($) (GDP)

Faculty of Economics BSU Scaling Models of the World Economic Forum

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Financial Development Index (FDI): Top-10 countries

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Countries ranked within the top-3 of each Index pillar

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Global Competitiveness Index

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Structure of the GCI 2009 -2010

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University GCI – 2009 -2010

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Networked Readiness Index 2009 -2010

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Logistic Performance Index 2007

Indicators Показатели ТАМОЖНЯ Эффективность и прозрачность таможенных процедур ИНФРАСТРУКТУРА Качество транспортной инфраструктуры и информационных технологий для логистики МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫЕ ПОСТАВКИ Легкость и экономичность при организации международных перевозок ЛОГИСТИЧЕСКАЯ КОМПЕТЕНЦИЯ Качество и компетенция региональной логистической среды ОТСЛЕЖИВАНИЕ ГРУЗОВ Возможность отслеживания международных грузов СТОИМОСТЬ ДОСТАВКИ Стоимость доставки СВОЕВРЕМЕННОСТЬ Своевременность доставки груза к пункту назначения

Belarus Rank Score LPI 74 2, 53 Стоимость доставки 37 3, 13 Таможня 50 2, 67 Инфраструктура 54 2, 63 Отслеживание грузов 66 2, 71 Своевременность доставки 78 3, 00 Международные поставки 126 2, 13 Логистическая компетенция 120 2, 13

Rank Country Score 1 Сингапур 4, 19 2 Нидерланды 4, 18 3 Германия 4, 1 4 Швеция 4, 08 5 Австрия 4, 06 6 Япония 4, 02 9 США 3, 99 30 Китай 3, 32 39 Индия 3, 07 73 Украина 2, 55 74 Беларусь 2, 53 99 Россия 2, 37 150 Афганистан 1, 21

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University E-government Index 2010 Top-20 + Belarus

Country Rank 2010 Republic of Korea United States Canada United Kingdom Netherlands Norway Denmark Australia Spain France Singapore Sweden Bahrain New Zealand Germany Belgium Japan Switzerland Finland Estonia Belarus 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 64 E-readiness 2010 E-readiness 2008 Rank 2008 0, 8785 0, 8510 0, 8448 0, 8147 0, 8097 0, 8020 0, 7872 0, 7863 0, 7516 0, 7510 0, 7476 0, 7474 0, 7363 0, 7311 0, 7309 0, 7225 0, 7152 0, 7136 0, 6967 0, 6965 0, 4900 0, 8317 0, 8644 0, 8172 0, 7872 0, 8631 0, 8921 0, 9134 0, 8108 0, 7228 0, 8038 0, 7009 0, 9157 0, 5723 0, 7392 0, 7136 0, 6779 0, 7703 0, 7626 0, 7488 0, 7600 0, 5213 6 4 7 10 5 3 2 8 20 9 23 1 42 18 22 24 11 12 15 13 56 Changes -5 -2 -4 -6 3 5 -11 1 -12 11 -29 -4 -7 -8 6 6 4 7 8 ↓ ↓ ↑ ↑ ↓ ↑ ↓ ↓ ↑ ↑ ↑

E-government Index in East European Countries Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EEreadiness Rank Country Rank 2010 2008 Changes Hungary 27 0, 6315 0, 6494 30 -3 ↓ Czech Republic 33 0, 6060 0, 6696 25 8 ↑ Slovakia 43 0, 5639 0, 5889 38 5 ↑ Bulgaria 44 0, 5590 0, 5719 43 1 ↑ Poland 45 0, 5582 0, 6134 33 12 ↑ Romania 47 0, 5479 0, 5383 51 -4 ↓ Ukraine 54 0, 5181 0, 5728 41 13 ↑ Russian Federation 59 0, 5136 0, 5120 60 -1 ↓ Belarus 64 0, 4900 0, 5213 56 8 ↑ Republic of Moldova 80 0, 4611 0, 4510 93 -13 ↓ Sub-regional average 0, 5449 0, 5689 World average 0, 4406 0, 4514

Rank Country Knowledge Index Innovation Education ICT 1 Denmark 9, 49 9, 78 9, 21 24 Spain 8, 18 8, 14 8, 33 8, 07 51 Ukraine 6, 58 5, 83 8, 15 5, 77 60 Russia 5, 82 6, 88 7, 19 6, 38 72 Kazakhstan 5, 17 3, 68 7, 07 4, 76 73 Belarus 6, 19 5, 79 8, 02 4, 74

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Ease of doing business Rank of World Bank 2010

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Rank of World Bank Belarus Netherlands Germany 2007 2010 Ease of Doing business 129 58 30 25 Starting a Business 148 7 70 84 Dealing with Construction Permits 84 44 104 18 Employing Workers 31 32 123 158 Registering Property 96 10 29 57 Getting Credit 171 113 43 15 Protecting Investors 142 109 93 Paying Taxes 175 183 33 71 Trading Across Borders 113 129 13 14 Enforcing Contracts 36 12 30 7 Closing a Business 91 74 10 35

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University A. KOF Index of Globalization Indices and Variables Weights Economic Globalization i) Actual Flows Trade (percent of GDP) Foreign Direct Investment, flows (percent of GDP) Foreign Direct Investment, stocks (percent of GDP) Portfolio Investment (percent of GDP) Income Payments to Foreign Nationals (percent of GDP) [38%] (50%) (19%) (20%) (23%) (17%) (21%) ii) Restrictions Hidden Import Barriers Mean Tariff Rate Taxes on International Trade (percent of current revenue) (50%) (21%) (29%) (25%) Capital Account Restrictions (25%)

B. Social Globalization [39%] i) Data on Personal Contact (34%) Telephone Traffic (26%) Transfers (percent of GDP) (3%) International Tourism (26%) Foreign Population (percent of total population) (20%) International letters (per capita) (26%) ii) Data on Information Flows (34%) Internet Users (per 1000 people) (36%) Television (per 1000 people) (36%) Trade in Newspapers (percent of GDP) (28%) iii) Data on Cultural Proximity (32%) Number of Mc. Donald's Restaurants (per capita) (37%) Number of Ikea (per capita) (39%) Trade in books (percent of GDP) (24%)

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University C. Political Globalization [23%] Embassies in Country (25%) Membership in International Organizations (28%) Participation in U. N. Security Council Missions (22%) International Treaties (25%)

Belarusian State University Faculty of Economics KOF Index 2010 Rank Country Globali Economic zation Globalization Index Social Globalization Political Globalization 1 Belgium 92, 95 1 Singapore (97, 48) 1 Switzerland (94, 94) 1 France (98, 44) 42 Russia 68, 91 92 58, 00 39 68, 82 42 85, 38 109 Belarus 51, 88 117 46, 24 62 61, 55 149 45, 03 180 Kiribati 25, 45 180 Marshall Islands 180 Somalia (21. 89) 180 Liechtenshtein (30, 06)

Faculty of Economics Belarusian State University Thank you for your attention!