EEESTA Prestige Event Semiconductors software Chips With

EEESTA Prestige Event Semiconductors + software Chips With Everything enable exciting lifestyles Sir Robin Saxby Emeritus Chairman ARM Holdings plc Visiting Professor University of Liverpool robin. saxby@arm. com 1

Evolution of the Computing Market § Computing has evolved in parallel with the Semiconductor market over a similar but slightly longer period § Semiconductor technology is now enabling computing to become embedded into everyday products 2

Favourite device …Tom Go 700 § Ski in the morning in Anzere and have dinner in Arosa Bluetooth, GPS, All European Maps Pictures taken with Sony DSC T 1 3

Technology driver - Content delivery § Fastest concert recording to digital download release § Time between recording of a live concert performance and its release for digital download sale: 44 minutes and 39 seconds ‘Sgt Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band’ by Sir Paul Mc. Cartney and U 2 Universal Music Group International for Live 8 (July 2, 2005) 4

Chip Industry Foundations Technology Development Transistor Dec 1947 -Bell Labs IC 1958 –TI Standard MOS 1967 – Fairchild 70 s - Waves of New Products Microprocessors Digital Signal Processors DRAM EPROM 5

Consequences of Moore’s Law r T 1 B iv uct d t 1 M o “Pr y tr a ty G i p” , 500 py 8 1, 800 Transistor/PM (K) Transistors/Chip (M) 0 M 10 py ap” tion G a Verific 100 p “ ITRS’ 99 6

System Chip Methodology § The design task is so large that it is not possible to design the whole chip oneself … Components, from independent suppliers are integrated to produce the so-called System-On-Chip. § The ARM RISC Processor has become a Keystone So. C Component; Fundamental to interfacing the Hardware and Software aspects of this Digital World AMBA § 1998 Mobile-Phone Processor. 80 mm 2, 0. 6 m ARM 7 TDMI OAK DSP 7

PC approach - Scaling for Performance 80 s & 90 s industry growth and scaling in computing power 1982 - Intel 80286 1985 - Intel 80386 1989 - Intel 80386 134 thousand transistors 275 thousand transistors 1. 2 million transistors 12 MHz; 68. 7 mm 2 33 MHz; 104 mm 2 50 MHz; 163 mm 2 1993 - Intel Pentium 1997 - Intel Pentium. II 1999 - Intel Pentium. III 2000 - Intel Pentium 4 3. 1 million transistors 7. 5 million transistors 28 million transistors 42 million transistors 66 MHz; 264 mm 2 300 MHz; 209 mm 2 733 MHz; 140 mm 2 1. 5 GHz; 224 mm 2 8

Scaling for Performance Consequence 80 s & 90 s industry growth and scaling in computing power 1982 - Intel 80286 134 thousand transistors 12 MHz; 68. 7 mm 2 Performance at expense of power 1985 - Intel 80386 and thermal 275 thousand transistors challenges 33 MHz ; 104 mm 2 Move to multiprocessor 1989 - Intel 80386 1. 2 million transistors 50 MHz; 163 mm 2 1993 - Intel Pentium 1997 - Intel Pentium. II 1999 - Intel Pentium. III 2000 - Intel Pentium 4 3. 1 million transistors 7. 5 million transistors 28 million transistors 42 million transistors 66 MHz; 264 mm 2 300 MHz; 209 mm 2 733 MHz; 140 mm 2 1. 5 GHz; 224 mm 2 9

Financial Benefit of Scaling The Virtuous Circle DEMAND INVESTMENT Cost of 1 MHz Cost of 1 megabit storage Cost of sending 1 trillion bits COST REDUCTION 1970 1980 $7, 600. 82 $103. 40 $5, 256. 90 $614. 40 $150, 000. 00 $129, 166. 67 1990 $25. 47 $7. 85 $90. 42 2002 $0. 17 $0. 33 $0. 12 Source: “The New Paradigm” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 1999 Report and 2002 Actuals 10

Scaling in another direction mm 2 100 ARM 1: 3 um; 50 mm 2; 120 m. W at 6 MHz ARM 6: 1. 2 um; 15 MHz 10 ARM 7 DM: 0. 8 um; 25 MHz ARM 7 TDMI ®: 0. 6 um; 33 MHz 1 0. 1 800 x power efficiency 500 x area efficiency 0. 35 um; 47 MHz 0. 25 um; 63 MHz 180 nm; 98 MHz 130 nm; 125 MHz 90 nm; 219 MHz ARM 7 TDMI®: 65 nm; 0. 1 mm 2; ~9 m. W at 350 MHz 0 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 11

But ARM has done performance too The 80 s and 90 s: 1985 – ARM 1 1988 – ARM 3 1994 – ARM 710 1999 – ARM 920 T 50 mm 2; 12 MHz; 1. 2 um 33 MHz; 0. 6 um 140 MHz; 0. 25 um 4 MHz; 3 um The new millennium: 600 x Performance 4. 5 mm 2 core 2001 – ARM 926 EJ-S 2004 – ARM 1176 JZ-S 2005 – ARM MPCore (2 way) 2006 – ARM Cortex A 8 200 MHz; 180 nm 400 MHz; 130 nm 620 MHz; 90 nm 1 GHz; 65 nm 200 DMIPS 480 DMIPS 1, 488 DMIPS 2, 000 DMIPS 12

Technology Driver – “Power to the People” §What you can do with video / sound editing? §What is real and what is false? §Recording at low cost at home §Power of communication via the web §Re – Structuring of the Music Video Industry §“Power to the People” 13

Technology driver - Miniaturisation § Digitisation allows increased miniaturisation, performance and convenience The best of analogue… … has become smaller and better 14

Technology driver - More software § § High-performance devices run large amounts of complex software 128 All needs to be developed and integrated into final device 15

Technology driver - Embedded intelligence 1913 Model T Ford No electronics 2006 Chrysler announce 40% of models will offer i. Pod integration Circa 1980 BMW 733 i Introduction of ABS 2015 - Pervasive but hidden electronics 2005 BMW 7 Series i. Drive Control system 16

Technology driver - Changing lifestyles Early Multi Format Voice Ringtones Uni Format Photos Analogue Music TV Broadcast delivery Scattergun advertising True Multi Format All digital Content downloaded In shop retail purchase Media plays on any device Time shift broadcast Unlimited storage Delivery choices Targeted advertising 1880 1900 1926 1990 2000 2010 17

Future Outlook - Healthcare & fitness § Largest opportunity to add value § § Healthcare systems under extreme stress despite $3 T global spend § Improvements needed: In efficiency, reliability, privacy, quality of life § Product opportunities: Disease prevention, monitoring, therapy, services, IT Emergence and growth of telemedicine § § Removes distance between provider and patient Need for connectivity increases hardware and software integration challenges 18

2020: Products for Kids § Active clothing / skin? that changes colour / tone for mood? “In his latest column for Business 2. 0, "Wearable Tech, " Rafe Needleman tells us that clothes that can change colors electronically are soon coming to our closets. ” § On offer in a Cambridge shop Allow online searching by thought § DNA Screen Holographic projection conference calling with friends 19

Ultimate Product? Heated Seat 2 Heated Water Bidet Streams Electronic Bidet The World’s Best Toilet Seat! Home medical advisor, Speech, patient history, Take pills with patient monitoring Electronically Temperature Controlled Electronic Water Pressure Control Automatic Shut-off Keizo Mura Skiing on his 100 th Birthday Salt Lake City 20