EDPRS 2 Towards Achieving Self Reliance National Dialogue

EDPRS 2 Towards Achieving Self Reliance National Dialogue Council December, 13 -14 th 2012

GDP/capita doubled in 5 years Office of the Prime Minister

To be a Middle Income Country by 2020 GDP growth $1200 11% $600 2011 Office of the Prime Minister 2020

Trade values tripled in 5 years 1800. 0 1600. 0 1400. 0 1200. 0 1000. 0 800. 0 600. 0 400. 0 200. 0 Exports – Imports in millions of USD 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Exports Imports Office of the Prime Minister

Need more Forex earnings $5000 Mios Exports growth 28% $500 Mios 2011 Office of the Prime Minister 2020

Millions out f poverty 80% 77% Proportion 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 57% 45% % below poverty line 37% 24% Extreme Poverty 30% 12% 0% 1994 Office of the Prime Minister 2000 2005/06 2010/11 2015

EDPRS 2 Guiding Principles Innovation for 1 Innovation for productivity 2 Inclusiveness and Engagement 3 Sustainability Office of the Prime Minister Need to focus on new interventions as well as new ways of thinking and delivering Ownership at all levels Ensure that programs and targets achieved from EDPRS 2 are long lasting

Census 2002 – 2012 Population Office of the Prime Minister

All four thematic areas under EDPRS 2 aim at achieving our Vision 2020 VISION 2020 Economic Transformation 11. 5% Real GDP growth • • • 28% Export Growth Private Investment at 20% of GDP 30% Urbanisation Office of the Prime Minister Improved Productivity & Youth Employment 200, 000 jobs p/annum Rural Development Less than 30% of poor • • 70% planned grouped settlements 8. 5% Agric Growth • • Accountable Governance SMEs for jobs education TVET for skills Participation in development Delivery of quality service

To become a middle-income country by 2020, we need to double GDP 11% Growth Rate p/annum $ 1000 USD $595 USD 20% of GDP 10% of GDP Exports Private Investment GDP 28% Growth 2011 Office of the Prime Minister 2020

Four priorities have been identified under Economic Transformation to drive rapid growth and exports Diversifying the economy Productivity and Competitiveness Office of the Prime Minister Rapid Growth of Exports Urbanisation for Growth

Everyone is expected to play a role in achieving economic transformation 1. Improved Business orientation and thinking Profit 2. Urbanisation Office of the Prime Minister • Thinking market satisfaction (with improved market information) • Increased business innovation (profitable competition/ new unsaturated markets => increased diversification) • Business association • • Cities as pillars of growth Good for rural development and employment

Our goal under rural development is to reduce poverty from 45% to less than 30% over the next five years 80% 77% 70% 60% Proportion 60% 57% 50% 45% 40% Proportion below poverty line 30% 24% Extreme Poverty 10% 0% 37% 1994 Office of the Prime Minister 2000 2005/06 2010/11 30% 21% 2015 20% 15% 2020

There are four priorities under rural development to reduce poverty fast ensure sustainability Sustainable Rural Settlements On-farm productivity • Integrated land use planning and quality of rural housing Increased productivity of agriculture through: • Proximity extension services, Irrigation, Land Husbandry • Private investment in agriculture Social Protection linked to Development • • Improved targeting and coverage of schemes Enabling graduation from Social Protection to self reliance Connecting to Markets • Feeder roads and access to new finance mechanisms Office of the Prime Minister

Rural Development Improved productivity and youth employment 200, 000 jobs per annum Accountable Governance Office of the Prime Minister Important part of EDPRS 2 discussed under other sessions

Everyone has a role to play in supporting rural development Living in well planned imidugudu • • • Developing contractual mindset – respect the terms of the contract; repay loans and credit Increased uptake of micro-insurance Increase individual productivity amongst farmers Agriculture becoming more profitable and less risky • Not over-relying on solidarity • Private sector orientation in agriculture Self reliance mindset Access to basic infrastructure Proximity to production place Office of the Prime Minister