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City of West Linn Economic Opportunities Analysis City Council Work Session February 1, 2016 City of West Linn Economic Opportunities Analysis City Council Work Session February 1, 2016

Goal 9: Economic Development To provide adequate opportunities throughout the state for a variety Goal 9: Economic Development To provide adequate opportunities throughout the state for a variety of economic activities, vital to the health, welfare and prosperity of Oregon’s citizens.

Economic Opportunities Analysis § Objectives: § Examine 20 -year employment land demand/supply to ensure Economic Opportunities Analysis § Objectives: § Examine 20 -year employment land demand/supply to ensure adequate supply § Preserve and protect land for industrial and employment uses § Develop a land use framework for local economic development strategy

Economic Land Needs (Demand) Outreach (2014) § Interviews § § § Chamber of Commerce Economic Land Needs (Demand) Outreach (2014) § Interviews § § § Chamber of Commerce Clackamas County I-205 Corporate Center Elected officials Real estate agents (2) § Questionnaire § Completed by 87 community members

Economic Land Needs (Demand) Demographic Trends (2014) § 1, 500 new households expected in Economic Land Needs (Demand) Demographic Trends (2014) § 1, 500 new households expected in West Linn by 2035 § Income and education in West Linn higher than other areas

Economic Land Needs (Demand) Economic Trends (2014) Visitor spending is up 2013 Clackamas County Economic Land Needs (Demand) Economic Trends (2014) Visitor spending is up 2013 Clackamas County Visitor Spending Accommodatio ns; $73. 20 Retail Sales; $87. 90 Hotel demand is rising $ 180, 000. 00 Clackamas County Lodging Tax Receipts; Average $ 160, 000. 00 $ 140, 000. 00 $ 120, 000. 00 $ 100, 000. 00 $ 80, 000. 00 Arts, Ent. & Rec. ; $47. 30 $ 60, 000. 00 Food Services; $131. 50 Local Tran. & Gas; $55. 60 $ 40, 000. 00 $ 20, 000. 00 $Qtr. 1 Qtr. 1 Lodging 2006 2007 2008 County (dollars) 2011 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Average 2012 2013 2004 2005 2006 Tax Receipts; Clackamas 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Food Stores; $33. 70

Economic Land Needs (Demand) Local Trends (2014) § Service and retail jobs show most Economic Land Needs (Demand) Local Trends (2014) § Service and retail jobs show most gains § Limited land supply may be restraining job growth

Economic Land Needs (Demand) Local Trends (2014) § Leading employers § Largest employment sectors Economic Land Needs (Demand) Local Trends (2014) § Leading employers § Largest employment sectors § Health care § Food services § Paper manufacturing § Education § Office

Key Cluster Attributes Low LQ LQ High Emerging Stars Proj. Growth rate Challenged Mature Key Cluster Attributes Low LQ LQ High Emerging Stars Proj. Growth rate Challenged Mature Low

West Linn Industries West Linn Industries

Target Clusters for West Linn § Health services - medical offices and ambulatory care Target Clusters for West Linn § Health services - medical offices and ambulatory care center § Professional and business services - finance, insurance, engineering § Accommodations - hotels and bed and breakfasts § Recreation/sports - could include major community sports complex that attracts regional and state competitive sporting events § Flex - with mix of commercial, arts and boutique manufacturing operations § Home-based occupations

Vacant Land Needs, 2035 Forecast Scenario A: Assumes that the Metro 20 -year employment Vacant Land Needs, 2035 Forecast Scenario A: Assumes that the Metro 20 -year employment forecast for West Linn is realized using an employment mix that resembles what exists in West Linn currently. Scenario B: Assumes that the Metro 20 -year employment forecast for West Linn is realized using an employment mix that trends less towards industrial and government/education and more towards retail and services. Buildable Acres

Vacant / Partially Vacant Land Supply Buildable Acres Vacant / Partially Vacant Land Supply Buildable Acres

Redevelopable Land Supply Buildable Acres Redevelopable Land Supply Buildable Acres

Short Term Inventory § Assisted living facilities § Home occupations Long Term Inventory § Short Term Inventory § Assisted living facilities § Home occupations Long Term Inventory § Arch Bridge-Bolton § Floodplain properties § ODOT I-205 maintenance parcel

Goals and Implementation Policies 1. Encourage the recruitment, retention, expansion and economic viability of Goals and Implementation Policies 1. Encourage the recruitment, retention, expansion and economic viability of West Linn business and industry. 2. Support tourism-related businesses and services. 3. Promote the efficient use of commercial and industrial land adequate to serve a range of employment opportunities in the City.

Updates since April 6 Planning Commission/ City Council meeting § § Provided raw survey Updates since April 6 Planning Commission/ City Council meeting § § Provided raw survey results. Removed Oregon City Golf Club from Exhibit 10. Added Restaurants and Assisted Living as target markets. Revised implementation policy to implement the “objectives and principles” of the Arch Bridge-Bolton Concept Plan. § Removed reference to observations of 100 year flood levels. § Provided explanation of Appendix B data. § Prepare final maps, addressing all comments to date.

Updates since July 29 Planning Commission hearing § Removed references to specific recommendations in Updates since July 29 Planning Commission hearing § Removed references to specific recommendations in Arch Bridge-Bolton Concept Plan § Changed Goal 2 to apply to tourism-related facilities and services § Added a policy to Goal 1 related to retail businesses. § Revised maps and data tables related to Savanna Oaks site, reduction of 1. 16 acres of buildable land § Fixed typo in Appendix C § Clarified context of outreach summary

City of West Linn Economic Opportunities Analysis City Council Work Session February 1, 2016 City of West Linn Economic Opportunities Analysis City Council Work Session February 1, 2016