ab52e8705e2b46aedb93b70d5d3b80e4.ppt
- Количество слайдов: 61
Chapter 2 Financial Statements, Cash Flow, and Taxes 1
Topics in Chapter n n n n Income statement Balance sheet Statement of cash flows Free cash flow MVA and EVA Corporate taxes Personal taxes 2
How can Financial Statements be used to increase value or make $ in Business n n Use to evaluate investment opportunities 1. Internal - From within company n n i. e. : investments in PPE to increase FCFs & value 2. External: n To make informed investment decisions into specific companies 3
Determinants of Intrinsic Value: Calculating FCF Sales revenues − Operating costs and taxes − Required investments in operating capital Free cash flow (FCF) Value = = FCF 1 FCF 2 FCF∞ + +. . . + (1 + WACC)1 (1 + WACC)2 (1 + WACC)∞ Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) Market interest rates Cost of debt Firm’s debt/equity mix Market risk aversion Cost of equity Firm’s business risk 4
Income Statement Revenue (Sales) -Costs (COGS) -Operating exp - Deprec. exp =EBIT Earnings b/4 interest & Taxes Op Income b/4 taxes -Int. expense =EBT Earnings b/4 taxes Taxable Income -Taxes Tax Expense = Net Income Profit NI / #shs c. stk =EPS Earning per share 5
Statement of Retained Earnings Beginning RE + NI -Divids Ending RE Divids / #shs c. stk =DPS 6
Difference b/w Interest Expense & Revenue Int. Exp from borrowing vs. Int. Revenue from Lending Rev -CGS -Exp =EBIT -Interest =EBT -Taxes =NI n 7
Balance Sheet ASSETS= LIABILITIES + OWNERS EQUITY Current Assets Current Liabilities Cash Accounts Receivable Accounts Payable Common Stock Inventory Accruals (other s/t payables) Addt’l Paid-in-Cap Prepaids S/T Notes Payable Prfd. Stock Marketable Securities Retained Earnings Non-Current Assets Non-Current Liabilities Property N/P Plant Mortgage Payable Equipment Bonds Payable -Accum Deprec 8
Income Statement 2010 2011 Sales $3, 432, 000 $5, 834, 400 COGS 2, 864, 000 4, 980, 000 340, 000 720, 000 18, 900 116, 960 3, 222, 900 5, 816, 960 209, 100 17, 440 62, 500 176, 000 146, 600 (158, 560) 58, 640 (63, 424) 87, 960 ($ 95, 136) Other expenses Deprec. Tot. op. costs EBIT Int. expense EBT Taxes (40%) Net income $ 9
What happened to sales and net income? n n Sales increased by over $2. 4 million. Costs shot up by more than sales. Net income was negative. However, the firm received a tax refund since it paid taxes of more than $63, 424 during the past two years. 10
Balance Sheet: Assets Cash S-T invest. AR Inventories Total CA Gross FA Less: Depr. Net FA Total assets $ 2010 9, 000 48, 600 351, 200 715, 200 1, 124, 000 491, 000 146, 200 344, 800 $1, 468, 800 $ 2011 7, 282 20, 000 632, 160 1, 287, 360 1, 946, 802 1, 202, 950 263, 160 939, 790 $2, 886, 592 11
Effect of Expansion on Assets n n n Net fixed assets almost tripled in size. AR and inventory almost doubled. Cash and short-term investments fell. 12
Balance Sheet: Liabilities & Equity Accts. payable Notes payable Accruals 2010 $ 145, 600 200, 000 136, 000 2011 $ 324, 000 720, 000 284, 960 Total CL Long-term debt Common stock Ret. earnings Total equity Total L&E 481, 600 323, 432 460, 000 203, 768 663, 768 $1, 468, 800 1, 328, 960 1, 000 460, 000 97, 632 557, 632 $2, 886, 592 13
What effect did the expansion have on liabilities & equity? n n CL increased as creditors and suppliers “financed” part of the expansion. Long-term debt increased to help finance the expansion. The company didn’t issue any stock. Retained earnings fell, due to the year’s negative net income and dividend payment. 14
I/S: Accrual vs. Cash Basis Accrual Revenue (Sales) Cash $100 (Credit sales) $0 -Operating exp -20 (cash exp) -20 - Deprec. exp -10 (non-cash exp) =NI $100 -Operating exp - Deprec. exp =NI <$20> cash basis $70 Revenue (Sales) 0 (Cash sales) $100 -20 (cash exp) -20 -10 (non-cash exp) $70 0 $80 Net Cash flow 15
OR: for 2 nd case Revenue (Sales) $100 -Operating exp - - Deprec. exp - 10 =NI +Deprec Exp (noncash) =Net Cash Flow 20 70 + 10 $80 16
Statement of Cash Flows: 2011 Operating Activities Net Income Adjustments: Depreciation Change in AR Change in inventories Change in AP Change in accruals Net cash provided (used) by ops. ($ 95, 136) 116, 960 (280, 960) (572, 160) 178, 400 148, 960 ($503, 936) 17
Stmt of CFs – Investing Activities Cash used to acquire FA Change in S-T invest. Net cash prov. (used) by inv. act. ($711, 950) 28, 600 ($683, 350) 18
Stmt of CFs – Financing Activities Change in notes payable $ 520, 000 Change in long-term debt 676, 568 Payment of cash dividends (11, 000) Net cash provided (used) by fin. act. $1, 185, 568 19
Summary of Statement of CF Net cash provided (used) by ops. ($ 503, 936) Net cash to acquire FA (683, 350) Net cash prov. (used) by fin. act. 1, 185, 568 Net change in cash (1, 718) Cash at beginning of year Cash at end of year 9, 000 $ 7, 282 20
What can you conclude from the statement of cash flows? n n Net CF from operations = -$503, 936, because of negative net income and increases in working capital. The firm spent $711, 950 on FA. The firm borrowed heavily and sold some short-term investments to meet its cash requirements. Even after borrowing, the cash account fell by $1, 718. 21
What is free cash flow (FCF)? Why is it important? n n FCF is the amount of cash available from operations for distribution to all investors (including stockholders and debtholders) after making the necessary investments to support operations. A company’s value depends on the amount of FCF it can generate. 22
What are the five uses of FCF? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Pay interest on debt. Pay back principal on debt. Pay dividends. Buy back stock. Buy nonoperating assets (e. g. , marketable securities, investments in other companies, etc. ) 23
Free cash flows (FCFs) n FCF= cash available for distribution to investors. Greater the FCF, more attractive that company is to investors. Therefore, value of the firm is primarily dependent on its expected future free cash flows! 24
One More IMPORTANT Step n Value of any business asset, financial or real depends on usable, after-tax cash flows the asset is expected to produce. 25
Calculating Free Cash Flow in 5 Easy Steps Step 1 Step 2 Earning before interest and taxes Operating current assets X (1 − Tax rate) − Operating current liabilities Net operating profit after taxes Net operating working capital Step 3 Net operating working capital + Operating long-term assets Total net operating capital Step 5 Step 4 Net operating profit after taxes Total net operating capital this year − Net investment in operating capital − Total net operating capital last year Free cash flow Net investment in operating capital 26
FREE CASH FLOWS (FCF) FCF = Net Operating Profit A/Tax – Change in Outlay for Operating Capital from prior year to current year. OR: FCF = NOPAT – Net Investment in Op. Capital 27
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Revenue (Sales) -Op exp incl CGS =EBIT Earnings b/4 interest & taxes Op Income b/4 taxes -Taxes Tax Expense =NOPAT OR NOPAT= EBIT(1 -tax rate) 28
Net Operating Working Capital (NOWC) Difference in C/A & C/L used to operate business. NOWC = CA CL NOWC= (cash+A/R+Inv) - (A/P + Accruals) All non-interest bearing CA & CL 29
Total Operating Capital = = NOWC + Net Plant & Equip. = S/T Op Cap + L/T Op Cap = Fixed Assets - Accum. Deprec =Net Fixed Assets 30
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT) NOPAT = EBIT(1 - Tax rate) NOPAT 11 = $17, 440(1 - 0. 4) = $10, 464. NOPAT 10 = $125, 460. 31
What are operating current assets? n Operating current assets are the CA needed to support operations. n n Op CA include: cash, inventory, receivables. Op CA exclude: short-term investments, because these are not a part of operations. 32
What are operating current liabilities? n Operating current liabilities are the CL resulting as a normal part of operations. n n Op CL include: accounts payable and accruals. Op CL exclude: notes payable, because this is a source of financing, not a part of operations. 33
Net Operating Working Capital (NOWC) NOWC = Operating CA Operating CL NOWC 11 = ($7, 282 + $632, 160 + $1, 287, 360) NOWC 10 - ($324, 000 + $284, 960) = $1, 317, 842. = $793, 800. 34
Total net operating capital (also called operating capital) n n n Operating Capital= NOWC + Net fixed assets. Operating Capital 2011 = $1, 317, 842 + $939, 790 = $2, 257, 632. Operating Capital 2010 = $1, 138, 600. 35
Free Cash Flow (FCF) for 2011 FCF = NOPAT - Net investment in operating capital = $10, 464 - ($2, 257, 632 - $1, 138, 600) = $10, 464 - $1, 119, 032 = -$1, 108, 568. How do you suppose investors reacted? 36
Uses of FCF After-tax interest payment = $105, 600 Reduction (increase) in debt = −$1, 196, 568 Payment of dividends = $11, 000 Repurchase (Issue) stock = $0 Purch. (Sale) of ST investments = −$28, 600 Total uses of FCF = −$1, 108, 568 37
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) ROIC = NOPAT / operating capital ROIC 11 = $10, 464 / $2, 257, 632 = 0. 5%. ROIC 10 = $125, 460 / $1, 138, 600 =11. 0%. 38
The firm’s cost of capital is 10%. Did the growth add value? n n No. The ROIC of 0. 5% is less than the WACC of 10%. Investors did not get the return they require. Note: High growth usually causes negative FCF (due to investment in capital), but that’s ok if ROIC > WACC. For example, in 2008 Qualcomm had high growth, negative FCF, but a high ROIC. 39
Economic Value Added (EVA) = Estimate of business’s true economic profit for yr. , which differs from acctg income. EVA = residual income that remains after cost of all capital (incl. equity capital) has been deducted from Net Operating Profit After-Tax (NOPAT), whereas, Acctg Income does not consider cost of equity capital, only debt. 40
Economic Value Added (EVA) = = NOPAT- (After-tax Cost of Capital) = NOPAT- ($ Total Op. Cap)(% Cost of Captl) = NOPAT – ($ Op. Cap)(WACC) n Where WACC is wtd. ave. cost of capital 41
Economic Value Added (EVA) n EVA = NOPAT- (After-tax Cost of Capital) EVA = NOPAT- (Total Capital)(WACC) n Where WACC is wtd. ave. cost of capital n 42
Economic Value Added (WACC = 10% for both years) EVA = NOPAT- (WACC)($ Op. Capital) EVA 11 = $10, 464 - (0. 1)($2, 257, 632) = $10, 464 - $225, 763 = -$215, 299. EVA 10 = $125, 460 - (0. 10)($1, 138, 600) = $125, 460 - $113, 860 = $11, 600. 43
Stock Price and Other Data 2010 2011 Stock price $8. 50 $6. 00 # of shares 100, 000 EPS=NI / (# shs o/s) $0. 88 -$0. 95 DPS=Divs / (# shs o/s) $0. 22 $0. 11 44
Market Value Added (MVA) n n n MVA = Market Value of the Firm - Book Value of the Firm Market Value = (# shares of stock)(price per share) + Value of debt Book Value = Total common equity + Value of debt (More…) 45
Market Value Added (MVA) n n MVA =Difference between market value of a firm’s stock and the amount of Equity capital supplied by Shareholders. Greater the MVA, greater the value generated for stockholders. MVA=Market Value of Equity - Book Value of Equity MV reflects future profitability, while BV represents historical cost 46
MVA (Continued) n n If the market value of debt is close to the book value of debt, then MVA is: MVA = Market value of equity – book value of equity 47
2011 MVA (Assume market value of debt = book value of debt. ) n Market Value of Equity 2011: n n Book Value of Equity 2011: n n n (100, 000)($6. 00) = $600, 000. $557, 632. MVA 11 = $600, 000 - $557, 632 = $42, 368. MVA 10 = $850, 000 - $663, 768 = $186, 232. 48
Key Features of the Tax Code n n Corporate Taxes Individual Taxes 49
2009 Corporate Tax Rates Taxable Income 0 -50, 000 - 75, 000 - 100, 000 - 335, 000 - 10 M - 15 M - 18. 3 M and up Tax on Base 0 7, 500 13, 750 22, 250 113, 900 3, 400, 000 5, 150, 000 6, 416, 667 Rate on amount above base 15% 25% 34% 39% 34% 35% 38% 35% 50
Features of Corporate Taxation n Progressive rate up until $18. 3 million taxable income. n n Below $18. 3 million, the marginal rate is not equal to the average rate. Above $18. 3 million, the marginal rate and the average rate are 35%. 51
Features of Corporate Taxes (Cont. ) n A corporation can: n n n deduct its interest expenses but not its dividend payments; carry back losses for two years, carry forward losses for 20 years. * exclude 70% of dividend income if it owns less than 20% of the company’s stock *Losses in 2001 and 2002 can be carried back for five years. 52
Example n n Assume a corporation has $100, 000 of taxable income from operations, $5, 000 of interest income, and $10, 000 of dividend income. What is its tax liability? 53
Example (Continued) Operating income Interest income Taxable dividend income Taxable income $100, 000 5, 000 3, 000* $108, 000 *Dividends - Exclusion = $10, 000 - 0. 7($10, 000) = $3, 000. 54
Example (Continued) Taxable Income = $108, 000 Tax on base = $22, 250 Amount over base = $108, 000 - $100, 000 = $8, 000 Tax = $22, 250 + 0. 39 ($8, 000) = $25, 370. 55
Key Features of Individual Taxation n n Individuals face progressive tax rates, from 10% to 35%. The rate on long-term (i. e. , more than one year) capital gains is 15%. But capital gains are only taxed if you sell the asset. Dividends are taxed at the same rate as capital gains. Interest on municipal (i. e. , state and local government) bonds is not subject to Federal taxation. 56
Taxable versus Tax Exempt Bonds n State and local government bonds (municipals, or “munis”) are generally exempt from federal taxes. 57
Exxon. Mobil bonds at 10% versus California muni bonds at 7% n T = Tax rate = 25. 0%. After-tax interest rate (%): Exxon. Mobil = 10%(1 -. 25) = 7. 5% CAL = 7%(1 - 0) = 7% n Better off investing where? n n n 58
Exxon. Mobil bonds at 10% versus California muni bonds at 7% n n n T = Tax rate = 25. 0%. After-tax interest income ($ basis): Exxon. Mobil = 0. 10($5, 000)(0. 25) Exxon. Mobil = 0. 10($5, 000)(0. 75) = $375. CAL = 0. 07($5, 000) - 0 = $350. 59
Breakeven Tax Rate n n At what tax rate would you be indifferent between the muni and the corporate bonds? Solve for T in this equation: Muni yield = Corp Yield(1 -T) 7. 00% = 10. 0%(1 -T) T = 30. 0%. 60
Implications n n n If T > 30%, buy tax exempt munis. If T < 30%, buy corporate bonds. Only high income, and hence high tax bracket, individuals should buy munis. 61