Buy Presentation for AGO ASSURED GUARANTY MUNICIPAL HOLDINGS INC
Sector – Financials Industry - Insurance • Assured Guaranty Ltd. , through its subsidiaries (Assured Guaranty Municipal, Assured Guaranty Corp, Assured Guaranty RE), provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets primarily in the United States, Europe, and Australia. • Market Cap $2. 71 B • Competitors (AFSI), (HCI), (THG), (KINS), (ITIC)
Possible Strategies • Buy 360 shares AGO between $13. 75 - $14. 00, $4, 950 - $5, 040 • Exit around $20. 00 (set sell limit at target) • Gain 43 – 45% around $2, 250 • Could hold till Book Value $24. 95 realized which would produce 81% gain around $4, 032
Stock Price • 52 week high – $19. 04 • 52 week low - $9. 22 • Current Price - $13. 95 • Price/Book -. 56 • Book Value - $24. 91
Key Statistics • Book Value per Share Growth (Last 5 Years) AGO +1. 16% Insurance Average +2. 22% • Cash Flow Growth Rate (Last 5 Years) AGO+37. 17% Insurance Average -5. 52% • EPS Growth (Last 5 Years) AGO +14. 22% Insurance Average -11. 76% • Projected EPS Growth (Next Year vs. This Year) AGO +4. 35% Insurance Average +11. 84%
Key Statistics • Revenue Growth (Last 5 Years) AGO+41. 11% Insurance Average +2. 82% • Profit Margin Most Recent Quarter Annualized AGO 42. 40% Insurance Average 8. 49% • Return on Sales Most. Recent. Quarter. Annualized AGO 42. 40% Insurance Average 8. 49% • ROI (Most Recent Quarter, Annualized) AGO 9. 84% Insurance Average 6. 92%
Key Statistics • Long Term Debt/Equity (Most Recent Quarter, Annualized) AGO 16. 96% Insurance Average 39. 05% • Total Debt/Equity (TTM) AGO 20. 24% Insurance Average 43. 16%
News Updates • Assured Guaranty Expands Municipal Bond Insurance Team by Business Wire — 9: 30 AM ET 11/09/2012 • Assured Guaranty, Flagstar make final pleas in key loans case by Reuters — 10: 54 PM ET 11/12/2012 • Assured is seeking $116 million in damages. The case is Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp v Flagstar Bank
1 Year Chart
Earnings - Actuals vs. Estimates by Fiscal Quarter • Actuals ## Estimates ##
Insider Transactions 08/29/2012 KENNY, PATRICK W. Director Acquisition (Non Open Market) 170 $13. 19 2. 2 K 59, 090 08/29/2012 FREDERICO, DOMINIC Acquisition (Non Open Market) 1, 467 $13. 19 19. 3 K 880, 332 08/29/2012 BREWER, RUSSELL B. Officer II Acquisition (Non Open Market) 229 $13. 19 3. 0 K 71, 132 08/29/2012 MICHENER, JAMES Secretary M. Acquisition (Non Open Market) 318 $13. 19 4. 2 K 231, 720 08/29/2012 SCOTT, WALTER A. Director Acquisition (Non Open Market) 166 $13. 19 2. 2 K 94, 146 08/29/2012 STERN, BRUCE E. Executive Officer Acquisition (Non Open Market) 229 $13. 19 3. 0 K 70, 036 08/29/2012 COZEN, STEPHEN A. Director Acquisition (Non Open Market) 99 $13. 19 1. 3 K 75, 246 08/29/2012 BORGES, FRANCISCO L Director Acquisition (Non Open Market) 44 $13. 19 580. 4 169, 924 08/29/2012 BUHL, G LAWRENCE Director Acquisition (Non Open Market) 99 $13. 19 1. 3 K 48, 687 08/29/2012 BARON, NEIL Acquisition (Non Open Market) 125 $13. 19 1. 6 K 38, 249 Chairman Director
SWOT Analysis
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