Building Up Defense Capabilities MG Jerzy BIZIEWSKI DCOS

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Building Up Defense Capabilities MG Jerzy BIZIEWSKI DCOS PLANS SHAPE NATO UNCLASSIFIED 1

AGENDA Ø NATO Defence Planning Process (NDPP) Overview: q NATO Defense Planning Model; q NATO Defense Planning Process: • • • Step 1. Political Guidance; Step 2. Determine Requirements; Step 3. Apportion Requirements and Set Targets; Step 4. Facilitate Implementation; Step 5. Review Results. Ø NDPP Enhancement. Ø Questions. NATO UNCLASSIFIED 2

NATO Defence Planning Model Establish Political Guidance Review Results Determine Requirements Improving Alliance Capabilities Facilitate Implementation Apportion Requirements Set Targets 5 steps, 4 -year cycle Provide the Operational Commander with continuously improved capabilities that are more tailored and more capable to meet the Alliance’s evolving missions, roles, and tasks NATO UNCLASSIFIED 3

NATO Defense Planning Process Step 5 Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Establish Political Guidance Determine Requirements Apportion Requirements and Set Targets Facilitate Implementation Review Results DPPC(R) RPPB NATO Strategic Concept Capability Requirements Review (CRR) approves DPST review & report (every four years) NATO SCs lead develops targets NATO Level of Ambition (LOA) (reviewed at least every four years) IS leads first draft further develop approve DPST endorse DPPC(R) submits NAC DPC NPG Ministers Head of State and Gov Phase 1: Analyse/ Interpret High Level Guidance BLOCK 1: ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS NATO Political Guidance ACO supports ACT leads (Bi-SC document) Guiding Principles (GP) & Planning Assumptions (PA) Develop Targets and apportion Multinational MC Phase 2: Capture Future Security Environment Mission Types (MT) & Generic Planning Situations (GPS) Lessons Learned notes reports Multilateral Examinations NATO agreed Intelligence MC 161 Future Trends BLOCK 2: REQUIREMENTS ANALYSIS MC Supplementary Guidance (MC 400, CRR, PSA, SRA) Phase 3: Requirements determination Minimum Capability Requirements (MCR) determination DPPC(R) submits NAC DPC NPG Planning domains Interoperability, Standardisation and Jointness Nations reply National – Multinational Implementation adopt Associated Risk develops and approves Summary report and prepares Risk Assessment NATO Capability Survey Ministers (including STANAGS, AP’s) SCs supports DPPC(R) (Bi-SC document) Dialogue with Planning Domains Phase 4: Integrated Cross-check of identified MCR Agreed Targets (28 -1) MTD*, CS, CHF, CAL, CC & CS Progress Report NATO Targets NATO Implementation Common-funded Targets DPST Burden Sharing Operations Alignment short-midlong term requirements RPPB SCs lead Reasonable challenge CUR LL Support Meetings with nations develops preliminary solutions Determine Capability Shortfall solutions (every two years) National (Reinvestment targets) DPST (Bi-SC document) Capability Review Draft packages (every four years) notes decides by exception Monitor Facilitate IS leads Identifies actions Ultimate Goal of NDPP: facilitate the timely identification, development and delivery of the necessary range of forces, as well as associated military and nonmilitary capabilities, to undertake the Alliance’s full spectrum of missions DPST Conduct NATO Capability Review DPST References: 1. PO(2009)0042, Outline Model for a NATO Defence Planning Process, 02 Apr 09 2. PO(2009)0079, Implementation and Transition Plan – NDPP, 10 Jun 09. 3. DSG(2009)0858, 8 Oct 09 4. Overhaul of the DRR working papers and presentations BLOCK 3: REQUIREMENTS ASSESSMENT * Acronyms: - MTD: Mission to Task Decomposition - CS: Case Studies - CHF: Capability Hierarchy Framework - CAL: Capability Assignment Logic - CC & CS: Capability Codes and Capability Statements NATO and nations existing & planned capabilities Phase 5: Gap analysis Compare MCR with existing & planned capabilities MC Suitability & Risk Assessment (Bi-SC document) IMS leads produces Capability surplus Reinvestment targets Risk Analysis Capability Shortfalls FORCE GENERATION ACO leads MC Priority Shortfall Areas (PSA) (Bi-SC recommendation) DPST MC DPPC(R) operations endorse NAC DPC NPG reviews and approves Ministers develops DPPC(R) endorse NATO Capabilities Progress Update presents notes submits Country’s draft assessments Meeting with assessments nations 1) prepares Phase 6: Shortfalls prioritisation Country’s draft assessmentsdraft Country’s assessments ACT supports Multilateral Meetings (28 - NATO Capabilities Report Capabilities to be maintained IS leads produces Bi-SC Suitability & Risk Assessment Synopsis of MCR including PSA (intermediate years) NATO UNCLASSIFIED 4 SHAPE CPP-CAM-FCR POC: CDR Manso. Version 2 (February 2011)

STEP 1 – ESTABLISH POLITICAL GUIDANCE [International Staff lead] NATO STRATEGIC CONCEPT POLITICAL GUIDANCE Lo. A MILITARY COMMITTEE SUPLEMENTARY GUIDANCE NATO UNCLASSIFIED 5

STEP 2 – Determine Requirements [ACT IN THE LEAD, ACO SUPPORTING] CAPABILITY REQUIREMENTS REVIEW HIGH LEVEL GUIDANCE Planning Assumptions FUTURE SECURITY ENVIRONMENT Planning Situations REQUIREMENTS DETERMINATION Minimum Capability Requirements GAP ANALYSIS Shortfalls, Surplus, To be maintained SHORTFALLS PRIORITISATION Bi-SC Priority Shortfall Areas NATO UNCLASSIFIED 6

STEP 3 – Apportion of Requirements, Set Targets [IS IN THE LEAD] DETERMINE SOLUTIONS DEVELOP TARGETS - National - NATO APPORTION TARGETS - Multinational RISK ASSESSMENT NATO UNCLASSIFIED 7

STEP 4 – Facilitate Implementations • Out of Cycle STEP. • NATO Initiatives: – Smart Defense – Framework Nation Concept – Connected Forces Initiative – Multinational Initiatives. NATO UNCLASSIFIED 8

STEP 5 – Review Results (every two years) CAPABILITY REVIEW DEFENCE PLANNING CAPABILITY SURVEY IS in the lead COUNTRY ASSESSMENT BI-LATERAL / MULTILATERAL MEETINGS IS in the lead CAPABILITIES REPORT MC SUITABILITY AND RISK ASSESSMENT NATO UNCLASSIFIED ACO in the lead 9

NDPP ENHANCEMENT • NDPP First Cycle weaknesses: – Harmonization; – Inflexibility; – Complexity. • Enhancing initiatives for all 5 steps of the process • IS is leading the overall E-NDPP package • SCs Tasking for STEP 2: – simple, less time consuming, adaptable; – analytical rigor, traceability and transparency are not compromised; – Allies to be able to assess the key elements of the process, through better understanding and visibility of its conduct. NATO UNCLASSIFIED 10

STEP 2 – Determine Requirements. • Enhance linkage between Operations and Defence Planning. • Short and Medium term. • Long term: set via a NATO vision i. e. NATO 2030. • Threat vs capability based approach. • Time & Space; • Resources Allocation; • Tasks; • Acquisition; • ……… SPECIFIC GENERIC ST 2019 MT NATO UNCLASSIFIED 2024 2030 LT 11 11

Questions? Thank you NATO UNCLASSIFIED 12

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