Big Change #1 TOP-DOWN COMMAND & CONTROL OLD SINGLE-CULTURE SINGLE -ORGANIZATION EQUITIES LEADERS DECIDE SECRET SOURCES & METHODS TIME IMPACT SHORT OBSCURE DETAIL TIME IMPACT LONG OBVIOUS DETAIL OPEN SOURCES & METHODS PEOPLE DECIDE MULTI-CULTURAL & TRANS-NATIONAL EQUITIES NEW BOTTOM-UP INFORMATION-SHARING
Big Change #2 I N F O R M A T I O N Available Information Actionable Intelligence The New Intelligence Gap: the difference between what you can know and what you can use! TIME Open source information is more complex than secrets…
New Craft of Intelligence China, Islam, Ethnic, Etc. Narrowly focused! I IV Lessons of History Spies & Secrecy II III Global Coverage National Intelligence Cost-Sharing with Others-Shared Early Warning Harness distributed intelligence of Nation
IV - Organizational Intelligence Out-Sourcing of Information Processing Organizational Memory System Data Visualization E-Commerce EXTERNAL CHUNKS (Intellectual Property) Patents, Etc. Meta-Data Automated Analysis Heterogeneous Search & Retrieval Data Conversion Environmental Monitoring Technology Monitoring Customer Monitoring Trade Secrets TECHNICAL Project/Group Management III - External Information Vendor Reporting Government Monitoring Knowledge Capital™ Rolodexes/E-Mail Expert Hires “Just Enough, Just in Time” Business Intelligence Institutionalized Local Knowledge HUMAN Training Personal Brand Cell # Churning (Rotationals) Internal Reporting INTERNAL I - Knowledge Management PERSONALITY (Insight/Intuition) Trip Reports II - Collaborative Work Copyright OSS. Net, Inc. © 2006. All Rights Reserved.
SECRET BIG DATA NOT SECRET BIG DATA • NSA-NGA • UN, Red Cross, NGOs… • SAIC • NASA , public geospatial • HARRIS • Factiva • NG-MS SECRET DISTRIBUTED DATA • Intelink S I P R N E T Open Source Information System – External (OSIS-X) • LEXIS-NEXIS NOT SECRET DISTRIBUTED DATA • CISCO • ARDA • Google/Libraries • ITIC • Amazon Inside the Book • JHU/APL • Napster Plus
HUMINT Point of Entry Raw Produces Actionable Intelligence SIGINT IMINT MASINT OPS OTHER Dots need to be connecting at every level, Including immediately upon ingestion. Processed Raw OPINTEL Finished Intelligence Policy Package Today, one third of the dots connect here. (Collect 2/3 rd, spill half—some say 80%) Public Perception HUMINT SIGINT IMINT MASINT OPS OTHER Credits: Mike Hayden, Original Concept; Robert Steele, Labels & OSINT-Ops-Other; Steve Edwards, Turned Upside Down
Open Literature Conversion of Paper Documents to Digital Form Automated Foreign Language Translation Clustering and Linking of Related Data NE W Processing Images, Video, Audio, Signal Data : In en t. N etw ork Restricted Information Automated Extraction of Data Elements From Text and Images Statistical Analysis to Reveal Anomalies Detection of Changing Trends Interactive Search and Retrieval of Data tel lig OLD: Non-Text Data Graphic and Map. Based Visualization of Data Notetaking and Organizing Ideas Collaborative Work En ab les Ap pli c Desktop Publishing and Word Processing ati on s. A t. A ll P oin t s Standardizing and Converting Data Formats Detection of Alert Situations Modeling and Simulations Structured Argument Analysis Production of Graphics, Videos and Online Briefings Revision Tracking and Realtime Group Review
Seven Intelligence Tribes: National The Way Ahead Religions & Clans NGO & Media Military Academic Law Enforcement Business
Focus of Global Effort Top Secret Tribal Secret Partial Sharing Shared Among Tribes Strategic Forecasting 10% Need, 40% Cost Primary Research & Experts on Demand 20% Need, 30% Cost Help Desk (Tell Me More Right Now) 30% Need, 20% Cost Daily/Weekly Reports 40% Need, 10% Cost
Creating the World Brain: Web-Based Virtual Intelligence Teams Expert Forum Shared Calendar Distance Learning Shared Rolodex OPG VPN Shared 24/7 Plot Virtual Library Virtual Budget Weekly Review
Regional Intelligence Center Deputy for Counterintelligence Japan Deputy for Covert Action Thailand
DELETED Putting It All Together Why Cisco, IBM, & Google Must Play Well Together NETWORK ARCHITECTURE: • processing in the bit stream • interoperation SEMANTIC ARCHITECTURE: • text-capable • scaled INTELLIGENCE ARCHITECTURE: • incorporates open sources, on and off line • matches global real time knowledge to individual situations
Competing Osint Models I Cold War Model—TIRED Obstructs information sharing Post 9 -11 Model—WIRED Facilitates information sharing Validated OSINT SI/TK Selective Importation Just Enough, Just in Time System High/Firewall Default to Validated OSINT CIA Open Source Center Approach Independent Open Source Agency Supporting IC, USG, & 7 Tribes
Competing OSINT Models II ADDNI/OS View of OSINT Concerned only with US IC Masint Imint Sigint Humint FI Osint Humint Sigint OSS CEO View of OSINT Decision-Support for Nation Imint Masint OSINT is both a supporting discipline, and an all-source discipline.
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