Barometer of Public Opinion May 2011 Institutul de

Barometer of Public Opinion May 2011 ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011

Information about the Poll • • • The poll was conducted on-site by CIVIS Centre for Sociological, Political and Psychological Analysis and Investigations Amount of the national sample: 1152 people aged 18 or more; additional sample in Chișinău municipality – 397 people; the total amount of the sample in Chișinău municipality - 662 people Representativeness: the national sample is representative for the adult population of the Republic of Moldova, with a maximal error of +3. 0%; The sample for Chişinău municipality is representative for the adult population of Chişinău municipality, with a maximal error of ± 4%. Period of data gathering: May, 6 – 24, 2011. The interviews were conducted at the respondents’ place. The analysis of the sample structure obtained on-site revealed the concordance between the distribution of the population according to the available statistical data and those obtained, with the admissible statistical deviation. A significant difference was remarked within the structure women/men, women being over-represented, and within age groups, young people and adults aged 18 -44 being under-represented The presented results are balanced. The difference between balanced and nonbalanced results does not overpass 1, 9% with regard to any question. ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011

Is our country moving towards a right or a wrong direction? ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011

To what extent are you, in general, content with your living? 40% National Chisinau 33% 35% 30% 25% 25% 20% 17% 20% 15% 10% 5% 4% 1% 2% 3% 0% Very content Rather content Neither content, nor ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 discontent Not so content Discontent DK/NA 30 mai, 2011 5

Assess the present income of your family 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 34% It is not enough at least for the essential 18% 40% It is enough just for the essential 46% It is enough for a decent living, but we cannot afford buying any expensive things 19% 27% We succeed to buy some expensive 4% things, after cutting 7% spending in other areas We have everything we need, with no restrictions DK/NA 1% 0% National Chisinau 2% 2% ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 6

Assess the present income of your family ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011

Which of the following statements describes the best the situation of your family? 0% We have savings which we intend to invest We have savings, but we do not know where to invest them We have savings, but we fear to invest them 20% 40% 60% 80% 2% 3% 1% National 1% Chisinau 2% 5% 13% We have savings, but we keep them for bad days 16% 69% We do not have financial resources to be invested 65% We do not have savings, because 4% we have -already invested them 3% DK/NA 9% ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 7% 30 mai, 2011 8

How often do you. …? (NATIONAL SAMPLE) Daily (6 -7 days a week) Several times a week Several times a month Once a month or more seldom Never, over the past 3 months DK/NA 28% Use Internet Read books 9% 9% 3% 10% 12% 2% 47% 12% 11% 51% 6% 3% 85% Watch TV 9% 1% 1% 48% Listen to the radio 9% Read newspapers 22% 19% 11% 9% 4% 17% 34% 1% 3% 5% ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% mai, 70% 30 80% 2011 90% 100% 9

How often do you …? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU) Daily (6 -7 days a week) Several times a week Several times a month Once a month or more seldom Never, over the past 3 months DK/NA Read books 9% 3% 2% 54% Use Internet 15% 17% 15% 4% 28% 15% 2% 36% 1% 1% 85% Watch TV Listen to the radio 14% Read newspapers 9% 43% 18% 22% ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 0% 10% 20% 30% 19% 40% 50% 9% 5% 11% 60% 2% 23% 33% 70% 0% 4% 80% 90% 30 mai, 2011 1% 100% 10

Which is the most important source of information for you? (NATIONAL SAMPLE) First Second 0% 20% 40% Television 71% 2% Newspapers Radio 8% 4% Friends, neighbours 2% 0% Rumours Public opinion polls Internet I am not informed at all ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 DK/NA 100% 16% 14% 0% 7% 12% 2% 2% 0% 0% Local government 80% 26% Family Job mates 60% 12% 0% 1% 15% 1% 0% 30 mai, 2011 11

Which is the most important source of information for you? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU) First Second 0% 10% 20% Television 3% 5% Local government 70% 80% 90% 18% 0% 7% 1% 0% Public opinion polls 60% 12% 3% Friends, neighbours Rumours 50% 20% Family Job mates 40% 65% Newspapers Radio 30% 10% 4% 1% 0% 1% Internet 23% 24% I am not informed at all DK/NA 0% ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 12

Which source of information do you trust in the most? 0% 20% 40% Radio Family Friends, neighbours Job mates Rumours Public opinion polls Local government 52% 3% 3% 8% 4% 5% 5% 3% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% NA Chisinau 24% 5% 4% None DK National 13% Internet I am not informed at all 80% 58% Television Newspapers 60% 0% 3% 2% 2% 1% ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 13

Which TV channels do you get informed from the oftenest? (NATIONAL SAMPLE) First 0% Second 10% 2 Plus 1% Eu TV 1% Jurnal TV 6% 20% 30% N 4 1% NIT 1% 11% Prime TV 17% 1% 10% 26% 23% 12% Publika TV 12% 3% STS (CTC) 1% 1% 5% 2% 2% TV 7 (NTV) DK/NA 60% 1% 29% Other TV channel 50% 5% Moldova 1 PRO TV 40% 5% 2% * Basis: 998 respondents for whom television is one of the most important sources of information 9% ©Institutul de Politici respondents 2011 * Basis: 998 Publice, for whom television is one of the most important sources of information 30 mai, 2011 14

Which TV channels do you get informed from the oftenest? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU) First 0% Second 10% 2 Plus 1% Eu TV 1% Jurnal TV 4% Prime TV 10% 12% 17% 27% 5% STS (CTC) 1% 2% 2% 1% Other TV channel 16% 8% TV 7 (NTV) DK/NA 13% 4% PRO TV Publika TV 50% 12% 17% NIT 40% 1% 13% N 4 30% 1% 9% Moldova 1 20% 6% 2% 7% ©Institutul Basis: 549 respondents for whom television is * de Politici Publice, 2011 one of the most important sources of information 30 mai, 2011 15

How often do you travel to EU countries? 0% Monthly or oftener 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 1% 1% National Once in 2 -3 months 1% Chisinau 2% Once in half a year Once a year More seldom than once a year 3% 4% 3% 7% 9% Never ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 14% 83% 72% 30 mai, 2011 16

Would you travel oftener to the EU, if there was no visa requirement? 50% National 50% Chisinau 45% 40% 34% 35% 30% 26% 25% 24% 25% 20% 15% 14% 15% 12% 10% 5% 0% Yes, for sure Yes, probably ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 No, probably No, for sure 30 mai, 2011 17

Which would be the goal of your travel to EU countries? Multiple response 84% 90% 80% National 68% 64% 70% 57% 60% 50% 42% 50% 33% 40% 30% Chisinau 23% 20% 2% 10% 3% 0% Tourism/leisure Business travel ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 Visit to relatives Labour Other 30 mai, 2011 18

Which is the probability for you to go to work to the EU in the coming 12 months? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 56% Improbable 53% 20% Little probable 21% 10% Neither probable, nor improbable 10% 9% Rather probable Very probable DK/NA ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 60% 11% 3% 4% 2% 1% National Chisinau 30 mai, 2011 19

Which is the probability for you to go TO WORK to the EU in the coming 12 months, if there was no visa requirement for travelling to the EU? 0% 10% 20% 40% 50% 44% Improbable 42% 18% Little probable 18% 9% Neither probable, nor improbable 9% 18% Rather probable 18% 9% Very probable DK/NA 30% 11% 2% National 2% Chisinau ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 20

If a referendum on the accession of the Republic of Moldova to the European Union is held next Sunday, would you vote for or against it? -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% I would vote for 70% 80% 64% 66% I would vote against it -15% -12% 3% I would not vote 3% 16% I have not decided yet 17% 2% 2% NA National Chisinau ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 21

If a referendum on the accession of the Republic of Moldova to NATO is held next Sunday, would you vote for or against it? -60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 30% 17% I would vote for I would vote against it 20% 25% -48% 5% 6% I would not take part in it 26% 16% National I have not decided yet Chisinau 7% 5% NA ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 22

To what extent are you concerned about politics? 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 12% Very much 17% 22% Much 28% Neither much, nor little 33% 25% Little 17% No concern DK/NA 35% 1% 1% 12% 10% National Chisinau ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 23

What is your attitude towards the involvement of business people in politics? 46% 50% National 40% 45% Chisinau 40% 35% 30% 22% 25% 22% 24% 25% 20% 13% 15% 8% 10% 5% 0% Positive Negative ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 Neutral /Indifferent DK/NA 30 mai, 2011 24

As a result of the involvement of business people in politics, the corruption …? 60% 52% National Chisinau 43% 50% 40% 29% 27% 30% 20% 16% 20% 8% 10% 5% 0% Will decrease Will not change Will increase DK/NA ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 25

To what extent do you trust in …? (NATIONAL SAMPLE) No trust / Not so much trust / Some trust / Very much trust - 90% - 70% - 50% - 30% - 41% - 10% - 33% 17% - 29% - 32% - 36% 22% - 19% - 22% -6% - 21% - 42% - 9% - 29% - 35% - 28% - 33% - 12% - 30% Parliament President 2% Courts 11% 39% 48% 34% 37% 16% 90% Government 3% Army Church 10% Local government Political parties 1% -28% 5% Banks -28% 29% 5% Police - 21% - 23% 70% 2% 17% -39% 50% 4% 19% - 34% - 42% 30% - 21% - 22% 12% 51% 23% 16% 3% 2% Media NGO-s Trade unions ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 Difference up to 100% represents DK/NA responses 30 mai, 2011 26

To what extent do you trust in …? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU) No trust / Not so much trust / Some trust / Very much trust -90% -70% -50% -30% -42% -10% -33% -44% 20% -35% -44% 16% -45% -43% -28% -30% -14% -30% -36% President -26% Courts 8% Army 40% Church 31% 10% Local government Political parties 1% 14% 6% 27% 21% -26% -27% 1% 34% -29% -37% -33% Parliament 33% -11% -12% -27% Government 2% 18% -26% 70% 3% 13% -33% -24% 50% 3% -30% -42% 30% Banks Police 4% 12% 47% 22% 16% 4% 3% Media NGO-s Trade unions ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 Difference up to 100% represents DK/NA responses 30 mai, 2011 27

To what extent do you trust in …? (Some trust +Very much trust) ©Institutul

Which is the political personality in the Republic of Moldova you trust in the most? (open-ended question) ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 29

To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities? (NATIONAL SAMPLE) I have not heard about No trust Not so much trust Some trust / Very much trust ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 Difference up to 100% represents NA 30 mai, 2011 30

To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU) I have not heard about No trust Not so much trust Some trust/ Very much trust ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 Difference up to 100% represents NA responses 30 mai, 2011 31

To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities? (Some trust + Very much trust) ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011

Would you go to voting, if legislative election is held in the Republic of Moldova next Sunday? -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 70% 25% 20% I would probably go 16% 12% I would probably not go NA 60% 59% I would go, for sure DK 50% 45% I would go, I am absolutely sure I would not go, for sure 40% -5% -4% -5% -3% 4% 2% National Chisinau 0% ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 33

What party would you vote for, if legislative election is held in the Republic of Moldova next Sunday? Percentage of the total sample 0% 10% Democratic Party 7% 30% 11% 13% Liberal Party People’s Christian-Democratic Party 20% 23% 1% 1% 27% 26% Party of Communists 19% 20% Liberal-Democratic Party Social-Democratic Party Other party An independent candidate I would not vote 0% 1% National 0% Chisinau 3% 5% DK NA 12% 19% 5% 6% ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 34

Local elections will be held on the 5 th of June 2011. Will you go to voting? -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% I would go, I am absolutely sure 40% 50% 60% 70% 53% 66% 25% I would go, for sure 16% I would probably go I would probably not go I would not go, for sure 13% 9% -3% -4% -3% DK/NA 2% National 2% Chisinau ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 35

Whose political party’s candidates to the function of district councillor will you vote for? Percentage of the total sample * Basis, national sample: 830 respondents outside Chişinău and Bălţi municipalities 0% 5% 10% Democratic Party 15% 20% 25% 30% 12% Liberal Party People’s Christian-Democratic Party of Communists 9% 0% 20% Liberal-Democratic Party Social-Democratic Party Other party An independent candidate 18% 1% 1% 0% I would not vote 4% DK NA 28% 7% ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 30 mai, 2011 36

Which party/parties you would not vote for in any case at local elections of 5 th of June 2011? Multiple response 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 10% Democratic Party 15% 24% 23% Liberal Party 15% People’s Christian-Democratic Party 11% 34% Party of Communists 43% 14% 17% Liberal-Democratic Party 9% Social-Democratic Party Other party DK NA ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 5% 1% 1% 17% 11% 18% 12% National Chisinau 30 mai, 2011 37

Whom will you vote for the function of General Mayor of the capital? 0% Sergiu Corobceanu (Social-Democratic Party) 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% - Victor Bodiu (Liberal-Democratic Party) 2% Radu Busila (People’s Christian-Democratic Party) 0% Valentin Krylov (Party of Socialists) Percentage of the total sample 0% Oleg Oniscenko (“Casa Noastra Moldova”) - 0% Igor Dodon (Party of Communists) 26% Valeriu Klimenko (“Ravnopravie” Social-political Movement) - 0% Vitalia Pavlicenco (National-Liberal Party) Maia Laguta ( “Patriotii Moldovei” Party) 1% Valentina Buliga (Democratic Party) 4% Valeriu Plesca ( “Forta a treia” Electoral block) Mihai Manoli (People’s Democratic Party) Dorin Chirtoaca (Liberal Party) 39% Other candidate 0% I will not vote in Chisinau, because I do not have a legal residence ©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011 NA 3% 1% DK 12% 30 mai, 2011 38

Impact of participation in voting on the score: example Dorin Chirtoacă Presence to voting 39% 66% 16% 9% 64% 11% 36% 62% 17% 10% 40% I would go to voting, I am sure 45% I would go to voting, I am absolutely sure 73% 14% 7% 67% 30 mai, 2011 23% 7% TOTAL I would probably go to voting 18 - 29 years old 30 - 44 years old Age 45 - 59 years old ©Institutul 60 +Politici old de years Publice, 2011 23%