Asset Plus Practice Changes and Judgements Delivered to

Asset. Plus Practice Changes and Judgements Delivered to YOTs and secure establishments in September 2014

House keeping • Fire Alarms / Exits • Venue specifics • Refreshments • Questions throughout

Agenda • 1. Project Update and Framework Overview • 2. Information Gathering - 20 mins - 45 mins - - - - - - - BREAK - - - - - - 15 mins • 3. Professional Judgement • 4. Explanations and Conclusions 1 - 15 mins - 75 mins - - - - - - - LUNCH - - - - - - 45 mins • • 5. Explanations and Conclusions 2 6. Pathways and Planning 7. Asset. Plus Framework Detail 8. Questions and Close - 30 mins - 15 mins

Objectives • Provide an update on current project status • To continue the familiarisation process with the key areas of change that the Asset. Plus framework introduces • To convey the details of how Asset. Plus judgements differ from Asset • To explain how the assessment links to planning • To provide attendees the opportunity to ask questions to gain an understanding of the key areas of change

Project status update (as at Oct ’ 14) Business Change • The earliest start of deployment to tranche 1 YOTs will commence in June 2015 with business change engagement starting in December 2014/January 2015 • Deployment planning for tranches 2 and 3 is in progress – project has emailed Ho. S and Change Leads with allocations to confirm • The Asset. Plus framework questions were released to Change Leads in July, Asset. Plus Guidance document was released in August • Business change activities are ongoing • Identifying the secure estate points of contact by end of October prior to YOT tranche 1 direct engagement • Future releases of early practice changes are being considered • Requested local trainer nominations from YOTs Technical • Second round of technical readiness calls nearing completion • Assessment of impact of Asset. Plus on e. Asset, YJMIS and Connectivity has been conducted and high-level design work is now underway • CMS suppliers have begun Asset. Plus user interface development work • Envisage last set of requirements was baselined and released at the end of September

Business Change: Local Implementation Plan LOCAL PREPARATION Key Milestones Month 1 LOCAL IMPLEMENTATION Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Initial planning briefing Plan agreed and signed off by Ho. S Initial briefing with Mgmt Board Checkpoint Mtg Assessment and Planning Training Resource completed Working practice changes agreed Checkpoint Mtg Benefits baselined Train the Trainer completed Complete local Asset. Plus plan Business Change activities Month 7 Early Practice Changes Working practice changes Complete local TNA Complete Training Plan Foundation Training Train the Trainer Comms planning Comms development & distribution Benefits management Regular Fortnightly conference calls will be held between Business Advisor and Change Lead Cascade Training completed Go Live

Training • Development of Foundation Training and other training modules ongoing with internal and external reviewers • LPAs are working with all YOTs to help address any assessment skills gaps within YOTs that were identified in their Training Needs Analysis

INFORMATION GATHERING Personal, Family and Social Factors What’s Changed from the ‘Core Profile’ Asset? • Further exploration triggers need to answer certain questions rather than all being required and less open questions • Identify areas throughout that may need further action later on • Specific questions are included to assess the young person as a parent and young people’s gambling habits • Information for Core Profile is now covered in three separate sections: Personal, Family & Social Factors, Offending & Anti-Social Behaviour and Foundations for Change • Domain scores for each ‘Asset’ are not captured at the end of each section (analysis now done in the Explanations & Conclusions section) • Incorporates screening tools to identify potential requirement for specialist assessments: Physical and Mental Health Screening Questions AUDIT Speech, Language and Communication Needs (SLCN)

Family and wider networks – Gang associations Mother’s partner Grandfather Sister Xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx Xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxx Xxxxxxxx xxxxx Please select Yes x x Xxxxxxxx xxxxx School class Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx Sister’s friends Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx No Yes

Sexual Exploitation How the young person relates to others Key indicators for sexual exploitation and trafficking: - going missing for periods of time - disengagement from education - appearing with unexplained gifts or new possessions - sexual health issues - changes in temperament/depression Barnardos (2011) Living arrangements, housing and financial considerations ‘Repeat missing’ young people can be at significant risk of sexual exploitation (Barnardos, 2007) and this possibility should also be considered as part of the assessment.

INFORMATION GATHERING Self-Assessment What’s Changed from the ‘What do you think’ Asset and ‘Over to you’ (Onset)? • Option to use a version in a first person OR third person format • Questions in a more young person friendly style • Addition of questions relating to: • • How the young person feels about working with the YOT/Probation Specific self-assessment questions (bail, custody, review, custody review & end of intervention), which will appear/not appear depending on the where the young person is in the youth justice system and their case type • Inclusion of a parent/carer self-assessment • Can be completed online or completed offline and attached to the assessment

Some new areas in the young person self-assessment

INFORMATION GATHERING Offending and Anti-Social Behaviour What’s Changed from the ‘Core Profile’ Asset? Year 1 o o Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Time Offences are increasing in seriousness although there was a period of primary desistance. There are no obvious timing patterns. o Year 1 o o Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Time Offences are decreasing in seriousness although there was a period of primary desistance. There are no obvious timing patterns. Seriousness o Seriousness Offence details are grouped into episodes Offence details and attitudes considered together Different questions/sub-sections shown if case is prevention vs. statutory Previous offences are displayed in graphical form to identify patterns and behaviour changes: Seriousness • • o Year 1 o o o Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Time Offences are at a consistent level of seriousness but always at the same time of year. There have been no sustained periods of desistance.

Offending - details, location, characteristics Details: • Offence Category • Offence Type • Offence Start Date • Offence End Date • Seriousness • Specified offence?

INFORMATION GATHERING Foundations for Change What’s Changed from the ‘Core Profile’ Asset? • ‘Asset Core Profile Positive Factors’ section is replaced, strengths are now captured throughout information gathering and have a significant input to analysis and ratings • Starts to consider Resilience and Goals, Opportunities, Engagement and Participation • Opportunity to Identify factors (for and against) in the desistance matrix prior to analysis: FACTORS FOR DESISTANCE Positive relationship with grandfather FACTORS AGAINST DESISTANCE Regular cocaine usage

Foundations for Change - desistance table Desistance = ceasing and/or refraining from offending or other antisocial behaviour

Professional Judgement is not new Professional Judgement is weighing up information gathered to come to a conclusion Conclusions How does the information match up with what I observed? Theory Research Practice What are the reasons for the young person’s behaviour? What are they likely to do next? How to address their behaviour? A key part of professional judgement is recognising patterns and meanings in complex information. Supporting Evidence Where to gather additional info?

Replacement of Asset scores The new framework no longer has domain scores individually or has an overall young person Asset score for a number of reasons: • To remove the over-reliance on a single score for a wide range of purposes • To remove the current inconsistency in Asset scoring within and across YOTs • To ensure Assessment ratings reflect factors that promote desistance in addition to factors that lead to re-offending • To ensure referrals based on welfare related needs are captured more effectively • To increase the ability to evidence Professional Judgement

Asset. Plus ratings Asset. Plus instead introduces a number of new measures and young person ratings: 1. Factors for and against Desistance 2. YOGRS (Youth Offender Group Reconviction Scale) Score 3. Likelihood of Reoffending Judgement 4. Matrices for Future Behaviour and Safety and Well-being 5. Risk of Serious Harm Judgement 6. Overall Level of Concern for the young person’s Safety and Well-being

Explanations and Conclusions Overview • A distinct area to enable practitioners to pull together and analyse elements collected in the Information Gathering section • Three sub-sections: • Understanding Offending Behaviour • Future Behaviour • Safety and Well-being • Tables and diagrams to help practitioners understand the relationship between key life events and offending/ASB • Matrices to rate the likelihood and impact of harmful behaviour in relation to the young person’s offending and for the young persons safety and wellbeing both in the community and custody. • Make Judgements on Future Behaviour and the overall level of concern regarding safety and wellbeing • Management countersignature

Explanations and Conclusions Identifying patterns May 2012 Met girlfriend March 13 Broke up with girlfriend February 13 July 13 Homeless November 13 Granddad died FIP involvement Referral order OOCD YISP Met girlfriend Broke up with girlfriend 5 Granddad died Burglary Homeless 4 3 Violence 2 Theft 1 May 14 - Apr 14 - Mar 14 - Feb 14 - Jan 14 - Dec 13 - Nov 13 - Oct 13 - Sep 13 - Aug 13 - Jul 13 - Jun 13 - May 13 - Apr 13 - Mar 13 Feb 13 - Jan 13 - Dec 12 Nov 12 - Oct 12 - Sep 12 - Aug 12 - Jul 12 - Jun 12 - May 12 - Apr 12 - Mar 12 - Feb 12 - Jan 12 - Bullying 0

Explanations and Conclusions Identifying patterns

Explanations and Conclusions Factors affecting desistance

Explanations and Conclusions Desistance Matrix - Categories and Ratings Desistance Matrix - Categories Attitudes of Offending/Behaviours Living arrangements, housing and financial considerations Social and community/ neighbourhood Parenting, Care and Supervision Family and wider networks Care History How the young person relates to others Physical Health & development Speech, Language, Communication & Neuro-disability Emotional development and mental health Substance misuse Features of Lifestyle Self- identity Young person as a parent Thinking and behaviour Learning, Education, Training & Employment Resilience and goals Engagement & Participation Potential: this covers factors which haven’t necessarily been associated with previous offending /desistance and are not yet currently occurring but might feasibly happen Weak: this covers factors which have a slight or occasional link to offending (‘against’) or desistance (‘for’) Moderate: factors which are sometimes associated with either offending (‘against’) or desistance (‘for’); and/or factors which are influential in conjunction with the occurrence of other factors Strong: factors which are clearly and directly associated with each occurrence of either offending (‘against’) or desistance (‘for’).

Explanations and Conclusions – desistance table Rating Factors for Desistance Category / Reduced Offending Factors against Desistance Give reasons for the ratings, particularly where a factor (either for or against desistance) has been identified as ‘strong’. e. g. young person has specific reason or motivation to stay out of trouble, deeply entrenched problem, young person has little control over the factor etc. Rating

Explanations and Conclusions Predicting Future Behaviour

Explanations and Conclusions Exploring harm/ Predicting Future Behaviour

Explanations and Conclusions Exploring harm/ Predicting Future Behaviour Future behaviours / offence Rating Slight Minor Medium Major Critical Example Recovery immediate or no recovery required Recovery in the short term (<1 month) Recovery in the medium term (1 to 6 months) Recovery in the long term (>6 months) or incomplete No recovery possible

Explanations and Conclusions Exploring harm Context for behaviour, likelihood and imminence When might the behaviour occur and in what circumstances? Please consider the following: Circumstances; Context; Capacity; Creating opportunities; Imminence Bullying/Aggression toward others - L uses bullying tactics to try and get decisions to go in his favour and to gain money from family members. The home have put in place strategies to support the boys by using reward charts and penalties which L and OT have responded well to - this has therefore reduced in likelihood at this time. L looks bigger than his age and uses his height and build to intimidate people - to date this been people he knows and has a relationship with. Mum struggles to put in boundaries and feels guilty he is in care, she eventually gives in to demands. He has never been in custody and is nervous at the prospect he has said he has heard that the best thing to do would be to hit someone so no one will start on him. He is not known to have physically harmed anyone to date even under provocation. (L was punched in the arm in his previous home by another boy). L has tried these tactics with Residential staff - they have said that this soon stopped once he realised this tactic wasn't going to work. Please now rate the likelihood of these behaviours occurring: Behaviour / offence Bullying Arson/Fire setting Aggression towards others Bullying Victim Family members Peers Residential staff Public Peers Impact on others Medium Minor Major Medium Likelihood Almost certain/Certain Very likely Possible Very likely Likely Possible Community/custody Community and custody Community and custody Custody

Explanations and Conclusions Summary section Click to add priority for Intervention: Impact Matrix of impact / likelihood judgements: Community Likelihood Unlikely Possible Likely Very likely Almost certain/Certain Slight Bullying - Residential Staff Minor Bullying - Family Medium Aggression toward others - Peers Bullying - Peers Major Arson/Fire setting - Public Critical Impact Matrix of impact/likelihood judgements: Custody Unlikely Possible Likely Slight Bullying - Residential Staff Minor Aggression toward others - Peers Medium Bullying - Peers Major Critical Assessed as risk No to children? YOGRS Very likely Almost certain/Certain Bullying - Family ROSH judgement: High 67% Indicative Likelihood of Reoffending: Medium Likelihood of Reoffending: igh H How do your own judgements compare with the YOGRS indicator and indicative Likelihood of Reoffending above? If different, consider the reasons why (e. g. recent change in dynamic factors) and whether, based on your assessment, the indicative Likelihood of Reoffending is correct Whilst YOGRS has indicated that L is a Medium Lo. R, I am concerned that L appears preoccupied with fire setting and has now been convicted of 2 offences in a three month period. The police are also investigating a recent spate of garage fires in the area which L is a suspect.

YOGRS (Youth Offender Group Reconviction Scale) What is YOGRS? • Static predictor • Indicative likelihood of reoffending rating • Based on a sample of young people • Calculated using 10 factors • Counts previous sanctions including OOCD’s • Rating expressed as a percentage Why YOGRS • Actuarial predictions have a high level of accuracy in predicting outcomes • OGRS is robustly tested and used by NOMS and including it in Asset. Plus helps with youth to adult transition • The Juvenile Cohort Study (JCS) validated the use of OGRS 3

YOGRS and Indicative Lo. R How are they calculated? YOGRS provides an estimate for: The probability of reconviction between this period Start of non-custodial sentence or date of release from custody Vs. + 2 years It is the reconviction rate of a sample group with similar factors/offending histories to the young person, including: The percentage likelihood translates into an indicative Lo. R as below: • Gender • Offence category • Offending history status YOGRS Score 0 -43% 44 -76% 77 -100% Indicative Lo. R rating Low • Age at time of actual/earliest release/start of order • Age at time of sentence • A variable rate Mediu m High Likelihood of Reoffending – How is it determined? Based on consideration of the dynamic factors you identify in your assessment and risks highest on the ‘likelihood’ scale (in custody or community) You will decide whether you agree with the indicative Lo. R percentage or not. 0 -43% 44 -76% 77 -100% YOGRS Score Low Medium High Indicative Lo. R Behaviour 2 Impact Behaviour 1 Behaviour 3 Likelihood You will then need to provide your own rating and explain why it agrees or disagrees with the indicative Lo. R. High

Risk of Serious Harm Whilst your analysis should identify all future risks associated with harmful behaviour you will also need to identify whether the young person poses any risk of serious harm (Ro. SH), defined as: ‘Death or injury (either physical or psychological) which is life threatening and/or traumatic and from which recovery is expected to be difficult, incomplete or impossible’ This is crucial to inform the intervention level required to protect the public. Your assessment of Ro. SH should consider: 1. The dynamic factors and ratings you identified in your analysis 2. The future behaviours you identified with particular reference to those with highest ‘impact’ Likelihood Impact Unlikely Possible Likely Very Likely Almost Certain / Certain Slight Minor Medium Behaviour 1 Behaviour 3 Behaviour 2 Major Critical 3. The likely victims and the young person’s accessibility/opportunity to target them (should be reflected in the likelihood scale) 4. The context and expected imminence of the harmful behaviour

Explanations and Conclusions MAPPA

Explanations and Conclusions Exploring harm/ Predicting Future Behaviour Future behaviours / offence Rating Slight Minor Medium Major Critical Example Recovery immediate or no recovery required Recovery in the short term (<1 month) Recovery in the medium term (1 to 6 months) Recovery in the long term (>6 months) or incomplete No recovery possible

Young person’s Future Behaviour Handout Nature of behaviour: Include any particular concerns regarding targeting or vulnerable victims Context for behaviour, likelihood and imminence When might the behaviour occur and in what circumstances? Please consider the following: Circumstances; Context; Capacity; Creating opportunities; Imminence Please now rate the likelihood of these behaviours occurring: Behaviour / offence Victim Impact on others Likelihood Community/custody

Explanations and Conclusions Young person’s Safety and Well-being Explanations & Conclusions Identify Patterns of Offending & Connections with Life Events FOR AGAINST Rate Desistance Factors Based on Influence on Offending Predict Future Behaviour based on balance of factors & past events. Make ROSH, Lo. R Judgements Predict Future adverse outcomes based on balance of factors & past events. Make safety & wellbeing judgements

Young person’s Safety and Well-being

Safety and Well-being assessment Adverse outcomes, impacts Bullying Death Domestic Abuse Emotional Harm Emotional Abuse Homelessness Neglect Physical Abuse Physical Harm Sexual Abuse Sexual Exploitation Other (please specify) Rating Slight Minor Medium Major Critical Example Recovery immediate or no recovery required Recovery in the short term (<1 month) Recovery in the medium term (1 to 6 months) Recovery in the long term (>6 months) or incomplete No recovery possible

Young person’s Safety and Well-being Context, likelihood and imminence When might the problem occur and in what circumstances? • Possible trigger events/other significant changes in circumstance looming • Current constraints on others who might hurt him/her will be imposed / removed in near future • Likely to get into situations where could experience harm T is currently in Custody and is being verbally bullied at night by other young people (TU, KN, LD) taunting him to self harm, T regularly self harms, in the community he does this by cutting usually with glass to his arms and legs. In custody he head bangs - staff are aware and he is currently on a ACCT - and he is being monitored throughout the day and at 15 minute intervals at night, which has seemed to make things better for T, and the bulling at this time is said to have stopped. T has a history of sexual abuse which continues to affect his emotional wellbeing - he no longer has contact with his abusers however the effects of this abuse are still present and he still has Adverse Outcome Bullying Physical Harm Emotional harm Homelessness Sexual Abuse Impact Major Critical Major Medium Major Likelihood Almost certain/Certain Likely Possible Community/custody** Community and custody Community

Young person’s Safety and Well-being Unlikely Impact Summary section Custody Matrix of impact / likelihood judgements: Slight Minor Medium Major Critical Community Matrix of impact / likelihood judgements: Slight Minor Medium Major Critical Possible Homelessness Sexual abuse Unlikely Possible Homelessness Sexual abuse Likelihood Likely Very likely Emotional Harm Likelihood Likely Emotional Harm Overall safety and wellbeing judgement: Very High Almost certain/Certain Bullying Physiscal Harm Very likely Almost certain/Certain Bullying Physiscal Harm

Pathways and Planning What’s Changed from the ‘Core Profile’ Asset? • One single plan directly linked to the assessment • Judgements made in the Explanations and Conclusions are pulled through • A young person friendly plan • Subsections of Pathways and Planning: • Intervention Indicators • Key Areas of Intervention • Resources and Proposals • Tailoring Interventions • Overall Progress • Our Intervention Plan • Additional External Controls/Actions • Mobility and ROTL (custody cases only) • Dealing with Changing Circumstances • Managerial Countersignature

Integrated planning in Asset. Plus Sentence Plan Vulnerability Management Plan (VMP) Risk Management Plan (RMP) Intervention Plan Remand Plan Asset. Plus Single Integrated Plan

Intervention indicators

Key areas of intervention

Resources and proposals

Tailoring Interventions

Our Intervention Plan - targets

Intervention Plan - progress

Other Information

Additional External controls / actions

Additional Information

Mobility and ROTL

Dealing with changing circumstances

Project Team Jill Thibaut Project Manager Mehroze Ravi Mel Grabham Technical Lead John Conn Technical Analyst Aleksandra Matvejeva Technical Team Support Imran Mahmood Business Change Lead Paul Donnelly Business Change Adviser Duncan Hodgson Business Change Adviser Anna Hacche Business Change Adviser Lisa Clarke Business Change Adviser Mel Peace Lead Local Partnership Adviser Camilla Stevenson Communications Lead Cordelle Cabey Project Support Technical Change Manager

Where to find more information • Asset. Plus webpage (where you will find the Early Practice Changes): о http: //www. justice. gov. uk/youth-justice/assessment/assetplus • Frequently Asked Questions о http: //www. justice. gov. uk/youthjustice/assessment/assetplus-frequently-asked-questions • Model document – what is included in Asset. Plus and why о http: //www. justice. gov. uk/images/yjb/assetplus-assessment-andplanning-interventions. pdf • YJB YJ bulletin. To sign up: http: //www. justice. gov. uk/youthjustice/yjbulletin.

Questions and Close