1af18d985cd5213c65af177cc0b9e487.ppt
- Количество слайдов: 60
An Introduction to Terrorism Part I: Terrorist objectives, methods, and their psychological impact Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D. Department of Psychology University at Buffalo Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D. www. Psychologyof. Terrorism. com
Defining “Terrorism” l l There is not a one-size-fits-all definition that adequately describes all cases that might be considered terrorism There are, however, some common features for most cases that can be readily identified by considering the “terrorist’s” motivation and its relationship to pathological behavior Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terrorist’s Objective l To affect political, social, economic, or religious change through the use of fear and intimidation • unable to accomplish objectives through democratic or other legitimate process • unable to directly confront their opposition militarily Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
An Alternative View of the Terrorist l In contradistinction to the often held stereotypic view of terrorists as evil people desiring to inflict pain and suffering on others • the terrorist might be considered by some to be a victim of circumstances • this “reactionary model” of terrorism suggests that the terrorist turns to terrorist activity because it is the only means available to achieve their objective involving a justifiable and positive societal change from their perspective l Terrorists in some cases may seem to have surprisingly “altruistic” motives Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Difference Between Terror & Terrorism l l Terror involves inflicting fear and anxiety on the victim(s) Terror can be goal oriented or gratuitous • produce “positive” political, social, economic, or religious change • extortion for financial gain • pathological desire to inflict suffering Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Three Primary Motivational Dimensions to Consider Terrorism “positive” societal change Criminal Terror financial gain TERROR Ps Di ych sp o Be lac log Co ha em ica nd vio en l fa itio r t ct ni or ng s inflict suffering Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D. Pathological Terror
Terrorism & Criminal Terrorism is directed towards “positive” change for a larger group • seldom ‘self-serving’ often ‘sacrificing’ l Criminal terror benefits the individual • extortion for financial or social gain • often involves frank or borderline psychopathology Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Self-Perception of Individuals using Terror l l l Terrorist usually view themselves as the “good guys” and their opponents as the “bad guys” Individuals employing criminal terror often (not but always) realize they are the “bad guys” Individuals displaying pathological terror probably don’t care (i. e. , distinguish “good” from “evil”) Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terrorism & Pathological Terrorists seek change through the use of fear and intimidation • but this seldom involves mentally disturbed individuals l Some people use terror gratuitously • this usually involves mentally disturbed individuals Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Pathological Terror as a Terrorist Tool l Some degree of pathological terror can be useful to terrorist organizations, but Those motivated primarily by pathological terror are mentally unstable and not constrained by the terrorists’ agenda Therefore they are usually a threat to the organization and excluded or only marginally involved (e. g. , suicide bomber) Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Other Potentially Important Variables l Aggressive behavior can also be produced or amplified by other psychological processes • Frustration-aggression behavior • Classic displacement behavior • Conditioning hate and fear l Motivational variables give directionality to behavior Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Types of Terror Type Motivational Attributes Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terror & Psychopathology Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Relationship among Terrorism, Criminal Terror, & Psychopathology Criminal Terrorism Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Usual Criteria for Formal Definitions of “Terrorism” Several other terms are commonly found in government definitions of terrorism • Unlawful act • Violence or threat of violence • Acts against Noncombatants But are these qualifiers useful or too restrictive? Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terrorism as an “unlawful act” • Of course it’s unlawful from the perspective of the government ‘victims’ who make the laws • Silly legal jargon to insure criminal prosecution of terrorists? Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terrorism as a “violent act” • Does it really have to threaten physical violence? • What about forms of cyberterrorism not involving physical harm (e. g. , financial ruin)? • What about rape (cf. psychological vs. physical harm)? Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
l Terrorism as an act against “noncombatants” • Perhaps it is important to exclude military personnel from definitions of terrorist attacks, but what about law enforcement officers? • What about military personnel not performing combat duties? Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
l Academic definitions should be transcultural and should contain criteria even the terrorist would agree with “Yes, I’m a terrorist, but my cause is just. ” l This type of definition defines the ‘territory’ in an impartial fashion Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terrorist’s ‘Weapons’ l l Kidnapping & hostage taking Assassination Improvised Explosive Device (IED) CBRN (cf. NBC) • • l chemical (e. g. , sarin gas) biological (e. g. , anthrax) radiological dispersal (e. g. , dirty bomb) nuclear (i. e. , mass destruction) New millennium—new methods • cyber-terrorism • other ‘non-violent’ threats? Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terrorist’s Method to Accomplish Goals l To instill “terror” in target audience to force capitulation • often by using the most terrifying means available (see note below) , including • kidnapping, assassination, IEDs, CBRNs • by affecting many more people than directly affected by physical actions • media and government-response play a critical role in the impact of terrorism Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terrorists’ Targets: Hard and Soft l Hard targets • high-ranking government officials • military bases • fortified police stations (e. g. , Northern Ireland) l Soft targets • • individual civilians shopping areas schools cultural, sporting, & religious venues Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Widening the “Target” to ‘Hit the Mark’ Level 1: Government Leaders Level 2: Police & Military Level 3: Government Workers Level 4: Civilian Supporters Level 5: All Civilians Terrorists increase their range of targets to achieve their goal. Most terrorist organizations include civilian targets, often preferred over hard targets. Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Target Impact-Value l l Most people probably believe that hard targets have a higher impact value than soft targets This is generally true for conventional military campaigns, but this is not true for terrorist campaigns against democracies Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Freedom’s Paradox: You can surrender it to terror! Terrorist tactics probably work best against democracies, where targeting civilian populations has the greatest impact (i. e. , civilians elect the government which sets the policy the terrorists wish to change) Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terror Value of Soft Targets In addition to being easier to attack, soft targets actually have a higher terror value for the average citizen than do most hard targets (e. g. , killing people “like me” makes the threat more personal and increases the individual terror value) Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Tokyo Subway Attack (Sarin gas attack by Aum Shinri-kyo cult, 20 March 1995) 12 Killed Photo from www. tofugu. com 5, 700 physically injured Photo from www. ait. org. tw 9, 000+ psychologically ‘injured’ 10, 000’s terrorized Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Beltway Snipers (Washington DC region, 02 - 24 October 2002) 10 Killed Photo from www. FBI. gov 3 physically injured Photo from Gwww. azette. net 100’s psychologically ‘injured’ 100, 000’s terrorized Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Sequence of Beltway Sniper Attacks The Beltway snipers were particularly effective in spreading terror and disrupting normal life because they killed at random and covered a wide area. Originally though to be Muslim extremists, in the final analysis it was simply criminal terror masquerading as al-Qaeda type terrorists. Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
911 Attack on America (World Trade Center & Pentagon, 11 September 2001) 3, 025 Killed 1, 000’s physically injured 10, 000+ psychologically ‘injured’ A nation terrorized Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
l When does attacking hard targets have a higher impact than attacking soft targets? • conventional military campaigns • totalitarian regimes Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
A Tyrant’s Hard Targets Are Most Vulnerable l l “Soft targets” have little influence on totalitarian government leadership “Hard targets” can erode totalitarian control (through attrition) or even instigate a coup de tat Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Psychological Impact of Terrorism l l l Strong motivation to terminate terror Evokes classic ego defense mechanisms and displacement Often produces • frustration-aggression reaction • general increase in mental illness • Acute Stress Disorder (ASD) • Post Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Response to terror can aid the terrorist organization • Magnitude of reaction seen as an indicator of the perceived threat • over-reacting can make threat seem more serious than it actually is • over-reacting can strengthen the terrorists’ support base by alienating neutral parties and by encouraging supporters & independent attacks • Displacement aggression • seems to confirm the terrorists’ charge of an oppressor who is “not-like-us” and “not human” • causes victims of displaced aggression to identify with the terrorists seemingly fighting for them Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Responses to Similar Events Vary Dramatically l Response to terrorism is determined by social cognition and other dynamics • Madrid train bombing (11 March 2004) • elect new government • withdraw troops from Iraq • 9/11 attack on America • solidify government support • Bush doctrine: hunt & kill/preemptive war Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Focus Question Set #2 l l What are the methods of terrorists? (e. g. , targeting civilian populations) Why do terrorists use the tactics of terrorism? End of Part I (Regular academic instruction ends here in this module. ) Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
An Introduction to Terrorism Part II: Considerations for developing effective counter-terrorist strategies Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Understanding the Terrorist l “One person’s terrorist is another person’s freedom fighter” • organized terrorism is seldom rooted in mental illness • there is often some legitimate goal for the terrorist organization • there is usually a broad support base • but very few terrorists are open to compromise Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Understanding the Terrorist, continued l l Most terrorist organizations have traditionally sought national or regional change Some terrorists seek global change • most have specific, tangible objectives (even if irrational) • a few have apocalyptic motives Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terrorists Are Seldom Open to Compromise l Their demands usually involve radical change in the status quo • uniting Northern Ireland with the Republic of Ireland in the south • formation of the state of Palestine • overthrow of the secular Egyptian government (in progress as of 2013? ) • establishment of an Islamic state in Iraq & removal of Western influence Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
The Terrorists’ Resolve l l The more one ‘invests’ in a cause, the stronger that cause is psychologically defended The transition from activist to terrorist (and the willingness to use violent methods) involves psychological changes that tend to dichotomize the ‘world’ Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
The Terrorists’ View l Terrorist tend to view things as • right and wrong (black & white without shades of gray) • them and “us” l Terrorists tend to view their opponents as • evil, inhumane (dehumanized) • not like “us” Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Responding to Terrorist Demands (prioritized list) l Diplomacy when possible, but • unlikely to work in most situations • reinforces terrorist tactics l l Undermine terrorist support Direct physical confrontation • hunt and kill • neutralize “breeding grounds” l Temper media coverage Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Diplomacy and Negotiated Settlement l 1921 1948 1950 s & 1960 s There are many cases in the 20 th Century where terrorist tactics were effectively used to force change or to right an injustice • Republic of Ireland (although the Northern counties remain in dispute) • State of Israel (although national boundaries remain in dispute) • De-colonization & sovereignty of African nations Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Colonial Africa c. 1913 From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia at http: //en. wikipedia. org/wiki/Scramble_for_Africa Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Diplomacy & Terrorism in the 21 st Century l Conditions have changed radically • national sovereignty is no longer the primary force behind many terrorist organizations • some terrorist organizations seek global changes extending well beyond their social, political, economic, or religious spheres of influence (e. g. , a “New World Order”) Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Responding to Terrorist Demands (prioritized list) l Diplomacy when possible, but • unlikely to work in most situations • reinforces terrorist tactics l Undermine terrorist support Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Undermining Terrorist Support l l l Minimize social-political conditions that spawn terrorism Isolate the terrorists Divide political factions Rally allies against terrorism Harsh and severe retaliatory action Temper media aiding ‘recruitment’ Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Minimize Social-Political Conditions for Terrorism l Diminish social-economic conditions that present legitimate grievances • food and economic aid • combat social, religious, economic, and political suppression l Provide alternative, rational plan for resolving the conflict Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Isolate the Terrorists l Neutralize support base • foreign governments • popular/civilian sympathizers • other terrorist organizations Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Divide Political Factions in the Terrorist Movement l l Exploit differences and conflicts among individual factions of the terrorist movement Consider supporting factions willing to adopt a non-terrorist approach to achieving objectives (Historically this has usually ‘backfired, ’ but it still seems to be a rational approach. At a minimum, it diminishes the number of terrorist groups that must be ultimately ‘dealt with’ and better focuses the ‘target. ’) Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Rally Allies Against Terrorism l l l Show the terrorists to be irrational fanatics who threaten global peace and stability Develop allies who have a common interest in neutralizing the terrorist threat Develop a clear multinational plan for combating terrorism Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Responding to Terrorist Demands (prioritized list) l Diplomacy when possible, but • unlikely to work in most situations • reinforces terrorist tactics l l Undermine terrorist support Direct physical confrontation • hunt and kill • destroy or neutralize “breeding grounds” Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Harsh and Severe Retaliatory Action l When you know your target, “take it out” — “hunt & kill” • collateral damage is less important when imbedded in tacit supporters • act with an understanding of the psychological principles of punishment and contingency management Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Neutralize Terrorist “Breeding Grounds” l Minimize social-political conditions that spawn terrorism (first priority from list of responses) l l Covert operations when feasible Direct military action when appropriate (e. g. , Bush doctrine) Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Responding to Terrorist Demands (prioritized list) l Diplomacy when possible, but • unlikely to work in most situations • reinforces terrorist tactics l l Undermine terrorist support Direct physical confrontation • hunt and kill • neutralize “breeding grounds” l Temper media coverage Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Temper Media Coverage l l The media are (mostly unwilling) allies of the terrorists The media need to self-censor coverage and not just push the most sensationalistic story • confirm story & factual information • present clear & balanced perspective • consider impact of coverage Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Terrorism in the New Millennium l Terrorism is a global problem that is not going away without direct action • terrorism affects many people far removed from the terrorist activity • terrorists seldom compromise l An effective response to terrorism requires decisive and often harsh action, uncharacteristic of the traditional American Psyche Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Focus Question Set #3 l l What terrorist groups were active in previous generations? Did they achieve their goals? What are some of the major terrorist groups active today? Which are the most serious concern for the United States? Most serious threat worldwide? Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
Copyright & Fair Use All material used in this presentation is copyright 2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D. unless otherwise referenced in the text. It may be used in part or in its entirety for noncommercial purposes as long as proper citation to the original source is provided. l l For online presentations, reference to the original webpage URL or to the main website www. psychologyofterrorism. com is appreciated. For printed presentations, reference to: M. A. Bozarth (2014), An Introduction to Terrorism, lecture presentation. Written permission for reproduction of material contained herein for commercial purposes should be first obtained from the author (e-mail: bozarth@buffalo. edu). Copyright 2005 -2014 Michael A. Bozarth, Ph. D.
1af18d985cd5213c65af177cc0b9e487.ppt