Agenda CSLI Advisory Board Sept 13 2012 l

Agenda CSLI Advisory Board Sept 13, 2012 l Call to order l Committee reports l Review of ongoing activities l Review/discuss Fall 2012 survey l Review/discuss proposed Spring 2013 Survey l Any other new/old business l Adjournment Center for the Study of Local Issues Anne Arundel Community College 101 College Parkway Arnold, MD 21012 -1895 http: www 2. aacc. edu/csli ddnataf@aacc. edu 410. 777. 2733

CSLI Active Client Projects: Ongoing Coordinating Center • Client: Non-profit; helps coordinate health care services for severely ill patients ▫ Type of survey: Client satisfaction ▫ Methodology: Coordinating Center sends out questionnaire; CSLI receives returned completed surveys. Students call subset of client list to verify receipt and return of surveys; second wave mailed to those needing another copy. ▫ N= Up to 2500 – typical completions: 750 -800 ▫ Current status: Data collection under way ▫ Income generated: Overall $2860, retained for CSLI operations: $500 +/-. ▫ Students employed: 2 -3

CSLI Active Client Projects Sarbanes Center – Partners-in-care, Inc. Survey • Client: Partners-in-Care as Sarbanes Center’s “Partner of the Year” Project ▫ Type of survey: Online – focus on “future of aging” ▫ Methodology: Survey Monkey online survey – sample drawn from CSLI Web panel and/or Partners-in-Care internal member database. ▫ N= 1000 -3000 ▫ Current status: Working on questionnaire ▫ Income generated: 0 ▫ Students employed: 0 (unpaid students will be involved)

CSLI Recently Completed Client Projects Sea-Level Rise Project – George Mason Univ. • Client: GMU School of Public Policy with Naval Academy (Howard Ernst) ▫ Type of survey: Two part project. (1) Mailed survey to random selection of county residents; (2) “Community conversation” - a second survey is administered to residents who choose to attend an information session about sea-level rise. ▫ Methodology: CSLI responsible for outgoing and incoming mail of initial survey; conducts data entry, manages list of potential attendees. Students may act as ‘scribes’ and helpers at community conversation meeting (April 28) ▫ N= Up to 10, 000 – typical completions: 380 ▫ Current status: Last phases of community outreach ▫ Income generated: Overall $15, 000 retained for CSLI operations: $3000 +/-. ▫ Students employed: 3 -5

CSLI Recent Student-related Activities 1. CSLI student interns Spring 2013: 1 Hours: vary depending on projects and needs of the moment but goal is to average five hours per week per intern Duties: range from data entry, survey design, student supervision, and telephone interviewing. Usually active in club activities.

CSLI Recent Student-related Activities 2. CSLI student club ◦ Inception: 2006 – designated an official student club. ◦ Organizational structure: Officers include president, vice president, secretary and treasurer, elected at beginning of fall semester. CSLI interns usually chosen as club president/vice president ◦ Budget: Varies yearly– 2012 -13: $800 from student association. ◦ 2013 Activities: Various field trips ◦ Annapolis ◦ Baltimore Council of Foreign Affairs

CSLI Recent Activities-Public Outreach Radio: WNAV – director was interviewed about upcoming County Charter revisions on November ballot. Newspaper: Various articles in Capital/Baltimore Sun about local politics, gambling/casinos, Dwyer CSLI Web site: Posted all new presentations and updates to searchable database (see http: //www 2. aacc. edu/csli).

CSLI Semi-Web Panel Semi-annual Survey and Web Panel Web panel: We have accumulated a total of around 1300 possibly valid email addresses. ◦ About 1/3 of respondents accept request to give email addresses. ◦ Response rate typically around 20%. ◦ To be integrated with Partners-in-Care project.

Semi-annual Survey – Overview of Fall 2012 Results

Right/Wrong Direction: Spring 1999 to Fall 2012 70 66 60 62 57 58 54 62 60 61 58 58 55 53 51 50 57 55 51 52 51 50 52 52 52 47 49 50 43 41 40 20 10 27 23 20 19 26 31 29 27 26 29 33 32 31 27 25 24 23 21 20 20 21 19 19 18 18 18 17 16 16 17 17 15 15 14 15 13 12 36 32 28 27 28 28 28 25 80 2366 58 60 585150 5762625322 5561 5751 52 49 47 21 20 54 22 5550 43 40 41 342733 32 31 2927 28 27 27 20 0 26 2514 24 17 2421 18 22 23151819 2025 202313 182121 20 12 23 191915 1616 171525 26 20 17 16 16 Sp '99 Sp '01 Sp '03 Sp '05 Sp '07 Sp '09 Sp '11 34 30 50 47 Right 0 Wrong Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 Right Wrong Unsure 14

Right/Wrong and Partisanship: % saying “Right” Unit Overall Dem. Rep. Dem- Unaff. Rep. County 50 58 40 18 56 State 36 55 16 39 35 Nation 36 59 13 46 33 Respondent 78 83 71 12 83

Obama Vote by Right/Wrong Direction: County, State and USA

Most Important Problem - Fall '06 to Fall '12

Perceptions of the Economy: County, State, Nation

Obama Vote by Perceptions of the Economy County, State, USA

Cost of living indicators: S ‘ 08 -F ‘ 12

Other economic indicators

Consumer Confidence: F ‘ 11 – F ‘ 12

Is there a relationship between income and economic conditions? Condition Under $75, 000 $75, 00 0+ Signif. Received a salary increase or other increase in income recently 27 44 . 01 Hard to afford cost of utilities such as electricity or gas 48 28 . 01 Health care insurance is unavailable, too expensive or inadequate Unable to find affordable housing 40 25 . 01 19 11 41 68 10 5 33 62 . 02 50 41 . 06 19 41 14 63 14 48 18 59 . 1 Facing the possibility of house foreclosure or loss Hard to afford the cost of transportation Wages or salaries are not rising as fast as the cost of living Delay in making a major purchase such as a home or car Facing the possibility of unemployment Significant losses in your stock or retirement accounts Found a new or better job recently Taxes are too high in relation to the government services provided . 02. 03. 04 . 2. 3. 5

Presidential job approval Fall 2007 to Spring 2012 CSLI Gallup 70 61 60 54 53 50 47 47 47 43 42 40 40 37 35 32 30 45 42 30 28 25 24 20 10 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Fall Spring Fall Spring

Presidential Job Approval CSLI Gallup 65 61 60 55 54 53 50 50 47 47 47 45 45 43 42 44 42 40 40 37 35 35 32 30 28 30 25 24 25 20 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall

Predicted County Vote for President Actual Overall Democrats Republicans Unaffiliated Barack Obama 48. 7 42 77 8 34 47 14 84 49 7 5 8 8 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 99 2 100 1 101 6 101 Mitt Romney Undecided Someone else Wouldn’t vote No answer Total 48. 8

Gallup Tracking Poll – Sept. – Nov. 4 Registered voters – add 3+/- to Romney for likely voters Oct 11 Oct 3

Presidential Vote by County, % Obama

Ballot Items: Referenda Act. Yes Act. No Support Oppose Unsur e N. A. 52 48 43 46 7 4 Allowing the children of illegal 49 immigrants to attend Maryland community colleges and universities at “in-state” tuition rates 51 37 54 7 3 Upholding the boundaries for congressional districts created by the state legislature 54 46 35 41 18 7 Allowing the creation of a sixth casino in Prince George’s County, table games at all casinos, and more slots machines overall 46 54 34 57 6 3 Legalizing same sex marriage

Dream Act by County, % Supporting

Same Sex Marriage, % Supporting

Trust in Political Parties – Spring 2009 to Fall 2012 AV 38 33 25

End of slideshow • Go to draft spring 2013 questionnaire